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May 21, 2009 Future ShockWay Too Early Mock Draft
Doing a mock draft nearly three weeks before the real thing is an exercise that combines gathering intelligence with making a lot of dart throws—especially in this draft, where clarity ends after the first pick. Here are reactions from various agents, scouts, scouting directors, and front office officials when I contacted them in reference to this article. "You're doing what? Good god, I don't envy you." "I look forward to mocking you." "Do you know who #2 is even, yet? Because we sure don't." Thus the problem. Still, it's a good exercise to talk about players, figure out some basic ranges for the top talents, and get some pre-draft indications of which teams are thinking about what. So grab your grain of salt (make it a sizable one) and come along for the ride.
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While I agree that Dustin Ackley is the most logical pick for the #2 slot, I don't think the Mariners are known for being logical. I have no idea who they might be targeting, but I don't think it is Ackley.
Whatever perception you have of the Mariners' draft history, ignore it, as this is Jack Z's first draft with them, so it doesn't matter what they've done before.