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He's probably very handsome. Craig Albernaz
Tampa Bay Rays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 26
5' 8"
177 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 PRI Rk 97 11 3 0 0 3 7 18 2 0 0.1 .186 .263 .221 -.861 .099 .146 .121 .000 -47.0 28-C -2 -2.1
2007 CGA A 116 11 3 0 0 3 10 22 0 1 0.0 .170 .263 .200 -.787 .113 .174 .132 .000 -22.9 32-C 3 -1.1
2008 VRO A+ 52 3 0 0 1 7 4 7 0 0 0.2 .128 .212 .191 -.791 .102 .154 .163 .000 -11.1 14-C 2 -0.4
2008 MNT AA 53 10 2 1 1 9 4 9 0 0 -0.4 .340 .392 .489 -.179 .245 .288 .388 .233 -0.9 14-C 4 0.6


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 11:40 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 145 9 5 0 1 10 10 39 1 0 0.0 .183 .246 .255 -.441 .186 .249 .268 .177 -9.1 38-C 1 0.0
75o 159 8 4 0 1 9 9 46 1 0 0.0 .153 .208 .203 -.599 .156 .210 .214 .121 -15.8 41-C 2 -0.7
60o 171 7 3 0 1 8 8 52 1 0 0.0 .140 .189 .179 -.674 .142 .191 .189 .074 -20.0 44-C 2 -1.1
50o 184 7 3 0 1 6 8 59 1 0 0.0 .131 .177 .165 -.719 .133 .179 .174 .020 -23.5 47-C 2 -1.3
40o 184 7 3 0 1 6 8 59 1 0 0.0 .131 .177 .165 -.719 .133 .179 .174 .020 -23.5 47-C 2 -1.3
25o 184 7 3 0 1 6 8 59 1 0 0.0 .131 .177 .165 -.719 .133 .179 .174 .020 -23.5 47-C 2 -1.3
10o 184 7 3 0 1 6 8 59 1 0 0.0 .131 .177 .165 -.719 .133 .179 .174 .020 -23.5 47-C 2 -1.3
Weighted Mean 160 7 3 0 1 8 8 48 1 0 0.0 .140 .189 .180 -.652 .142 .191 .189 .072 -20.0 42-C 2 -1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

40%

41%

59%

56%

1.44

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 26) 160 7 3 0 1 8 8 48 1 0 0.0 .140 .189 .180 -.652 .142 .191 .189 .072 -20.0 42-C 2 -1.0
2010 (age 27) 212 10 4 1 1 10 10 64 1 1 0.0 .143 .191 .183 -.654 .147 .196 .195 .078 -8.8 53-C 3 -0.4
2011 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .157 .209 .211
vs RHP .137 .185 .173
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -16.4 2.0 -1.0 $400,000 -17.6 0.0
2010 -21.3 3.0 -0.4 $400,000 -7.6 0.0
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .121 .020 .020 .072
2010 .118 .074 .021 .078
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 56% 0% 40%
2010 76% 60% 40%
2011 83% 79% 36%
2012 89% 86% 34%
2013 95% 93% 33%
2014 97% 95% 32%
2015 97% 97% 38%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

49

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Dana Levangie 1996 48 11 Derek Ryder 1999 36
2 Bob Kappesser 1993 47 12 Justin Hatcher 2007 36
3 Troy O'Neal 1998 46 13 Tim Redman 1992 35
4 Terrill Elliot 1990 41 14 Graig Merritt 2005 35
5 Don Prybylinski 1994 40 15 Mike Kremblas 2002 35
6 Steve Soliz 1997 39 16 Matt Brown 1995 34
7 Jerry Valdez 2001 37 17 Brad Elwood 2002 34
8 Sandy Aracena 2004 37 18 Brad Heller 1998 33
9 Juan Lopez 1989 37 19 Ryan Bennett 2001 33
10 Danny Calcagno 1994 36 20 Brad Erdman 1996 32

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