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Bryan Anderson
St. Louis Cardinals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 21
6' 1"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 JCY 0R 176 28 8 1 6 36 15 29 6 1 -0.2 .331 .383 .513 .286 .224 .263 .304 .203 -20.5 36-C -7 0.0
2006 QUD 1B 431 50 29 3 3 51 42 66 2 6 -1.2 .302 .377 .417 .192 .247 .307 .354 .229 -3.1 89-C -7 1.6
2007 SFD 2A 431 51 15 1 6 53 32 77 0 1 -3.0 .298 .350 .388 .039 .263 .309 .349 .232 -2.3 99-C -7 1.9


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 5:47 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 496 57 27 3 11 58 38 91 5 3 -0.5 .284 .340 .428 -.007 .282 .341 .444 .268 21.9 117-C -4 4.3
75o 482 50 25 2 9 53 35 91 4 2 -0.4 .270 .325 .401 -.080 .269 .325 .417 .254 13.0 114-C -4 3.5
60o 470 45 24 2 8 49 33 91 4 2 -0.4 .261 .314 .381 -.134 .259 .314 .396 .243 6.6 111-C -4 2.9
50o 463 42 23 2 7 46 31 91 4 2 -0.4 .254 .306 .369 -.169 .253 .306 .383 .236 2.7 110-C -4 2.6
40o 456 39 22 2 7 44 30 90 4 2 -0.4 .249 .299 .357 -.200 .247 .300 .371 .230 -0.7 108-C -4 2.2
25o 442 34 21 1 5 40 28 90 3 2 -0.4 .238 .286 .335 -.260 .237 .287 .348 .217 -7.0 105-C -4 1.6
10o 425 29 19 1 4 35 25 89 3 2 -0.3 .226 .272 .311 -.327 .225 .272 .323 .201 -13.5 101-C -4 0.9
Weighted Mean 491 46 24 2 8 50 34 96 4 2 -0.4 .255 .307 .370 -.165 .254 .307 .385 .236 5.5 116-C -4 2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

42%

67%

15%

3%

0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 21) 491 46 24 2 8 50 34 96 4 2 -0.4 .255 .307 .370 -.165 .254 .307 .385 .236 5.5 116-C -4 2.6
2009 (age 22) 452 43 23 1 8 46 32 83 4 2 -0.4 .262 .316 .384 -.126 .257 .311 .392 .244 6.9 107-C -5 2.6
2010 (age 23) 446 43 23 2 9 47 33 81 3 2 -0.4 .260 .316 .388 -.122 .255 .311 .396 .245 6.3 106-C -7 2.2
2011 (age 24) 398 38 20 2 9 43 28 70 4 2 -0.4 .268 .321 .402 -.088 .263 .316 .410 .251 8.4 95-C -6 2.2
2012 (age 25) 394 39 20 2 9 44 31 65 3 2 -0.3 .275 .334 .417 -.040 .270 .329 .425 .261 9.4 94-C -8 1.9
2013 (age 26) 357 34 19 2 8 41 27 59 3 2 -0.3 .275 .330 .420 -.043 .269 .325 .428 .260 8.0 86-C -7 1.7
2014 (age 27) 434 43 22 2 10 50 30 71 3 2 -0.2 .265 .317 .406 -.092 .260 .312 .415 .251 4.5 103-C -8 1.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .227 .276 .316
vs RHP .265 .322 .408
Split -.038 -.046 -.092
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 2.2 2.6 $3,125,000 -0.6 4.5
2009 0.7 1.9 2.6 $3,425,000 0.5 5.0
2010 0.6 1.6 2.2 $2,925,000 -0.6 4.5
2011 0.8 1.5 2.2 $3,675,000 2.6 9.0
2012 0.8 1.1 1.9 $3,625,000 4.0 7.6
2013 0.7 1.0 1.7 $3,375,000 3.7 7.1
2014 0.4 0.8 1.3 $2,175,000 1.0 4.7
Peak 13.2 $14,650,000 15.6 37.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .254 .236 .217 .236
2009 .263 .243 .229 .244
2010 .265 .244 .233 .245
2011 .273 .248 .236 .251
2012 .279 .258 .246 .261
2013 .280 .263 .232 .260
2014 .266 .253 .221 .251


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 3% 0% 42%
2009 11% 3% 47%
2010 22% 9% 50%
2011 31% 13% 54%
2012 49% 28% 63%
2013 53% 36% 57%
2014 63% 51% 53%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

52

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
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Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Pee-Wee Lopez 1992 40 11 Michael Ryan 2003 33
2 Jason Belcher 1979 36 12 Angel Salome 1971 33
3 Cody Haerther 1981 36 13 Michael Barrett 1982 33
4 Dioner Navarro 1970 36 14 Richard Lane 1960 33
5 Miguel Montero 1973 35 15 Cesar King 2007 32
6 Cole Liniak 1992 35 16 Josh Kroeger 1975 32
7 Jon Tucker 1975 34 17 Javier Valentin 1969 32
8 Jeff Mathis 1975 34 18 Edwards Guzman 2000 31
9 Brad Nelson 1957 34 19 A.J. Pierzynski 1979 30
10 Yadier Molina 1998 33 20 Brian Turner 2005 30

Player Comments

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2007

At 19, Anderson was among the younger set in the Midwest League last year, but he didn`t play like a na?f. Doors can open pretty fast for left-handed hitting catchers, even ones who are still developing their defensive games, as Anderson is. He began the season with an invite to the big league training camp, so he`s a pretty big blip on the Cardinals radar.


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