Bryan Anderson

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 5:47 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	496	57	27	3	11	58	38	91	5	3	-0.5	.284	.340	.428	-.007	.282	.341	.444	.268	21.9	117-C -4	4.3
75^o	482	50	25	2	9	53	35	91	4	2	-0.4	.270	.325	.401	-.080	.269	.325	.417	.254	13.0	114-C -4	3.5
60^o	470	45	24	2	8	49	33	91	4	2	-0.4	.261	.314	.381	-.134	.259	.314	.396	.243	6.6	111-C -4	2.9
50^o	463	42	23	2	7	46	31	91	4	2	-0.4	.254	.306	.369	-.169	.253	.306	.383	.236	2.7	110-C -4	2.6
40^o	456	39	22	2	7	44	30	90	4	2	-0.4	.249	.299	.357	-.200	.247	.300	.371	.230	-0.7	108-C -4	2.2
25^o	442	34	21	1	5	40	28	90	3	2	-0.4	.238	.286	.335	-.260	.237	.287	.348	.217	-7.0	105-C -4	1.6
10^o	425	29	19	1	4	35	25	89	3	2	-0.3	.226	.272	.311	-.327	.225	.272	.323	.201	-13.5	101-C -4	0.9
Weighted Mean	491	46	24	2	8	50	34	96	4	2	-0.4	.255	.307	.370	-.165	.254	.307	.385	.236	5.5	116-C -4	2.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
42%	67%	15%	3%	0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 21)	491	46	24	2	8	50	34	96	4	2	-0.4	.255	.307	.370	-.165	.254	.307	.385	.236	5.5	116-C -4	2.6
2009 (age 22)	452	43	23	1	8	46	32	83	4	2	-0.4	.262	.316	.384	-.126	.257	.311	.392	.244	6.9	107-C -5	2.6
2010 (age 23)	446	43	23	2	9	47	33	81	3	2	-0.4	.260	.316	.388	-.122	.255	.311	.396	.245	6.3	106-C -7	2.2
2011 (age 24)	398	38	20	2	9	43	28	70	4	2	-0.4	.268	.321	.402	-.088	.263	.316	.410	.251	8.4	95-C -6	2.2
2012 (age 25)	394	39	20	2	9	44	31	65	3	2	-0.3	.275	.334	.417	-.040	.270	.329	.425	.261	9.4	94-C -8	1.9
2013 (age 26)	357	34	19	2	8	41	27	59	3	2	-0.3	.275	.330	.420	-.043	.269	.325	.428	.260	8.0	86-C -7	1.7
2014 (age 27)	434	43	22	2	10	50	30	71	3	2	-0.2	.265	.317	.406	-.092	.260	.312	.415	.251	4.5	103-C -8	1.3

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.227	.276	.316
vs RHP	.265	.322	.408
Split	-.038	-.046	-.092
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.4	2.2	2.6	$3,125,000	-0.6	4.5
2009	0.7	1.9	2.6	$3,425,000	0.5	5.0
2010	0.6	1.6	2.2	$2,925,000	-0.6	4.5
2011	0.8	1.5	2.2	$3,675,000	2.6	9.0
2012	0.8	1.1	1.9	$3,625,000	4.0	7.6
2013	0.7	1.0	1.7	$3,375,000	3.7	7.1
2014	0.4	0.8	1.3	$2,175,000	1.0	4.7
Peak			13.2	$14,650,000	15.6	37.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.254	.236	.217	.236
2009	.263	.243	.229	.244
2010	.265	.244	.233	.245
2011	.273	.248	.236	.251
2012	.279	.258	.246	.261
2013	.280	.263	.232	.260
2014	.266	.253	.221	.251

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	3%	0%	42%
2009	11%	3%	47%
2010	22%	9%	50%
2011	31%	13%	54%
2012	49%	28%	63%
2013	53%	36%	57%
2014	63%	51%	53%

52

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Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Pee-Wee Lopez	1992	40		11	Michael Ryan	2003	33
2	Jason Belcher	1979	36		12	Angel Salome	1971	33
3	Cody Haerther	1981	36		13	Michael Barrett	1982	33
4	Dioner Navarro	1970	36		14	Richard Lane	1960	33
5	Miguel Montero	1973	35		15	Cesar King	2007	32
6	Cole Liniak	1992	35		16	Josh Kroeger	1975	32
7	Jon Tucker	1975	34		17	Javier Valentin	1969	32
8	Jeff Mathis	1975	34		18	Edwards Guzman	2000	31
9	Brad Nelson	1957	34		19	A.J. Pierzynski	1979	30
10	Yadier Molina	1998	33		20	Brian Turner	2005	30

Player Comments

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2007

At 19, Anderson was among the younger set in the Midwest League last year, but he didn`t play like a na?f. Doors can open pretty fast for left-handed hitting catchers, even ones who are still developing their defensive games, as Anderson is. He began the season with an invite to the big league training camp, so he`s a pretty big blip on the Cardinals radar.

Historical Stats