Kyle Anson

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2007	CSC	A	390	40	17	0	4	44	49	48	5	1	0.0	.272	.365	.359	-.470	.185	.254	.239	.171	-40.9	72-C -1	-2.4
2008	YAN	Rk	22	0	0	0	0	2	3	5	0	0	0.0	.111	.273	.111	-.974	.050	.136	.050	.000	-14.3		-0.6
2008	TAM	A+	272	27	11	1	4	25	44	35	1	3	-2.3	.241	.367	.353	-.428	.169	.269	.253	.185	-26.2	64-C -7	-1.8

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/8/09 1:04 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	284	20	10	1	3	23	30	62	1	1	-0.9	.190	.280	.272	-.340	.194	.285	.290	.205	-11.5	69-C -1	0.1
75^o	276	17	9	1	3	21	27	62	1	1	-0.8	.178	.263	.250	-.410	.181	.268	.266	.187	-15.7	68-C -1	-0.4
60^o	265	14	8	0	2	18	24	62	0	0	-0.8	.163	.242	.223	-.494	.165	.247	.237	.162	-20.3	65-C -1	-0.9
50^o	261	13	7	0	2	18	23	61	0	0	-0.7	.158	.235	.214	-.521	.160	.239	.228	.153	-21.7	64-C -1	-1.1
40^o	254	11	7	0	1	16	21	61	0	0	-0.7	.149	.224	.200	-.567	.152	.228	.213	.136	-23.7	63-C -1	-1.3
25^o	242	9	6	0	1	13	19	61	0	0	-0.6	.139	.209	.181	-.626	.141	.212	.193	.108	-26.0	60-C -1	-1.7
10^o	206	5	4	0	0	7	14	58	0	0	-0.5	.122	.184	.151	-.723	.124	.187	.160	.023	-26.8	52-C -1	-1.8
Weighted Mean	258	12	7	0	1	17	22	61	0	0	-0.7	.154	.230	.208	-.533	.157	.234	.221	.146	-22.2	64-C -3	-1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
29%	36%	53%	37%	1.27

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 26)	258	12	7	0	1	17	22	61	0	0	-0.7	.154	.230	.208	-.533	.157	.234	.221	.146	-22.2	64-C -3	-1.1
2010 (age 27)	231	10	6	0	1	15	19	58	0	0	-0.5	.156	.231	.209	-.527	.161	.238	.225	.147	-15.4	58-C -3	-0.7
2011 (age 28)	246	10	6	1	1	14	21	66	0	0	-0.3	.141	.217	.189	-.589	.145	.223	.204	.122	-11.5	61-C -3	-0.6
2012 (age 29)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.150	.221	.193
vs RHP	.155	.233	.212
Split	-.005	-.012	-.018
LgAvg	+.004	-.004	+.007

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-19.6	-3.0	-1.1	$400,000	-22.8	0.0
2010	-17.3	-3.0	-0.7	$400,000	-16.0	0.0
2011	-21.8	-3.0	-0.6	$400,000	-11.5	0.0
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.187	.153	.108	.146
2010	.193	.147	.102	.147
2011	.168	.134	.107	.122
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	37%	0%	29%
2010	56%	29%	22%
2011	72%	56%	16%
2012	80%	70%	19%
2013	84%	77%	18%
2014	89%	83%	15%
2015	92%	91%	13%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

60

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Dennis Anderson	2004	61		11	David Castillo	2007	45
2	Garrett Nago	1985	57		12	Barry Gunther	2008	45
3	Lance Rice	1992	55		13	Neil Garcia	1999	44
4	Adam Ricks	2008	53		14	Chris Unrat	1997	44
5	Dave Huppert	1983	49		15	Brian Moon	2003	43
6	Bryce Terveen	2004	48		16	Todd Takayoshi	1996	43
7	Mark Strittmatter	1995	48		17	Tony Defrancesco	1989	43
8	Adam Melhuse	1998	48		18	Patrick Arlis	2007	43
9	James Jones	1988	48		19	Jeff Horn	1996	43
10	Duane Gustavson	1981	46		20	Todd Dewey	1990	42

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