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Cole Armstrong
Chicago White Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats L
Age 25
6' 3"
210 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 WNS A+ 149 9 5 0 2 14 17 30 0 0 -2.3 .237 .322 .321 -.458 .184 .253 .250 .172 -16.0 31-C -3 4-1B 0 -1.2
2006 BIR AA 27 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0.0 .120 .185 .120 -.778 .120 .185 .120 .000 -5.4 7-C -1 -0.4
2007 WNS A+ 316 35 17 0 12 39 23 69 1 1 0.0 .288 .342 .474 -.319 .211 .255 .344 .204 -19.2 69-C -7 -1.4
2007 BIR AA 79 2 6 0 1 12 3 20 0 0 -2.2 .239 .273 .366 -.357 .219 .253 .315 .200 -5.3 20-C 2 0.1
2008 BIR AA 234 27 17 0 6 31 10 31 0 1 -0.5 .252 .293 .413 -.339 .215 .245 .341 .198 -15.5 53-C -2 -0.9
2008 CHR AAA 145 12 12 0 2 17 5 27 0 0 -0.7 .275 .310 .406 -.219 .245 .276 .374 .219 -4.3 36-C 1 0.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 1:07 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 342 31 18 0 10 37 21 81 0 0 -1.5 .240 .291 .398 -.151 .240 .292 .407 .241 1.6 82-C -1 1.4
75o 332 26 16 0 8 34 19 80 0 0 -1.4 .220 .268 .356 -.262 .220 .269 .363 .217 -7.1 80-C -1 0.6
60o 326 22 14 0 7 31 17 80 0 0 -1.3 .207 .254 .328 -.334 .207 .254 .335 .200 -12.4 79-C -1 0.0
50o 320 20 13 0 6 30 16 80 0 0 -1.3 .198 .243 .309 -.384 .198 .244 .316 .188 -16.0 78-C -1 -0.4
40o 314 18 12 0 5 28 15 80 0 0 -1.2 .187 .232 .288 -.440 .188 .232 .294 .172 -19.8 76-C -1 -0.8
25o 299 13 10 0 4 24 13 79 0 0 -1.1 .168 .209 .246 -.548 .168 .209 .251 .135 -26.3 73-C -1 -1.6
10o 280 10 9 0 2 19 11 77 0 0 -1.0 .152 .190 .212 -.636 .152 .190 .217 .089 -30.4 69-C -1 -2.1
Weighted Mean 333 20 13 0 6 31 17 84 0 0 -1.3 .192 .237 .299 -.389 .193 .238 .305 .179 -18.0 80-C 0 -0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

43%

44%

28%

1.34

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 333 20 13 0 6 31 17 84 0 0 -1.3 .192 .237 .299 -.389 .193 .238 .305 .179 -18.0 80-C 0 -0.4
2010 (age 26) 339 22 14 0 7 33 17 85 0 0 -0.9 .199 .246 .312 -.362 .202 .250 .322 .190 -11.0 82-C 0 0.0
2011 (age 27) 388 28 16 0 9 40 20 96 0 0 -0.7 .202 .246 .323 -.345 .205 .250 .333 .194 -8.3 93-C 0 0.0
2012 (age 28) 277 17 12 0 6 26 14 63 0 0 -0.5 .209 .256 .327 -.318 .212 .260 .337 .200 -5.1 68-C 0 0.1
2013 (age 29) 335 25 13 0 8 34 18 78 0 0 -0.5 .216 .265 .339 -.280 .220 .269 .350 .209 -3.6 81-C 2 0.3
2014 (age 30) 325 22 13 0 7 35 19 73 0 0 -0.4 .198 .250 .316 -.350 .201 .254 .326 .194 -4.6 79-C 0 0.1
2015 (age 31) 256 17 9 0 7 26 16 59 0 0 -0.2 .203 .255 .325 -.325 .206 .259 .335 .200 -2.5 63-C 1 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .163 .206 .247
vs RHP .200 .248 .323
Split -.037 -.041 -.076
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -17.1 0.0 -0.4 $400,000 -18.1 0.1
2010 -14.4 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -11.0 0.1
2011 -15.4 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -7.9 0.6
2012 -9.3 0.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.6 1.0
2013 -8.8 2.0 0.3 $675,000 -2.6 1.7
2014 -12.7 0.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.5 0.6
2015 -8.8 1.0 0.1 $575,000 -2.2 0.2
Peak 0.5 $425,000 0.0 4.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .217 .188 .135 .179
2010 .222 .190 .149 .190
2011 .227 .186 .145 .194
2012 .244 .199 .152 .200
2013 .249 .206 .159 .209
2014 .249 .194 .154 .194
2015 .254 .208 .152 .200


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 28% 0% 29%
2010 48% 22% 28%
2011 56% 46% 28%
2012 69% 51% 30%
2013 71% 56% 30%
2014 79% 65% 26%
2015 88% 73% 23%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

64

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jeff Smith 2000 68 11 Alvin Colina 2007 48
2 Matt Merullo 1991 57 12 Wyatt Toregas 2008 47
3 Jeff Banister 1990 56 13 Sean Mulligan 1996 47
4 Izzy Molina 1997 54 14 Chris Howard 1992 47
5 Eli Whiteside 2005 53 15 Greg O'Halloran 1994 46
6 Brian Dorsett 1987 53 16 Joe Ayrault 1997 46
7 Ed Fulton 1991 52 17 Tommy Peterman 2001 45
8 Sandy Martinez 1998 49 18 Pat Cline 2000 45
9 Shawn Riggans 2006 49 19 Jason Hill 2003 45
10 Mike Amrhein 2001 49 20 Ryan Barthelemy 2006 44

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2008

A Canadian catcher, Cole Armstrong was a little old for his level in 2007 but can be seen as a possible late bloomer. He's a good defensive catcher with a decent amount of power with backup possibilities down the road.


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