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He's probably very handsome. Antonio Bastardo
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws L
Age 22
5' 11"
0 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 PHL OR 1 2 0 9 2 23.1 20 14 27 1 43% .273 -36 1.47 3.90 7.66 9.58 10.0 9.6 5.2 1.7 -9.2 -0.6
2007 LWD 1B 9 0 0 15 15 91.7 63 42 98 3 40% .259 0 1.15 1.86 5.01 4.15 8.0 6.6 5.5 0.8 13.3 2.6
2007 CLR 1C 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 5 3 12 0 44% .625 32 1.60 7.20 10.81 12.46 16.6 8.3 14.5 0.0 -3.3 -0.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 6:24 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 8 6 0 23 23 129.7 122 84 109 15 41% .287 11 1.59 4.20 5.02 4.20 8.2 5.3 6.8 1.0 21.9 3.2 3.5
75o 7 7 0 23 23 119.7 120 87 100 16 42% .296 5 1.72 5.06 5.72 5.07 8.7 6.0 6.7 1.2 8.2 1.7 2.1
60o 6 8 0 29 20 111.3 117 88 92 17 42% .305 -4 1.84 5.84 6.36 5.87 9.2 6.5 6.6 1.3 -2.5 0.5 1.0
50o 5 8 0 29 19 107.3 116 89 88 17 42% .309 -7 1.90 6.24 6.68 6.27 9.4 6.8 6.6 1.4 -7.5 0.0 0.5
40o 5 8 0 29 19 103.0 114 89 84 17 42% .313 -10 1.97 6.68 7.02 6.72 9.6 7.1 6.6 1.5 -12.5 -0.5 0.0
25o 4 8 0 30 17 95.3 110 88 77 18 42% .321 -15 2.08 7.50 7.62 7.55 10.1 7.6 6.5 1.6 -20.7 -1.4 -0.9
10o 3 7 0 30 14 80.0 97 79 64 16 42% .328 -23 2.19 9.36 8.21 9.60 10.5 8.2 6.5 1.7 -36.4 -3.0 -2.6
Weighted Mean 5 8 0 30 19 107.7 114 86 89 17 42% .306 -6 1.86 6.04 6.47 6.08 9.2 6.6 6.6 1.3 -4.8 0.2 0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

8%

26%

47%

22%

1.50

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 22) 5 8 0 30 19 107.7 114 86 89 17 42% .306 -6 1.86 6.04 6.47 6.08 9.2 6.6 6.6 1.3 -4.8 0.2 0.5
2009 (age 23) 5 6 0 36 13 94.3 100 68 79 15 41% .307 -7 1.78 5.80 6.21 5.82 9.3 5.9 6.7 1.3 -1.4 0.3 0.6
2010 (age 24) 4 6 0 34 11 83.0 91 63 67 13 40% .311 -11 1.85 6.13 6.53 6.15 9.5 6.2 6.5 1.4 -3.9 0.0 0.3
2011 (age 25) 3 4 0 31 8 67.3 75 40 51 11 40% .311 -9 1.72 5.88 6.20 5.88 9.7 5.0 6.1 1.4 -1.2 0.1 0.3
2012 (age 26) 5 6 1 39 12 96.0 99 52 74 17 40% .288 -5 1.57 5.29 5.61 5.30 9.0 4.4 6.2 1.5 2.2 0.8 0.7
2013 (age 27) 3 3 1 28 5 53.3 57 30 44 9 42% .307 -5 1.64 5.47 5.82 5.48 9.4 4.7 6.7 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.5
2014 (age 28) 3 3 1 29 4 54.3 58 28 47 9 40% .304 -2 1.57 5.25 5.67 5.24 9.3 4.2 6.9 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.4

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .231 .360 .372
vs RHB .257 .391 .444
Split -.026 -.031 -.072
LgAvg -.020 -.021 -.054

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.5 $625,000 -6.4 4.5
2009 0.6 $750,000 -2.7 3.8
2010 0.3 $500,000 -5.1 1.9
2011 0.3 $550,000 -2.0 1.9
2012 0.7 $1,225,000 1.5 3.8
2013 0.5 $800,000 0.3 4.1
2014 0.4 $950,000 1.1 2.5
Peak 3.0 $1,800,000 2.9 20.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 5.07 6.27 7.55 6.08
2009 4.91 6.28 7.34 5.82
2010 5.11 6.54 7.78 6.15
2011 4.75 6.13 8.19 5.88
2012 3.93 5.21 6.91 5.30
2013 4.25 5.61 8.87 5.48
2014 4.03 6.25 6.96 5.24


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 22% 0% 8%
2009 34% 12% 10%
2010 47% 21% 3%
2011 71% 38% 7%
2012 65% 47% 12%
2013 75% 54% 10%
2014 82% 62% 9%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

0

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Rafael Quirico 1992 26 11 Mike Potts 1993 17
2 Alberto Bastardo 2007 24 12 Jesus Martinez 1996 17
3 Jason Dawsey 1997 21 13 Joshua Outman 2007 17
4 Cary Ammons 1999 21 14 Jose Arredondo 2007 16
5 Horacio Estrada 1998 21 15 ANTHONY GUTIERREZ 1992 16
6 Fernando Hernandez 1994 19 16 Juan Perez 1996 15
7 Carlos Medina 2000 19 17 Charlie Cruz 1996 15
8 Juan Cruz 2001 19 18 Jonathan Barratt 2007 15
9 Winston Abreu 2000 19 19 Jaime Escamilla 1995 15
10 Jesus Sanchez 1997 19 20 Bobby_M. Jones 1995 15

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