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He's probably very handsome. Quintin Berry
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats L
Age 23
6' 1"
165 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 BAT 1A 247 34 2 2 0 13 25 51 19 4 2.8 .219 .314 .248 -.098 .176 .250 .199 .168 -56.8 57-CF -7 -0.2
2007 LWD 1B 581 86 19 4 3 44 61 85 55 18 3.4 .312 .395 .386 .187 .261 .329 .320 .240 -7.6 91-CF 1 2.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 6:24 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 627 94 24 5 3 37 58 121 41 13 2.9 .268 .342 .344 -.128 .263 .340 .337 .246 -1.3 146-CF -1 3.6
75o 597 80 21 4 2 33 52 119 38 12 2.6 .255 .326 .323 -.194 .251 .323 .316 .233 -10.3 140-CF -2 2.6
60o 570 70 18 4 2 30 47 117 34 12 2.4 .244 .312 .305 -.250 .240 .310 .299 .222 -17.2 134-CF -2 1.9
50o 559 65 17 4 2 29 44 116 33 11 2.3 .239 .306 .298 -.273 .235 .304 .292 .217 -19.8 131-CF -3 1.5
40o 545 61 16 3 1 28 42 114 32 11 2.2 .234 .299 .289 -.300 .230 .297 .283 .211 -22.8 128-CF -3 1.2
25o 520 53 14 3 1 25 38 111 29 10 2.0 .225 .287 .274 -.348 .221 .285 .268 .200 -27.5 122-CF -3 0.6
10o 465 39 10 2 1 20 30 105 24 8 1.7 .207 .262 .245 -.442 .203 .261 .239 .176 -34.7 110-CF -4 -0.4
Weighted Mean 583 70 18 4 2 31 47 120 35 12 2.3 .240 .307 .299 -.270 .236 .305 .293 .217 -16.3 137-CF -2 1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

25%

50%

24%

11%

0.87

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 583 70 18 4 2 31 47 120 35 12 2.3 .240 .307 .299 -.270 .236 .305 .293 .217 -16.3 137-CF -2 1.7
2009 (age 24) 582 72 19 5 2 35 46 115 33 11 1.9 .245 .311 .313 -.240 .237 .304 .301 .223 -12.9 136-CF -3 1.5
2010 (age 25) 524 63 17 4 2 31 45 100 30 10 1.6 .248 .319 .318 -.217 .240 .312 .305 .229 -8.6 123-CF -4 1.3
2011 (age 26) 448 52 15 4 2 28 38 81 26 7 1.1 .252 .322 .326 -.198 .245 .315 .313 .234 -4.6 106-CF -4 1.0
2012 (age 27) 461 55 18 3 2 29 38 87 27 8 0.6 .260 .327 .338 -.168 .252 .320 .325 .238 -1.8 109-CF -4 0.7
2013 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .213 .280 .242
vs RHP .249 .319 .326
Split -.036 -.039 -.084
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.6 2.3 1.7 $1,925,000 -16.6 0.1
2009 -0.2 1.7 1.5 $1,700,000 -13.9 0.9
2010 0.0 1.3 1.3 $1,600,000 -10.0 0.4
2011 0.1 0.9 1.0 $1,300,000 -6.2 0.6
2012 0.1 0.5 0.7 $925,000 -3.1 0.4
2013 0.1 0.6 0.7 $975,000 -3.3 1.0
2014 0.2 0.5 0.7 $1,025,000 -1.6 0.5
Peak 7.0 $5,200,000 -1.6 3.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .233 .217 .200 .217
2009 .240 .221 .205 .223
2010 .246 .231 .213 .229
2011 .253 .231 .217 .234
2012 .255 .245 .225 .238
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 25%
2009 27% 10% 26%
2010 36% 20% 32%
2011 58% 38% 30%
2012 78% 64% 33%
2013 71% 67% 32%
2014 86% 80% 31%

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