Brian Bixler

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time
Pirates Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

SS 8 Brian Bixler 10 63 .253 7 0 5 2 .319 .373 1.2

1 2008 Total 10 63 .253 7 0 5 2 .319 .373 1.2

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 6:48 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	596	91	35	5	11	54	49	130	22	6	2.4	.280	.350	.430	.009	.274	.348	.436	.272	29.2	140-SS -3	5.5
75^o	544	71	29	5	9	46	43	124	19	6	2.1	.263	.331	.394	-.086	.258	.328	.400	.254	14.6	128-SS -4	3.9
60^o	516	62	26	4	7	42	39	120	17	5	1.9	.254	.321	.375	-.134	.249	.318	.381	.245	8.0	121-SS -5	3.2
50^o	498	57	24	4	6	40	37	117	16	5	1.8	.249	.315	.364	-.163	.244	.312	.370	.239	4.4	118-SS -5	2.8
40^o	478	51	22	4	6	37	35	114	15	5	1.7	.243	.308	.352	-.196	.238	.306	.357	.233	0.6	113-SS -5	2.3
25^o	448	44	20	3	5	34	32	109	14	4	1.5	.234	.298	.334	-.243	.230	.296	.339	.222	-4.5	106-SS -6	1.7
10^o	361	27	13	3	2	24	23	94	10	3	1.2	.212	.271	.287	-.367	.208	.269	.292	.194	-14.1	87-SS -6	0.3
Weighted Mean	541	66	27	4	7	45	41	126	18	6	1.8	.253	.319	.373	-.141	.248	.317	.379	.243	10.5	127-SS -4	3.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
24%	45%	22%	20%	0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 25)	541	66	27	4	7	45	41	126	18	6	1.8	.253	.319	.373	-.141	.248	.317	.379	.243	10.5	127-SS -4	3.4
2009 (age 26)	482	57	23	4	7	40	38	110	16	5	1.5	.256	.326	.377	-.121	.248	.318	.377	.247	7.8	114-SS -5	2.6
2010 (age 27)	497	60	25	4	8	41	38	110	16	4	1.2	.257	.324	.380	-.119	.249	.317	.380	.248	7.0	117-SS -3	2.4
2011 (age 28)	464	56	23	2	7	40	39	99	15	4	1.1	.259	.332	.381	-.102	.250	.325	.381	.252	7.5	110-SS -5	2.2
2012 (age 29)	453	54	23	3	8	40	36	99	14	5	0.9	.261	.329	.389	-.096	.253	.322	.388	.251	6.6	107-SS -4	1.9
2013 (age 30)	486	60	25	3	9	47	42	105	15	4	0.8	.257	.331	.390	-.095	.249	.324	.389	.253	6.2	115-SS -8	1.7
2014 (age 31)	548	73	28	4	11	52	49	122	15	5	0.7	.266	.338	.405	-.056	.257	.330	.404	.259	7.4	129-SS -4	1.7

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.267	.336	.400
vs RHP	.248	.312	.358
Split	+.019	+.024	+.042
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.7	2.7	3.4	$5,475,000	6.8	8.8
2009	0.8	1.8	2.6	$3,950,000	3.5	6.1
2010	0.7	1.7	2.4	$4,075,000	4.6	7.0
2011	0.7	1.5	2.2	$3,975,000	4.4	6.7
2012	0.6	1.3	1.9	$3,675,000	4.2	6.0
2013	0.6	1.0	1.7	$3,125,000	2.7	4.6
2014	0.7	1.0	1.7	$3,825,000	4.7	7.1
Peak			14.2	$18,575,000	26.3	39.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.254	.239	.222	.243
2009	.263	.248	.225	.247
2010	.268	.254	.231	.248
2011	.267	.251	.228	.252
2012	.269	.250	.235	.251
2013	.283	.255	.237	.253
2014	.275	.259	.240	.259

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	20%	0%	24%
2009	36%	8%	24%
2010	48%	18%	31%
2011	52%	31%	25%
2012	56%	33%	31%
2013	63%	44%	26%
2014	68%	53%	24%

Player Comments

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2007

A decent hitter with good speed, Bixler impressed at Lynchburg and carried on in the same vein after a promotion to Altoona in the Eastern League. He`s 24 now, so it`s time for him to take Triple-A by storm and start that major league career sooner rather than later. A slide over to second base seems inevitable at this point, especially with Brent Lillibridge in the van.

Pos	Order	Name	PT%	PA	AVG	R	HR	RBI	SB	OBP	SLG	VORP
SS	8	Brian Bixler	10	63	.253	7	0	5	2	.319	.373	1.2
1		2008 Total	10	63	.253	7	0	5	2	.319	.373	1.2

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	HIC	1B	557	74	23	2	9	50	38	134	21	10	1.9	.281	.343	.388	.033	.210	.257	.285	.189	-34.5	125-SS -8	0.3
2006	LYN	1C	317	46	16	2	5	33	35	58	18	7	2.3	.303	.402	.434	.207	.256	.332	.377	.251	7.8	71-SS -7	1.6
2006	ALT	2A	253	36	13	1	3	19	16	57	6	2	2.3	.301	.363	.407	.135	.247	.302	.351	.232	-0.7	56-SS -7	0.8
2007	IND	3A	556	77	23	10	5	51	54	131	28	4	4.5	.274	.368	.396	.076	.249	.336	.383	.259	14.9	111-SS -7	4.2

Projected Playing Time

Historical Stats