<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

J.C. Boscan
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 29
6' 2"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 HUN AA 140 7 7 0 0 14 11 38 0 1 -0.7 .194 .259 .250 -.655 .148 .200 .188 .103 -22.2 35-C 0 -1.4
2007 CHT AA 111 7 1 0 1 9 24 21 1 0 0.0 .198 .369 .244 -.555 .129 .261 .172 .154 -14.0 28-C 0 -0.7
2007 LOU AAA 27 0 0 0 0 1 5 5 0 0 -0.1 .286 .407 .286 -.312 .227 .333 .227 .220 -1.4 7-C 0 0.0
2008 MIS AA 297 26 13 0 2 29 34 49 0 0 -4.1 .235 .334 .310 -.641 .143 .210 .184 .105 -45.9 76-C -2 -3.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 12:39 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 253 16 8 0 3 21 22 71 0 0 -1.4 .203 .276 .286 -.351 .203 .274 .295 .196 -10.5 62-C 2 0.1
75o 244 13 7 0 3 19 20 70 0 0 -1.3 .184 .256 .255 -.438 .184 .255 .263 .173 -15.1 61-C 2 -0.3
60o 238 11 6 0 2 18 19 69 0 0 -1.2 .171 .243 .234 -.495 .171 .242 .242 .155 -17.8 59-C 2 -0.6
50o 230 10 6 0 2 16 18 68 0 0 -1.1 .159 .230 .214 -.553 .159 .229 .220 .135 -20.4 57-C 2 -0.9
40o 223 8 5 0 1 15 17 67 0 0 -1.0 .149 .219 .197 -.598 .149 .218 .204 .115 -22.1 56-C 2 -1.1
25o 188 5 3 0 1 9 14 62 0 0 -0.8 .129 .198 .165 -.689 .129 .197 .170 .019 -22.6 48-C 2 -1.3
10o 188 5 3 0 1 9 14 62 0 0 -0.8 .129 .198 .165 -.689 .129 .197 .170 .019 -22.6 48-C 2 -1.3
Weighted Mean 228 9 5 0 2 15 18 68 0 0 -1.1 .153 .223 .204 -.568 .153 .222 .210 .122 -20.0 57-C 2 -0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

50%

54%

39%

35%

1.35

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 29) 228 9 5 0 2 15 18 68 0 0 -1.1 .153 .223 .204 -.568 .153 .222 .210 .122 -20.0 57-C 2 -0.7
2010 (age 30) 243 10 7 0 2 16 19 69 0 0 -0.7 .153 .225 .209 -.582 .151 .220 .213 .125 -12.0 60-C 2 -0.3
2011 (age 31) 305 15 7 0 2 22 24 87 0 0 -0.4 .164 .235 .216 -.549 .162 .231 .220 .139 -7.5 74-C 3 -0.2
2012 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 33)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 34)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 35)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .169 .242 .234
vs RHP .150 .218 .196
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -18.9 2.0 -0.7 $400,000 -19.4 0.0
2010 -19.8 2.0 -0.3 $400,000 -11.7 0.4
2011 -22.6 3.0 -0.2 $400,000 -7.1 0.1
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .173 .135 .019 .122
2010 .206 .142 .055 .125
2011 .194 .136 .069 .139
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 35% 0% 50%
2010 63% 46% 40%
2011 75% 63% 36%
2012 88% 76% 32%
2013 85% 80% 29%
2014 90% 85% 30%
2015 91% 88% 27%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

40

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Chris Tremie 1999 46 11 Jeff Horn 2000 30
2 Hector Ortiz 1999 38 12 Armando Camacaro 2008 27
3 Jose Monzon 1998 37 13 Dave Ullery 2004 27
4 Tony Defrancesco 1992 34 14 David Parrish 2008 27
5 Fausto Tejero 1998 34 15 Pedro Lopez 1998 26
6 Danny Fernandez 1995 31 16 Joe Hietpas 2008 26
7 Javier Cardona 2005 31 17 Tom Nieto 1990 26
8 Brian Loyd 2003 31 18 Brian Esposito 2008 25
9 Lance Rice 1996 30 19 Dave Huppert 1986 24
10 Jim McNamara 1994 30 20 Jeff Datz 1989 24

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.