Phillip Britton

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	DNV	Rk	238	34	18	0	7	35	7	31	1	2	0.0	.296	.321	.471	-.407	.210	.226	.319	.180	-41.5	46-C -7	-2.9
2007	ROM	A	364	54	22	3	10	44	9	44	4	4	-2.5	.287	.322	.455	-.356	.215	.239	.337	.191	-24.9	78-C -6	-1.9
2008	MYR	A+	317	30	10	1	6	26	11	42	5	2	-1.4	.246	.277	.347	-.417	.209	.234	.301	.182	-27.3	54-C 1	-1.6

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:40 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	409	36	20	1	8	45	17	79	3	2	0.0	.241	.277	.362	-.222	.242	.276	.374	.221	-6.0	98-C -5	0.5
75^o	397	32	18	1	7	42	15	78	3	2	0.0	.231	.266	.342	-.277	.231	.265	.353	.209	-11.0	95-C -5	0.0
60^o	380	27	16	1	6	38	14	76	2	2	0.0	.218	.251	.316	-.348	.218	.250	.326	.192	-16.8	91-C -5	-0.7
50^o	368	24	14	1	5	35	13	75	2	1	0.0	.209	.242	.299	-.395	.209	.241	.308	.180	-20.2	88-C -6	-1.1
40^o	362	22	14	1	5	33	12	74	2	1	0.0	.205	.237	.290	-.418	.205	.236	.299	.174	-21.9	87-C -6	-1.3
25^o	335	17	11	1	3	27	10	71	2	1	0.0	.189	.218	.258	-.505	.189	.217	.266	.147	-27.0	81-C -6	-2.0
10^o	270	9	7	0	1	16	7	61	1	1	0.0	.164	.190	.208	-.638	.164	.189	.215	.082	-30.1	66-C -6	-2.6
Weighted Mean	379	24	15	1	5	36	13	77	2	2	0.0	.207	.239	.294	-.399	.207	.238	.303	.176	-18.9	91-C -6	-0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
31%	43%	36%	18%	1.69

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 24)	379	24	15	1	5	36	13	77	2	2	0.0	.207	.239	.294	-.399	.207	.238	.303	.176	-18.9	91-C -6	-0.9
2010 (age 25)	316	18	12	1	5	30	12	66	2	1	0.0	.199	.234	.292	-.436	.196	.230	.297	.174	-14.1	77-C -4	-0.6
2011 (age 26)	273	15	9	1	4	24	10	58	1	1	0.0	.199	.237	.289	-.435	.196	.232	.295	.174	-8.4	67-C -4	-0.3
2012 (age 27)	337	21	15	1	5	34	13	71	2	1	0.0	.203	.239	.304	-.409	.200	.234	.310	.182	-6.7	81-C -6	-0.2
2013 (age 28)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 29)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 30)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.223	.257	.321
vs RHP	.203	.233	.283
Split	+.020	+.024	+.038
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-24.3	-6.0	-0.9	$400,000	-19.4	0.0
2010	-21.0	-4.0	-0.6	$400,000	-13.8	0.0
2011	-18.0	-4.0	-0.3	$400,000	-8.2	0.2
2012	-20.4	-6.0	-0.2	$400,000	-7.2	0.5
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.209	.180	.147	.176
2010	.211	.173	.140	.174
2011	.219	.169	.123	.174
2012	.222	.188	.130	.182
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	18%	0%	31%
2010	46%	28%	24%
2011	69%	49%	30%
2012	71%	61%	26%
2013	83%	71%	23%
2014	83%	76%	18%
2015	91%	84%	15%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

65

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Brad Dandridge	1996	65		11	Cesar Devarez	1994	50
2	John Castellano	2002	55		12	Rick Wrona	1988	49
3	Kyle Cooney	1998	55		13	John Duncan	1986	48
4	Chad Strickland	1996	53		14	Pee-Wee Lopez	2001	48
5	Pedro Grifol	1994	52		15	Max St._Pierre	2005	47
6	Bob Natal	1990	52		16	Gilberto Roca	1990	47
7	Javier Flores	2000	51		17	Guillermo Rodriguez	2003	46
8	Tracy Cowger	1981	50		18	Marc Tugwell	2006	46
9	Doyle Balthazar	1992	50		19	Jon Loy	1987	46
10	Keith Foley	1987	50		20	Bill Carlson	1990	46

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