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He's probably very handsome. David Bromberg
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 20
6' 5"
230 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 TWI OR 3 3 0 10 10 50.0 42 18 31 2 49% .267 -30 1.20 2.70 6.31 6.49 9.2 6.5 2.3 1.7 -4.3 0.2
2007 ELZ 0R 9 0 0 13 11 58.3 45 32 81 4 55% .320 -33 1.32 2.78 10.46 7.57 11.9 11.7 6.5 2.5 -9.6 -0.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 7:02 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 5 9 0 23 23 111.7 116 112 89 14 46% .307 -6 2.04 5.46 6.70 5.30 9.0 8.2 6.3 1.1 0.2 0.9 1.4
75o 4 9 0 22 22 100.7 113 114 80 15 47% .322 -15 2.25 6.90 7.74 6.76 9.8 9.3 6.2 1.3 -18.0 -1.0 -0.5
60o 3 10 0 21 21 94.7 110 112 74 15 47% .328 -19 2.35 7.91 8.19 7.83 10.1 9.7 6.2 1.4 -29.4 -2.2 -1.7
50o 3 10 0 21 21 92.7 108 110 73 15 47% .329 -20 2.35 8.30 8.21 8.26 10.1 9.7 6.2 1.4 -33.8 -2.6 -2.2
40o 2 10 0 21 21 90.7 103 105 72 14 47% .324 -19 2.29 8.84 7.91 8.94 9.9 9.5 6.2 1.4 -40.7 -3.3 -2.9
25o 2 10 0 25 18 91.3 95 92 73 12 47% .308 -15 2.05 9.37 6.76 9.80 9.1 8.3 6.3 1.2 -50.6 -4.3 -3.8
10o 2 11 0 24 18 95.7 81 71 79 8 47% .272 -3 1.59 9.60 4.51 10.71 7.4 6.0 6.5 0.7 -63.9 -5.6 -5.0
Weighted Mean 3 10 0 22 22 96.0 110 112 76 15 47% .325 -17 2.30 7.75 7.97 7.67 10.0 9.5 6.2 1.4 -24.7 -2.0 -1.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

20%

32%

37%

9%

1.59

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 20) 3 10 0 22 22 96.0 110 112 76 15 47% .325 -17 2.30 7.75 7.97 7.67 10.0 9.5 6.2 1.4 -24.7 -2.0 -1.2
2009 (age 21) 3 8 0 26 17 89.7 99 93 72 13 46% .320 -16 2.15 6.94 7.38 6.83 9.6 8.5 6.4 1.3 -14.0 -1.0 -0.3
2010 (age 22) 3 7 0 28 15 84.7 97 83 65 13 45% .325 -18 2.13 6.96 7.43 6.84 10.0 8.1 6.1 1.3 -12.6 -1.0 -0.2
2011 (age 23) 3 6 0 28 12 81.0 95 57 59 13 47% .320 -12 1.87 6.16 6.72 6.00 10.2 5.8 5.8 1.5 -4.8 -0.2 0.3
2012 (age 24) 2 4 0 24 7 57.0 67 38 46 8 48% .332 -8 1.83 5.96 6.44 5.83 10.2 5.4 6.3 1.3 -2.3 -0.1 0.3
2013 (age 25) 2 3 0 19 5 44.3 52 28 34 7 47% .323 -9 1.78 5.98 6.31 5.86 10.1 5.1 6.1 1.4 -2.3 -0.1 0.3
2014 (age 26) 2 4 0 21 6 46.0 61 40 34 8 48% .351 -21 2.18 6.68 8.26 6.39 11.5 7.2 5.8 1.5 -4.6 -0.4 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .296 .492 .500
vs RHB .284 .447 .447
Split +.012 +.045 +.052
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 -1.2 $400,000 -21.7 3.0
2009 -0.3 $400,000 -11.6 2.6
2010 -0.2 $400,000 -10.4 2.0
2011 0.3 $550,000 -3.1 2.8
2012 0.3 $525,000 -1.3 1.3
2013 0.3 $500,000 -1.3 1.8
2014 0.1 $400,000 -3.5 1.1
Peak 0.9 $300,000 0.0 13.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 6.76 8.26 9.80 7.67
2009 5.60 7.77 10.05 6.83
2010 5.53 6.56 8.74 6.84
2011 5.12 5.90 8.85 6.00
2012 5.14 6.15 9.00 5.83
2013 4.23 5.40 7.13 5.86
2014 4.71 5.44 7.64 6.39


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 9% 0% 20%
2009 22% 8% 24%
2010 32% 17% 23%
2011 48% 38% 36%
2012 64% 43% 31%
2013 72% 51% 33%
2014 70% 58% 23%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

25

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Jeremy Haynes 2007 41 11 Jason Phillips 1995 28
2 Larry Barnes 1997 35 12 Nick Maness 1999 28
3 Jon Huber 2002 33 13 Vince Perkins 2002 27
4 Josh Thigpen 2003 32 14 Matt Wright 2002 25
5 John Rocker 1995 31 15 Tim Perry 1998 23
6 Ambiorix Burgos 2005 31 16 Terrell Wade 1993 23
7 John Dillinger 1994 30 17 Marshall Boze 1992 22
8 Rocky Coppinger 1995 30 18 Henry Perez 2003 22
9 Jason Schmidt 1993 29 19 Phil Kendall 1998 22
10 Chris Mowday 2002 29 20 Joe Young 1996 20

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