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He's probably very handsome. Robert Bryson
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 20
6' 1"
200 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2007 HEL 0R 3 0 8 18 4 54.0 49 12 70 2 43% .367 -5 1.13 2.67 7.16 5.89 12.2 5.1 6.3 1.0 -1.4 0.6


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/19/08 3:08 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 7 5 1 27 15 99.0 95 53 81 11 43% .292 9 1.50 3.82 4.79 3.77 8.5 4.1 6.4 0.9 20.0 2.5 3.3
75o 6 6 1 27 15 95.0 99 56 74 12 43% .303 3 1.63 4.73 5.54 4.72 9.3 4.5 6.1 1.1 8.9 1.4 2.1
60o 5 6 0 27 15 92.7 102 58 69 13 43% .311 -2 1.73 5.40 6.10 5.42 9.8 4.7 5.9 1.2 1.2 0.7 1.3
50o 4 6 0 27 15 89.7 105 59 65 14 43% .320 -7 1.83 6.13 6.71 6.17 10.4 5.0 5.6 1.4 -6.7 -0.1 0.5
40o 4 7 0 27 14 89.0 106 60 63 15 43% .322 -9 1.86 6.37 6.90 6.41 10.6 5.1 5.5 1.4 -9.1 -0.3 0.3
25o 4 7 0 27 14 86.7 109 61 59 16 43% .329 -14 1.96 7.04 7.47 7.11 11.1 5.3 5.3 1.6 -15.8 -1.0 -0.4
10o 3 7 0 28 14 79.7 115 65 47 18 44% .349 -28 2.25 9.13 9.19 9.26 12.8 6.2 4.6 2.0 -34.4 -2.8 -2.3
Weighted Mean 5 7 0 30 16 99.7 115 65 72 15 43% .318 -6 1.80 5.97 6.56 6.00 10.3 4.9 5.7 1.4 -5.0 0.1 0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

24%

46%

24%

11%

1.55

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 20) 5 7 0 30 16 99.7 115 65 72 15 43% .318 -6 1.80 5.97 6.56 6.00 10.3 4.9 5.7 1.4 -5.0 0.1 0.5
2009 (age 21) 5 7 1 33 15 104.3 115 58 81 15 43% .312 -2 1.66 5.54 5.90 5.58 9.8 4.2 6.1 1.3 -0.6 0.5 1.0
2010 (age 22) 6 7 1 33 14 101.7 106 54 82 15 42% .300 0 1.57 5.19 5.48 5.22 9.3 4.0 6.3 1.3 2.7 0.9 1.2
2011 (age 23) 5 6 1 30 12 91.0 99 45 74 12 43% .317 3 1.58 5.11 5.45 5.15 9.7 3.7 6.4 1.1 3.0 0.9 1.1
2012 (age 24) 6 7 1 36 13 104.3 111 49 87 13 43% .314 4 1.54 4.98 5.20 5.04 9.5 3.6 6.5 1.1 3.7 1.1 1.1
2013 (age 25) 4 4 1 29 8 70.7 79 31 61 10 43% .324 4 1.55 5.00 5.49 5.00 9.9 3.3 6.8 1.2 3.3 0.7 1.0
2014 (age 26) 3 3 1 18 5 44.0 46 18 38 5 44% .309 7 1.44 4.65 4.78 4.70 9.2 3.1 6.8 1.1 4.1 0.6 0.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .287 .413 .467
vs RHB .276 .371 .419
Split +.010 +.043 +.048
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.5 $650,000 -5.0 3.9
2009 1.0 $1,075,000 -0.5 4.4
2010 1.2 $1,850,000 2.9 5.9
2011 1.1 $1,950,000 3.2 5.9
2012 1.1 $2,275,000 3.9 5.8
2013 1.0 $2,050,000 3.4 4.6
2014 0.9 $2,300,000 4.3 3.9
Peak 6.3 $7,175,000 18.0 31.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 4.72 6.17 7.11 6.00
2009 4.51 5.65 6.83 5.58
2010 4.01 5.31 6.89 5.22
2011 4.22 5.28 6.61 5.15
2012 4.18 5.42 6.72 5.04
2013 4.09 5.68 6.83 5.00
2014 4.32 5.51 6.29 4.70


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 11% 0% 24%
2009 12% 6% 31%
2010 27% 18% 38%
2011 31% 21% 28%
2012 37% 29% 33%
2013 51% 40% 23%
2014 66% 50% 25%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

28

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Julio Castro 2002 33 11 Jesus Silva 2003 24
2 Seung Song 2001 31 12 Adrian Manzano 1999 23
3 Anthony Swarzak 2006 29 13 Ricky Nolasco 2003 23
4 Kyle Davies 2004 25 14 Brian Rose 1996 23
5 Mike Bovee 1994 25 15 Manny Barrios 1995 22
6 Gaby Hernandez 2006 25 16 Glendon Rusch 1995 22
7 Jason Marquis 1999 25 17 Travis Foley 2003 22
8 Abel Moreno 2004 24 18 Eddy Garcia 1996 22
9 Paxton Crawford 1998 24 19 Edgar Ramos 1995 22
10 Michael Bowden 2007 24 20 Emiliano Fruto 2004 21

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