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He's probably very handsome. Wilber Bucardo
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 20
6' 2"
175 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2007 GIA 0R 6 2 0 11 11 60.3 46 10 34 1 66% .265 -19 0.93 1.94 5.07 4.96 8.4 3.9 1.4 1.0 3.7 1.3
2007 SLO 1A 1 0 0 1 1 5.0 7 1 3 0 57% .333 -20 1.60 3.60 6.89 9.00 14.4 3.6 1.8 0.0 -1.9 -0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 7:07 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 6 10 0 23 23 128.7 149 62 41 15 55% .290 -12 1.64 5.17 5.84 5.66 10.1 4.1 2.6 1.0 0.5 1.1 1.5
75o 5 11 0 23 23 124.3 150 63 37 16 55% .297 -16 1.72 5.75 6.34 6.29 10.6 4.3 2.5 1.1 -8.5 0.1 0.6
60o 4 11 0 23 23 118.3 152 63 33 18 55% .305 -21 1.82 6.52 7.01 7.13 11.2 4.5 2.3 1.3 -19.5 -1.0 -0.6
50o 4 11 0 29 20 116.3 152 64 31 19 55% .307 -27 1.85 6.78 7.24 7.40 11.4 4.6 2.2 1.4 -22.9 -1.4 -0.9
40o 3 11 0 30 20 110.7 152 64 27 20 54% .315 -32 1.95 7.54 7.90 8.21 12.1 4.8 2.1 1.6 -32.2 -2.4 -1.9
25o 3 10 0 30 19 105.7 153 64 24 21 54% .322 -38 2.05 8.29 8.56 9.00 12.6 5.1 1.9 1.7 -40.2 -3.2 -2.7
10o 2 9 0 32 16 90.0 151 63 14 24 53% .345 -55 2.38 10.67 10.84 11.47 14.7 5.9 1.3 2.3 -59.9 -5.2 -4.7
Weighted Mean 4 11 0 32 21 123.0 161 68 33 20 55% .308 -28 1.86 6.89 7.30 7.52 11.5 4.6 2.2 1.4 -23.9 -1.7 -1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

1%

8%

65%

10%

1.42

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 20) 4 11 0 32 21 123.0 161 68 33 20 55% .308 -28 1.86 6.89 7.30 7.52 11.5 4.6 2.2 1.4 -23.9 -1.7 -1.3
2009 (age 21) 4 10 0 36 17 113.7 147 56 38 16 54% .314 -25 1.78 6.66 6.86 7.31 11.3 4.1 2.7 1.2 -15.9 -1.4 -0.8
2010 (age 22) 4 9 0 36 15 107.3 129 45 43 12 54% .308 -16 1.63 5.72 5.86 6.32 10.6 3.6 3.3 0.9 -4.6 -0.2 0.1
2011 (age 23) 4 7 0 31 12 91.7 103 38 42 8 54% .299 -11 1.53 4.92 5.24 5.43 9.8 3.5 3.8 0.8 1.8 0.7 0.7
2012 (age 24) 6 9 1 45 15 127.7 141 44 64 12 54% .299 -6 1.45 4.51 4.90 4.97 9.7 2.9 4.2 0.8 5.4 1.6 1.1
2013 (age 25) 4 6 1 42 8 93.7 99 30 47 8 56% .290 -6 1.37 4.25 4.49 4.72 9.2 2.7 4.1 0.7 4.2 1.2 0.8
2014 (age 26)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .295 .406 .446
vs RHB .280 .358 .395
Split +.015 +.048 +.052
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 -1.3 $400,000 -26.6 0.2
2009 -0.8 $400,000 -17.9 0.8
2010 0.1 $425,000 -5.8 1.2
2011 0.7 $1,050,000 0.8 4.2
2012 1.1 $2,350,000 4.4 3.7
2013 0.8 $1,825,000 3.7 2.0
2014 0.9 $2,675,000 5.7 3.6
Peak 5.1 $6,850,000 22.6 26.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 6.29 7.40 9.00 7.52
2009 5.51 7.30 9.50 7.31
2010 5.25 6.40 7.51 6.32
2011 4.75 5.80 7.22 5.43
2012 4.17 5.38 6.23 4.97
2013 3.92 4.98 6.37 4.72
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 10% 0% 1%
2009 33% 9% 1%
2010 49% 38% 5%
2011 59% 45% 7%
2012 64% 53% 13%
2013 77% 64% 11%
2014 85% 73% 11%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

15

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Luis Mendoza 2004 44 11 BERT INMAN 1992 22
2 Juan Rodriguez 2002 37 12 Todd Etler 1994 22
3 Dallas Trahern 2006 33 13 Mitch Talbot 2004 21
4 Ricardo Burgos 1999 32 14 Jair Jurrjens 2006 21
5 Kyle Winters 2007 30 15 Scott Deal 2007 21
6 Yorman Bazardo 2005 28 16 Modesto Villarreal 1996 20
7 Fausto Carmona 2004 27 17 Matt Weber 2005 19
8 Angel Guzman 2002 23 18 Duaner Sanchez 2000 18
9 Jacob Ruckle 2007 23 19 Ronald Belizario 2003 17
10 Ricardo Palma 2000 22 20 Luis Delossantos 1998 17

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