Wilber Bucardo

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2007	GIA	0R	6	2	0	11	11	60.3	46	10	34	1	66%	.265	-19	0.93	1.94	5.07	4.96	8.4	3.9	1.4	1.0	3.7		1.3
2007	SLO	1A	1	0	0	1	1	5.0	7	1	3	0	57%	.333	-20	1.60	3.60	6.89	9.00	14.4	3.6	1.8	0.0	-1.9		-0.2

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 7:07 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
90^o	6	10	0	23	23	128.7	149	62	41	15	55%	.290	-12	1.64	5.17	5.84	5.66	10.1	4.1	2.6	1.0	0.5	1.1	1.5
75^o	5	11	0	23	23	124.3	150	63	37	16	55%	.297	-16	1.72	5.75	6.34	6.29	10.6	4.3	2.5	1.1	-8.5	0.1	0.6
60^o	4	11	0	23	23	118.3	152	63	33	18	55%	.305	-21	1.82	6.52	7.01	7.13	11.2	4.5	2.3	1.3	-19.5	-1.0	-0.6
50^o	4	11	0	29	20	116.3	152	64	31	19	55%	.307	-27	1.85	6.78	7.24	7.40	11.4	4.6	2.2	1.4	-22.9	-1.4	-0.9
40^o	3	11	0	30	20	110.7	152	64	27	20	54%	.315	-32	1.95	7.54	7.90	8.21	12.1	4.8	2.1	1.6	-32.2	-2.4	-1.9
25^o	3	10	0	30	19	105.7	153	64	24	21	54%	.322	-38	2.05	8.29	8.56	9.00	12.6	5.1	1.9	1.7	-40.2	-3.2	-2.7
10^o	2	9	0	32	16	90.0	151	63	14	24	53%	.345	-55	2.38	10.67	10.84	11.47	14.7	5.9	1.3	2.3	-59.9	-5.2	-4.7
Weighted Mean	4	11	0	32	21	123.0	161	68	33	20	55%	.308	-28	1.86	6.89	7.30	7.52	11.5	4.6	2.2	1.4	-23.9	-1.7	-1.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
1%	8%	65%	10%	1.42

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2008 (age 20)	4	11	0	32	21	123.0	161	68	33	20	55%	.308	-28	1.86	6.89	7.30	7.52	11.5	4.6	2.2	1.4	-23.9	-1.7	-1.3
2009 (age 21)	4	10	0	36	17	113.7	147	56	38	16	54%	.314	-25	1.78	6.66	6.86	7.31	11.3	4.1	2.7	1.2	-15.9	-1.4	-0.8
2010 (age 22)	4	9	0	36	15	107.3	129	45	43	12	54%	.308	-16	1.63	5.72	5.86	6.32	10.6	3.6	3.3	0.9	-4.6	-0.2	0.1
2011 (age 23)	4	7	0	31	12	91.7	103	38	42	8	54%	.299	-11	1.53	4.92	5.24	5.43	9.8	3.5	3.8	0.8	1.8	0.7	0.7
2012 (age 24)	6	9	1	45	15	127.7	141	44	64	12	54%	.299	-6	1.45	4.51	4.90	4.97	9.7	2.9	4.2	0.8	5.4	1.6	1.1
2013 (age 25)	4	6	1	42	8	93.7	99	30	47	8	56%	.290	-6	1.37	4.25	4.49	4.72	9.2	2.7	4.1	0.7	4.2	1.2	0.8
2014 (age 26)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHB	.295	.406	.446
vs RHB	.280	.358	.395
Split	+.015	+.048	+.052
LgAvg	+.009	+.034	+.039

Valuation

Year	WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2008	-1.3	$400,000	-26.6	0.2
2009	-0.8	$400,000	-17.9	0.8
2010	0.1	$425,000	-5.8	1.2
2011	0.7	$1,050,000	0.8	4.2
2012	1.1	$2,350,000	4.4	3.7
2013	0.8	$1,825,000	3.7	2.0
2014	0.9	$2,675,000	5.7	3.6
Peak	5.1	$6,850,000	22.6	26.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	6.29	7.40	9.00	7.52
2009	5.51	7.30	9.50	7.31
2010	5.25	6.40	7.51	6.32
2011	4.75	5.80	7.22	5.43
2012	4.17	5.38	6.23	4.97
2013	3.92	4.98	6.37	4.72
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	10%	0%	1%
2009	33%	9%	1%
2010	49%	38%	5%
2011	59%	45%	7%
2012	64%	53%	13%
2013	77%	64%	11%
2014	85%	73%	11%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

15

Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend
1	Luis Mendoza	2004	44		11	BERT INMAN	1992	22
2	Juan Rodriguez	2002	37		12	Todd Etler	1994	22
3	Dallas Trahern	2006	33		13	Mitch Talbot	2004	21
4	Ricardo Burgos	1999	32		14	Jair Jurrjens	2006	21
5	Kyle Winters	2007	30		15	Scott Deal	2007	21
6	Yorman Bazardo	2005	28		16	Modesto Villarreal	1996	20
7	Fausto Carmona	2004	27		17	Matt Weber	2005	19
8	Angel Guzman	2002	23		18	Duaner Sanchez	2000	18
9	Jacob Ruckle	2007	23		19	Ronald Belizario	2003	17
10	Ricardo Palma	2000	22		20	Luis Delossantos	1998	17

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