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He's probably very handsome. Tyler Bullock
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 24
6' 3"
225 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 DNV 0R 1 0 3 14 0 20.0 13 10 14 1 44% .214 -67 1.15 3.60 8.15 8.40 9.6 12.0 1.8 1.8 -4.7 -0.3
2005 MYR 1C 0 0 0 1 0 3.0 2 1 2 0 44% .222 1 1.00 0.00 1.81 0.00 6.8 3.4 3.4 0.0 1.7 0.1
2006 ROM 1B 7 4 0 23 8 80.2 83 37 58 5 46% .318 -37 1.50 4.15 7.96 8.05 11.6 7.0 3.1 1.6 -18.9 -1.1
2006 MYR 1C 1 2 1 7 4 27.2 31 13 8 6 42% .258 -72 1.62 6.29 13.63 12.60 12.2 5.8 0.7 4.0 -19.4 -1.8
2007 MYR 1C 2 2 1 33 0 45.7 39 30 33 1 48% .288 -35 1.51 4.73 5.94 7.14 9.1 8.5 3.8 0.7 -6.9 -0.1
2007 MIS 2A 1 0 0 9 0 18.3 24 9 8 2 30% .355 -48 1.80 7.38 8.60 12.46 12.5 5.2 2.1 1.6 -13.2 -0.8


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 7:14 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 3 4 0 25 8 63.3 66 47 34 6 42% .287 -17 1.78 5.00 5.87 5.29 9.1 6.0 4.3 0.9 3.0 0.6 1.0
75o 3 4 0 24 8 59.0 65 49 31 7 42% .296 -23 1.93 6.00 6.64 6.35 9.6 6.7 4.3 1.0 -4.4 -0.1 0.2
60o 2 4 0 23 7 55.3 64 50 29 7 42% .304 -28 2.05 6.92 7.31 7.34 10.1 7.3 4.3 1.2 -10.5 -0.7 -0.4
50o 2 4 0 23 7 53.3 63 50 28 8 42% .309 -31 2.12 7.44 7.66 7.91 10.3 7.6 4.3 1.2 -13.6 -1.0 -0.7
40o 2 4 0 22 7 50.7 61 50 27 8 42% .313 -34 2.20 8.21 8.08 8.77 10.6 7.9 4.2 1.3 -17.9 -1.4 -1.2
25o 1 4 0 21 6 47.3 58 48 25 7 42% .315 -37 2.23 9.33 8.24 10.12 10.8 8.1 4.2 1.4 -24.1 -2.0 -1.8
10o 1 4 0 18 5 48.3 43 26 27 3 42% .263 -17 1.43 10.51 4.02 12.98 7.8 4.4 4.4 0.5 -40.7 -3.4 -3.2
Weighted Mean 2 4 0 21 7 49.7 58 45 26 7 42% .305 -29 2.07 7.24 7.39 7.72 10.2 7.4 4.3 1.2 -11.0 -0.9 -0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

38%

61%

21%

14%

1.38

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 24) 2 4 0 21 7 49.7 58 45 26 7 42% .305 -29 2.07 7.24 7.39 7.72 10.2 7.4 4.3 1.2 -11.0 -0.9 -0.6
2009 (age 25) 2 4 0 23 6 53.3 60 42 28 8 42% .295 -27 1.91 6.56 6.93 6.94 9.9 6.3 4.2 1.3 -4.6 -0.5 -0.2
2010 (age 26) 2 4 0 25 7 55.7 65 45 28 9 39% .298 -30 1.97 6.87 7.24 7.24 10.2 6.5 4.0 1.3 -3.8 -0.7 -0.2
2011 (age 27)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .296 .448 .488
vs RHB .275 .404 .422
Split +.021 +.043 +.066
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 -0.6 $400,000 -12.3 1.0
2009 -0.2 $400,000 -5.4 0.5
2010 -0.2 $400,000 -4.4 0.4
2011 0.0 $400,000 -2.3 0.5
2012 0.1 $400,000 0.0 0.1
2013 0.0 $400,000 0.0 0.2
2014 0.0 $400,000 0.0 0.1
Peak 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 6.35 7.91 10.12 7.72
2009 5.53 7.28 9.33 6.94
2010 5.96 6.54 9.42 7.24
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 14% 0% 38%
2009 53% 38% 38%
2010 68% 63% 34%
2011 80% 73% 29%
2012 87% 85% 23%
2013 89% 86% 18%
2014 91% 90% 15%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

63

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Jason Richardson 2004 56 11 Joe Messman 2000 48
2 Ben Cox 2006 56 12 Andy Cavazos 2005 47
3 Chris McGee 2002 55 13 Scott Vander_Weg 2007 47
4 Matt Wells 1999 51 14 PAT MORPHY 1992 47
5 Landon Stockman 2004 51 15 Pete Magre 1995 47
6 DONNIE LESHNOCK 1995 50 16 Manny Santillan 2004 47
7 CHIP WINIARSKI 1993 49 17 Carlos Thomas 1995 46
8 Robert Worley 1995 49 18 Jonathan Searles 2005 46
9 Anthony Pannone 2005 48 19 Felix Villegas 2003 46
10 Keith Glauber 1996 48 20 Tony Dougherty 1997 46

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