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Francisco Cervelli
New York Yankees [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 22
6' 1"
170 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 STA 1A 157 21 10 0 2 16 13 30 0 0 -0.6 .309 .397 .426 .339 .238 .306 .343 .230 -3.9 36-C 0 1.0
2007 TAM 1C 348 34 24 2 2 32 36 59 4 3 -2.9 .279 .387 .397 .117 .239 .328 .355 .242 1.0 88-C 8 3.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:01 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 370 41 23 1 7 41 33 83 3 2 -0.8 .261 .341 .403 -.032 .261 .345 .420 .272 12.9 89-C 3 3.6
75o 343 32 19 1 5 36 27 78 3 2 -0.7 .243 .317 .366 -.132 .244 .321 .382 .251 3.5 83-C 3 2.7
60o 332 29 18 1 5 33 25 76 3 2 -0.6 .236 .307 .351 -.174 .236 .311 .366 .242 0.1 80-C 3 2.3
50o 323 26 17 1 4 31 23 74 3 2 -0.6 .231 .300 .340 -.204 .231 .303 .355 .236 -2.3 78-C 2 2.1
40o 310 23 16 1 4 29 21 72 3 2 -0.6 .223 .290 .325 -.246 .224 .293 .339 .226 -5.4 75-C 2 1.7
25o 296 20 14 1 3 26 19 69 3 2 -0.5 .215 .278 .308 -.292 .216 .281 .322 .215 -8.5 72-C 2 1.4
10o 277 16 13 1 2 23 16 66 2 1 -0.5 .206 .264 .288 -.348 .206 .267 .301 .201 -11.7 68-C 2 1.0
Weighted Mean 345 29 18 1 5 34 25 79 3 2 -0.6 .232 .302 .343 -.196 .232 .305 .358 .237 -2.2 83-C 3 2.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

23%

50%

26%

16%

1.17

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 22) 345 29 18 1 5 34 25 79 3 2 -0.6 .232 .302 .343 -.196 .232 .305 .358 .237 -2.2 83-C 3 2.5
2009 (age 23) 322 29 18 1 5 34 25 70 3 2 -0.6 .241 .312 .362 -.148 .245 .321 .385 .247 1.8 78-C 2 2.3
2010 (age 24) 308 27 17 1 5 34 23 66 3 2 -0.5 .243 .312 .366 -.141 .247 .321 .390 .248 2.0 75-C 0 1.8
2011 (age 25) 287 24 16 1 5 32 21 60 2 1 -0.3 .239 .310 .368 -.146 .243 .318 .391 .248 1.1 70-C 1 1.2
2012 (age 26) 334 33 18 1 7 39 27 74 3 2 -0.3 .247 .322 .383 -.100 .251 .331 .407 .257 2.7 81-C 1 1.3
2013 (age 27) 285 25 15 1 5 33 23 56 2 2 -0.2 .253 .323 .379 -.098 .257 .332 .404 .256 1.9 70-C -3 0.9
2014 (age 28) 326 33 18 1 8 41 26 65 3 1 -0.2 .251 .322 .400 -.074 .256 .331 .425 .262 2.5 79-C 1 1.0

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .248 .319 .368
vs RHP .227 .294 .330
Split +.021 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 2.2 2.5 $3,200,000 1.3 3.8
2009 0.5 1.7 2.3 $3,550,000 4.4 8.5
2010 0.5 1.4 1.8 $2,825,000 2.8 6.3
2011 0.3 1.0 1.2 $1,950,000 2.1 4.2
2012 0.4 0.9 1.3 $2,575,000 3.8 6.7
2013 0.3 0.6 0.9 $1,750,000 2.4 4.9
2014 0.3 0.7 1.0 $2,425,000 3.8 6.1
Peak 10.1 $11,525,000 19.3 36.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .251 .236 .215 .237
2009 .266 .234 .221 .247
2010 .260 .240 .227 .248
2011 .256 .236 .221 .248
2012 .270 .248 .220 .257
2013 .271 .245 .226 .256
2014 .258 .249 .236 .262


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 16% 0% 23%
2009 24% 10% 29%
2010 30% 20% 32%
2011 57% 41% 30%
2012 66% 53% 36%
2013 82% 65% 34%
2014 78% 66% 33%

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