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Jeff Christy
Minnesota Twins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6' 1"
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 ELZ Rk 96 10 4 0 1 11 14 13 0 0 -0.3 .259 .375 .346 -.544 .159 .229 .227 .139 -24.8 20-C -1 -1.2
2006 FTM A+ 17 0 0 0 0 1 1 4 0 0 0.0 .063 .118 .063 -.997 .062 .118 .062 .000 -4.5 5-C 0 -0.2
2007 FTM A+ 251 26 7 0 2 22 19 45 2 0 -1.3 .225 .288 .282 -.543 .177 .231 .220 .147 -32.0 62-C 0 -1.7
2007 NBR AA 24 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 0 0 -0.3 .368 .500 .421 .041 .300 .417 .350 .284 1.2 7-C -2 0.0
2008 NBR AA 88 10 4 0 0 4 12 14 0 0 1.1 .216 .322 .270 -.429 .184 .276 .237 .186 -7.9 24-C -1 -0.4
2008 ROC AAA 111 14 6 0 0 5 15 26 0 1 -0.2 .211 .321 .278 -.349 .196 .306 .250 .205 -7.0 32-C 1 0.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/8/09 12:53 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 266 20 9 0 2 20 27 66 1 0 -0.5 .208 .293 .279 -.308 .210 .297 .292 .213 -8.4 65-C 0 0.4
75o 257 16 8 0 2 17 23 65 1 0 -0.5 .189 .266 .247 -.412 .190 .270 .258 .186 -14.3 63-C 0 -0.2
60o 251 14 7 0 1 16 21 64 1 0 -0.4 .177 .250 .227 -.474 .179 .253 .238 .167 -17.6 62-C 1 -0.6
50o 248 13 7 0 1 15 20 64 1 0 -0.4 .172 .243 .218 -.503 .174 .246 .229 .158 -19.1 61-C 1 -0.7
40o 243 11 6 0 1 14 19 63 1 0 -0.4 .166 .233 .207 -.539 .167 .236 .217 .145 -20.8 60-C 1 -0.9
25o 234 9 5 0 0 12 16 62 1 0 -0.4 .154 .216 .188 -.602 .156 .220 .197 .118 -23.4 58-C 1 -1.3
10o 209 6 4 0 0 7 12 58 0 0 -0.3 .132 .183 .151 -.726 .133 .186 .158 .046 -27.1 53-C 1 -1.6
Weighted Mean 251 12 7 0 1 15 20 65 1 0 -0.4 .169 .238 .213 -.508 .170 .241 .223 .152 -19.9 62-C 1 -0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

28%

35%

47%

29%

1.26

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 25) 251 12 7 0 1 15 20 65 1 0 -0.4 .169 .238 .213 -.508 .170 .241 .223 .152 -19.9 62-C 1 -0.7
2010 (age 26) 237 12 7 0 1 14 20 62 1 0 -0.2 .163 .236 .218 -.509 .167 .243 .231 .155 -12.2 59-C 1 -0.4
2011 (age 27) 219 11 7 0 1 14 19 58 1 0 -0.1 .176 .251 .233 -.454 .180 .258 .247 .171 -6.6 55-C 1 0.0
2012 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .186 .257 .243
vs RHP .166 .232 .205
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -16.9 1.0 -0.7 $400,000 -18.5 0.0
2010 -15.5 1.0 -0.4 $400,000 -12.1 0.1
2011 -11.8 1.0 0.0 $400,000 -5.9 0.1
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 $25,000 0.0 0.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .186 .158 .118 .152
2010 .187 .145 .113 .155
2011 .211 .184 .125 .171
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 29% 0% 28%
2010 55% 33% 22%
2011 72% 55% 27%
2012 83% 73% 23%
2013 86% 78% 23%
2014 89% 85% 23%
2015 92% 85% 19%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

66

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Bryan Graves 1999 62 11 Dave Liddell 1991 51
2 Brad King 2000 56 12 Scott Maynard 2002 51
3 J.C. Boscan 2005 54 13 Tim McKinley 1989 51
4 James Jones 1987 54 14 Chris Martine 2000 50
5 Robert Spurlin 1983 53 15 Roman Escamilla 1999 50
6 Jesse Baez 1982 53 16 Angel Morris 1988 50
7 Marc Loeb 1995 53 17 Mike Morland 1994 49
8 Joshua Emmerick 2006 53 18 Tom Carcione 1992 49
9 Mike Nickeas 2008 52 19 Luke Carlin 2006 49
10 Mike Seestedt 2003 52 20 Dave Huppert 1982 49

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