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He's probably very handsome. Michael Cisco
Philadelphia Phillies [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 22
5' 11"
190 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 WPT A- 1 0 0 9 1 19.3 18 5 22 1 57% .327 -3 1.19 1.87 -1 4.32 12.4 3.8 4.9 1.6 2.4 0.0 0.4
2008 LWD A 2 1 0 8 6 35.0 22 0 30 0 64% .227 4 0.63 0.51 5 3.55 7.1 0.8 3.5 0.3 7.5 0.0 1.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/10/09 6:21 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 7 7 0 30 18 121.0 129 38 76 14 49% .296 11 1.38 4.49 -1 4.70 9.5 2.5 4.9 1.0 13.4 2.1 2.4
75o 6 7 0 30 18 115.7 131 40 69 16 49% .303 6 1.47 5.15 0 5.37 10.1 2.7 4.6 1.2 3.9 1.1 1.4
60o 6 8 0 29 17 111.3 133 41 63 17 49% .309 2 1.55 5.70 0 5.93 10.6 2.9 4.4 1.3 -3.4 0.4 0.6
50o 5 8 0 29 17 107.7 134 42 58 18 49% .314 -1 1.63 6.19 0 6.42 11.0 3.1 4.2 1.5 -9.5 -0.2 0.0
40o 5 8 0 29 17 104.7 134 43 55 19 49% .318 -4 1.69 6.61 0 6.84 11.4 3.2 4.0 1.6 -14.3 -0.7 -0.6
25o 4 8 0 29 16 98.0 135 44 46 21 49% .328 -11 1.83 7.60 0 7.83 12.3 3.6 3.6 1.9 -24.5 -1.8 -1.7
10o 3 8 0 29 16 91.0 136 46 38 22 49% .337 -18 1.99 8.67 0 8.90 13.3 3.9 3.2 2.1 -34.0 -2.7 -2.7
Weighted Mean 5 8 0 31 18 112.3 140 44 61 19 49% .315 -1 1.63 6.24 0 6.47 11.1 3.1 4.2 1.5 -10.0 -0.3 -0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

95%

3%

1.32

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA DEF ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2009 (age 22) 5 8 0 31 18 112.3 140 44 61 19 49% .315 -1 1.63 6.24 0 6.47 11.1 3.1 4.2 1.5 -10.0 -0.3 -0.3
2010 (age 23) 5 7 0 36 13 101.0 125 37 56 14 49% .320 -3 1.60 5.90 0 6.15 11.0 2.9 4.3 1.2 -4.8 0.0 0.1
2011 (age 24) 5 6 0 33 12 91.0 109 34 53 12 49% .316 -1 1.57 5.47 0 5.69 10.7 2.9 4.5 1.2 -0.2 0.4 0.5
2012 (age 25) 4 5 0 30 9 78.7 89 29 49 10 50% .309 2 1.50 5.03 0 5.24 10.1 2.9 4.8 1.1 2.3 0.7 0.6
2013 (age 26) 4 4 1 26 7 66.7 73 21 45 9 49% .301 5 1.40 4.74 0 4.95 9.7 2.5 5.2 1.1 3.2 0.8 0.6
2014 (age 27) 3 3 1 27 5 58.0 66 19 40 7 50% .317 5 1.45 4.76 0 4.96 10.1 2.6 5.4 1.0 2.3 0.6 0.4
2015 (age 28)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .267 .345 .414
vs RHB .258 .311 .375
Split +.009 +.034 +.039
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2009 -0.3 $400,000 -11.8 1.4
2010 0.1 $400,000 -6.1 1.5
2011 0.5 $850,000 -1.3 2.3
2012 0.6 $1,175,000 1.7 3.4
2013 0.6 $1,425,000 2.8 2.7
2014 0.4 $1,225,000 2.0 1.4
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.0 $3,050,000 11.7 13.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 5.37 6.42 7.83 6.47
2010 5.34 6.27 7.26 6.15
2011 4.66 5.98 7.07 5.69
2012 4.17 5.65 7.26 5.24
2013 4.01 5.57 6.52 4.95
2014 4.16 5.27 6.60 4.96
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 3% 0% 0%
2010 17% 9% 0%
2011 31% 19% 0%
2012 51% 35% 1%
2013 61% 49% 1%
2014 68% 62% 1%
2015 75% 68% 2%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

29

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Dylan Owen 2008 66 11 Jason Jarvis 1995 25
2 Brandon Lyon 2001 37 12 Dillon Gee 2008 24
3 Jesse Todd 2008 32 13 Rett Johnson 2001 24
4 Clint Brannon 2005 31 14 Ben Washburn 2001 24
5 Brandon Reed 1997 30 15 John Mitcheltree 1982 23
6 Jody Treadwell 1991 30 16 Mike Wood 2002 23
7 Pat Tilmon 1988 26 17 Thomas Mohr 1985 23
8 Will Cunnane 1996 26 18 Edward McCarter 1985 23
9 Rich Linares 1994 26 19 Jacob Ruckle 2008 22
10 Wade Miller 1998 25 20 Marty Leach 1982 22

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