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He's probably very handsome. Hank Conger
Anaheim Angels [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 20
6'
205 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 ANG 0R 76 11 3 4 1 11 7 11 1 0 0.0 .319 .382 .522 .299 .222 .263 .333 .203 -11.0 0.0
2007 ANG 0R 15 2 1 0 0 3 0 3 0 0 0.1 .267 .267 .333 -.191 .200 .200 .267 .136 -4.3 0.0
2007 CDR 1B 320 33 20 0 11 48 21 48 9 4 -2.7 .290 .336 .472 .185 .233 .274 .368 .224 -7.4 68-C -8 0.9


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:17 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 593 68 34 1 15 71 38 114 10 4 -0.7 .265 .315 .416 -.055 .262 .315 .435 .262 16.2 139-C -8 4.0
75o 562 55 30 1 12 63 33 112 10 4 -0.7 .249 .296 .382 -.144 .246 .296 .399 .245 3.3 132-C -6 3.0
60o 534 46 27 1 10 56 30 109 9 4 -0.6 .236 .282 .354 -.215 .234 .281 .370 .230 -6.1 126-C -4 2.3
50o 518 42 26 1 8 51 28 108 9 4 -0.6 .229 .273 .338 -.255 .226 .273 .353 .221 -11.0 122-C -3 1.8
40o 503 37 24 1 7 48 26 106 8 4 -0.5 .222 .265 .324 -.292 .220 .265 .338 .212 -15.1 119-C -2 1.5
25o 477 31 22 1 6 42 23 103 8 4 -0.5 .212 .253 .301 -.348 .209 .253 .315 .198 -20.9 113-C -1 1.0
10o 442 25 19 1 4 35 20 99 7 3 -0.4 .199 .238 .274 -.419 .197 .238 .286 .179 -26.9 105-C 1 0.4
Weighted Mean 526 43 26 1 9 53 28 109 9 4 -0.6 .230 .274 .341 -.248 .228 .274 .356 .222 -11.2 124-C -4 2.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

43%

58%

23%

5%

1.09

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 20) 526 43 26 1 9 53 28 109 9 4 -0.6 .230 .274 .341 -.248 .228 .274 .356 .222 -11.2 124-C -4 2.2
2009 (age 21) 466 39 23 1 9 48 28 88 8 4 -0.6 .238 .286 .360 -.197 .240 .290 .383 .233 -3.3 110-C -4 2.4
2010 (age 22) 480 44 25 1 10 53 29 86 8 3 -0.5 .250 .299 .382 -.138 .251 .303 .406 .246 3.1 113-C -6 2.5
2011 (age 23) 485 46 26 1 11 55 31 87 8 3 -0.5 .251 .302 .387 -.125 .253 .306 .412 .249 4.3 115-C -7 2.7
2012 (age 24) 454 45 25 1 11 54 28 82 8 3 -0.4 .263 .313 .411 -.067 .265 .317 .437 .260 8.0 107-C -7 2.5
2013 (age 25) 456 45 25 1 13 57 32 82 7 3 -0.4 .257 .309 .415 -.072 .259 .314 .442 .260 7.1 108-C -6 2.3
2014 (age 26) 404 40 22 1 12 51 28 69 6 3 -0.4 .268 .319 .431 -.027 .269 .324 .458 .268 9.3 96-C -7 2.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .225 .269 .321
vs RHP .231 .277 .352
Split -.007 -.007 -.031
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.3 2.4 2.2 $2,500,000 -12.4 1.2
2009 0.2 2.2 2.4 $3,125,000 -4.7 3.7
2010 0.7 1.8 2.5 $3,525,000 0.0 6.7
2011 0.9 1.8 2.7 $4,300,000 1.6 9.8
2012 1.1 1.5 2.5 $5,325,000 6.3 12.9
2013 1.0 1.3 2.3 $5,075,000 5.3 12.7
2014 1.1 1.4 2.5 $6,400,000 7.8 13.5
Peak 15.2 $21,625,000 37.6 75.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .245 .221 .198 .222
2009 .249 .227 .199 .233
2010 .258 .235 .215 .246
2011 .269 .239 .219 .249
2012 .281 .250 .225 .260
2013 .275 .251 .225 .260
2014 .293 .260 .236 .268


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 5% 0% 43%
2009 3% 2% 58%
2010 16% 7% 63%
2011 15% 11% 68%
2012 36% 25% 68%
2013 37% 32% 68%
2014 44% 34% 67%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

39

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jarrod Saltalamacchia 1992 40 11 Bryan Anderson 2003 33
2 Ryan Luzinski 1979 36 12 Lance Jennings 1971 33
3 Javier Valentin 1981 36 13 Scott Heard 1982 33
4 Ryan Doumit 1970 36 14 Ryan Christianson 1960 33
5 Brian Mccann 1973 35 15 James Loney 2007 32
6 Jeff Mathis 1992 35 16 Eddie Pearson 1975 32
7 Rene Rivera 1975 34 17 Dmitri Young 1969 32
8 Neil Walker 1975 34 18 Jeff Goldbach 2000 31
9 Paul Konerko 1957 34 19 Jeff Winchester 1979 30
10 Mike Lieberthal 1998 33 20 Jason Kendall 2005 30

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