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Brooks Conrad
Houston Astros [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Second Base
Bats B
Age 28
5' 11"
190 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Athletics Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
2B 2 Brooks Conrad 5 37 .225 8 2 8 1 .303 .404 1.0
3B 3 Brooks Conrad 5 36 .225 8 2 8 1 .303 .404 1.0
2   2008 Total 10 73 .225 8 2 8 1 .303 .404 1.0

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CCH 2A 94 13 6 1 2 11 16 15 8 0 0.6 .234 .372 .416 .069 .203 .337 .380 .263 1.1 21-2B 2 0.8
2005 ROU 3A 483 84 22 3 21 57 52 104 12 3 2.4 .263 .347 .481 .087 .229 .306 .411 .250 5.1 107-2B 7 4.0
2006 ROU 3A 599 100 40 15 24 94 54 135 15 6 3.7 .267 .334 .534 .207 .245 .308 .495 .269 27.6 97-2B 6 5.5
2007 ROU 3A 605 85 36 3 22 70 63 144 12 3 2.0 .218 .305 .420 -.104 .195 .279 .377 .230 -13.3 120-2B -18 1.0


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 8:24 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 563 83 32 4 24 77 60 129 15 4 1.5 .253 .337 .483 .035 .255 .340 .492 .280 29.6 132-2B 0 5.7
75o 531 71 29 4 21 69 54 125 13 4 1.4 .241 .324 .455 -.033 .243 .326 .464 .268 19.2 125-2B -1 4.6
60o 507 63 27 3 19 63 50 123 12 4 1.3 .233 .314 .435 -.082 .235 .316 .444 .259 12.5 120-2B -2 3.9
50o 481 55 25 3 17 57 46 119 11 4 1.2 .224 .303 .414 -.134 .226 .306 .422 .249 5.9 114-2B -3 3.1
40o 462 50 23 3 15 53 44 116 11 3 1.1 .218 .296 .399 -.172 .220 .298 .407 .242 1.5 109-2B -3 2.6
25o 430 42 21 2 13 46 39 112 9 3 1.0 .208 .284 .375 -.231 .209 .286 .383 .230 -4.6 102-2B -4 1.8
10o 383 32 18 2 10 37 33 103 8 3 0.8 .194 .266 .342 -.314 .195 .268 .349 .212 -11.7 92-2B -5 0.8
Weighted Mean 501 60 26 3 18 61 49 123 12 4 1.2 .228 .308 .423 -.112 .230 .310 .431 .253 11.8 118-2B -2 3.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

28%

53%

20%

18%

0.82

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 28) 501 60 26 3 18 61 49 123 12 4 1.2 .228 .308 .423 -.112 .230 .310 .431 .253 11.8 118-2B -2 3.6
2009 (age 29) 461 52 23 3 16 57 45 114 9 3 0.9 .226 .308 .416 -.122 .225 .305 .417 .250 5.8 109-2B -4 2.5
2010 (age 30) 552 70 30 3 20 70 54 131 12 3 0.8 .233 .314 .432 -.087 .231 .311 .432 .257 7.7 130-2B -4 2.3
2011 (age 31) 525 65 26 3 21 66 52 125 8 3 0.6 .231 .312 .433 -.089 .229 .310 .433 .255 5.4 123-2B -3 1.8
2012 (age 32) 396 43 19 2 15 52 38 90 6 2 0.3 .229 .307 .421 -.116 .227 .304 .421 .250 2.5 95-2B -6 1.0
2013 (age 33) 412 41 20 2 13 50 39 94 7 2 0.3 .211 .292 .388 -.197 .210 .290 .389 .236 -0.3 98-2B -8 0.7
2014 (age 34) 278 23 13 1 9 36 25 74 5 2 0.1 .185 .268 .362 -.291 .184 .265 .362 .217 -1.9 68-2B -6 0.4

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .227 .306 .428
vs RHP .228 .309 .420
Split -.001 -.002 +.009
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.2 2.4 3.6 $6,275,000 9.4 10.0
2009 0.9 1.6 2.5 $3,650,000 2.7 4.2
2010 1.0 1.4 2.3 $4,050,000 5.3 4.7
2011 0.7 1.1 1.8 $3,200,000 4.3 4.0
2012 0.4 0.6 1.0 $1,425,000 0.6 2.0
2013 0.2 0.5 0.7 $975,000 -2.1 0.4
2014 0.0 0.5 0.4 $750,000 -3.1 0.0
Peak 11.8 $15,350,000 20.2 25.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .268 .249 .230 .253
2009 .269 .250 .235 .250
2010 .275 .265 .241 .257
2011 .282 .260 .236 .255
2012 .272 .245 .220 .250
2013 .267 .245 .179 .236
2014 .250 .229 .185 .217


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 18% 0% 28%
2009 35% 10% 19%
2010 51% 35% 29%
2011 61% 46% 23%
2012 76% 57% 16%
2013 81% 65% 10%
2014 93% 75% 4%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Quick quiz: who led the minor leagues in extra-base hits last year? If you guessed some top prospect such as Alex Gordon, you`re wrong, it was Conrad. One of those undersized, max-effort, low-tools/big-heart guys, all Conrad has done is hit at every level. He`s still not a great prospect. A long swing means plenty of strikeouts and a low batting average, but he can play second and third base, switch hit, and he has some pop, so there`s some sort of value here. The problem is that he`s blocked by Biggio playing out the string at second, and Mike Lamb providing lefty sock at the corners from the bench.

2006

One of the Astros` more annoying habits is the snail-like pace with which they promote advanced college hitters. Conrad starred at Arizona State, but he`s had to spend two full seasons below Double-A. At that pace, some guys would be better off skipping affiliation and just signing with the indy leagues, because at least there they might attract attention instead of watching their careers slowly wither on the vine. Conrad`s a better right-handed hitter, but between some speed and power and underrated defensive skills, he`d make a decent temp for a team in need of a second baseman. Having seen his career stagnate with this organization, he`d be lucky to get the opportunity.

2005

It's worth mentioning that PECOTA sees better things in 2005 for Conrad than it does for Burke, with the former's power and walks carrying the day. They're the same age, both taken out of college in the 2001 draft. Conrad has trailed Burke largely because he started in the New York-Penn League, while Burke debuted in the Midwest. Conrad is good trade bait, someone who could end up starting for your team in September.


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