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He's probably very handsome. Charles Culberson
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Shortstop
Bats R
Age 19
6' 1"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 GIA 0R 187 32 8 5 1 16 19 38 19 1 2.4 .286 .374 .416 .145 .203 .258 .279 .197 -27.3 35-SS -2 0.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:47 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 587 69 33 3 7 47 43 135 22 6 1.0 .242 .301 .356 -.203 .241 .301 .368 .235 1.8 137-SS -7 2.9
75o 554 58 28 3 6 42 38 131 20 6 0.9 .230 .287 .333 -.266 .228 .288 .344 .222 -6.6 130-SS -6 2.0
60o 543 55 27 3 5 41 37 129 19 6 0.9 .226 .283 .326 -.287 .224 .283 .336 .217 -9.2 128-SS -6 1.8
50o 534 52 26 3 5 40 36 128 19 6 0.9 .223 .279 .320 -.303 .221 .280 .331 .213 -11.1 126-SS -6 1.6
40o 516 47 24 3 5 37 34 125 18 6 0.8 .216 .272 .308 -.336 .215 .272 .318 .206 -14.7 121-SS -6 1.2
25o 472 37 19 3 3 31 29 119 15 5 0.7 .202 .256 .282 -.408 .201 .256 .291 .188 -21.7 112-SS -6 0.4
10o 456 34 18 3 3 29 28 116 15 5 0.7 .198 .250 .273 -.432 .196 .251 .282 .182 -23.6 108-SS -6 0.1
Weighted Mean 507 44 22 3 4 35 33 125 17 6 0.7 .209 .264 .295 -.373 .208 .264 .304 .197 -15.3 120-SS -5 1.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

45%

60%

21%

8%

1.07

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 19) 507 44 22 3 4 35 33 125 17 6 0.7 .209 .264 .295 -.373 .208 .264 .304 .197 -15.3 120-SS -5 1.0
2009 (age 20) 566 56 28 4 6 45 35 131 20 5 0.7 .220 .271 .323 -.317 .215 .267 .328 .210 -11.9 133-SS -1 1.8
2010 (age 21) 580 63 30 4 8 47 38 122 20 6 0.7 .227 .281 .346 -.262 .222 .277 .351 .222 -5.3 136-SS -2 2.3
2011 (age 22) 547 60 24 3 9 46 39 115 19 6 0.7 .232 .291 .346 -.240 .227 .287 .351 .226 -2.7 128-SS -6 2.1
2012 (age 23) 546 58 26 3 7 47 34 107 16 5 0.6 .233 .286 .343 -.254 .228 .282 .348 .221 -3.9 128-SS -8 1.6
2013 (age 24) 458 50 22 3 8 44 32 85 14 4 0.5 .245 .302 .371 -.179 .240 .298 .377 .238 3.1 108-SS -4 2.1
2014 (age 25) 382 39 19 3 6 35 26 73 12 4 0.3 .249 .307 .374 -.165 .244 .303 .379 .240 2.6 91-SS -4 1.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .225 .281 .322
vs RHP .205 .257 .284
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -1.3 2.4 1.0 $1,075,000 -20.7 0.0
2009 -0.8 2.6 1.8 $2,125,000 -13.7 0.3
2010 -0.3 2.6 2.3 $3,100,000 -6.9 3.6
2011 0.0 2.1 2.1 $2,975,000 -7.7 3.3
2012 -0.2 1.8 1.6 $2,150,000 -9.9 2.9
2013 0.4 1.7 2.1 $3,425,000 0.0 7.8
2014 0.2 1.5 1.8 $3,125,000 0.8 0.8
Peak 11.6 $10,925,000 -1.4 19.0


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .222 .213 .188 .197
2009 .231 .211 .189 .210
2010 .236 .224 .199 .222
2011 .247 .222 .207 .226
2012 .236 .213 .199 .221
2013 .254 .234 .213 .238
2014 .256 .247 .234 .240


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 45%
2009 6% 2% 52%
2010 9% 4% 73%
2011 12% 4% 74%
2012 17% 16% 72%
2013 25% 21% 75%
2014 56% 35% 81%

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