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He's probably very handsome. Zachary Daeges
Boston Red Sox [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Left Field
Bats L
Age 24
6' 4"
225 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 LOW 1A 239 24 10 1 4 32 35 40 3 1 -2.6 .288 .402 .409 .249 .239 .331 .364 .246 -11.1 47-LF -6 0.8
2007 LNC 1C 614 124 55 5 21 113 82 97 4 1 1.0 .330 .423 .579 .312 .261 .345 .440 .272 8.6 76-LF -6 3.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 8:52 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 659 97 49 3 16 91 75 134 5 3 -0.3 .287 .373 .472 .131 .280 .369 .482 .297 30.7 154-LF -12 4.8
75o 602 75 42 3 13 77 64 128 5 3 -0.2 .269 .350 .432 .027 .261 .346 .441 .278 13.2 141-LF -9 3.3
60o 571 64 38 3 11 69 57 125 5 3 -0.2 .259 .337 .410 -.031 .252 .333 .419 .267 4.7 134-LF -8 2.5
50o 553 59 36 3 10 64 54 122 5 3 -0.2 .253 .330 .399 -.062 .246 .326 .407 .261 0.5 130-LF -8 2.2
40o 543 56 35 3 9 62 52 121 5 3 -0.2 .250 .326 .392 -.079 .243 .322 .401 .257 -1.7 128-LF -7 2.0
25o 518 49 33 2 8 57 48 118 4 2 -0.2 .243 .316 .376 -.121 .236 .313 .385 .248 -6.8 122-LF -6 1.5
10o 474 39 28 2 6 47 41 111 4 2 -0.2 .230 .299 .350 -.192 .224 .296 .357 .233 -14.3 112-LF -5 0.7
Weighted Mean 582 66 39 3 11 70 58 127 5 3 -0.2 .258 .336 .409 -.034 .251 .332 .418 .265 2.6 136-LF -8 2.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

21%

47%

14%

8%

0.83

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 582 66 39 3 11 70 58 127 5 3 -0.2 .258 .336 .409 -.034 .251 .332 .418 .265 2.6 136-LF -8 2.8
2009 (age 25) 562 64 37 3 11 70 56 114 5 2 -0.2 .262 .339 .416 -.016 .259 .341 .433 .269 5.4 132-LF -8 2.4
2010 (age 26) 509 57 35 3 10 64 51 98 4 2 -0.2 .267 .345 .427 .010 .264 .346 .444 .274 6.7 120-LF -6 2.3
2011 (age 27) 592 74 39 2 15 81 63 117 5 2 -0.2 .267 .349 .437 .030 .264 .351 .454 .278 7.8 138-LF -7 2.2
2012 (age 28) 530 63 35 2 12 66 57 103 3 2 -0.2 .272 .354 .436 .041 .269 .356 .453 .280 7.0 125-LF -9 1.8
2013 (age 29) 578 66 38 3 11 78 60 105 5 2 -0.1 .260 .337 .413 -.026 .257 .339 .429 .267 2.2 135-LF -11 1.2
2014 (age 30) 526 56 33 2 11 75 54 92 4 2 -0.1 .253 .331 .408 -.047 .250 .332 .425 .263 0.9 124-LF -8 1.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .229 .310 .360
vs RHP .268 .350 .449
Split -.039 -.040 -.089
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 2.0 0.8 2.8 $3,925,000 2.5 2.6
2009 1.8 0.6 2.4 $3,950,000 5.3 3.9
2010 1.7 0.6 2.3 $4,325,000 7.5 8.0
2011 1.7 0.5 2.2 $4,500,000 7.7 7.1
2012 1.4 0.4 1.8 $3,825,000 6.5 6.4
2013 0.9 0.2 1.2 $1,900,000 1.2 3.9
2014 0.8 0.3 1.1 $1,800,000 0.5 2.8
Peak 12.6 $16,925,000 30.8 32.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .278 .261 .248 .265
2009 .284 .267 .249 .269
2010 .282 .266 .241 .274
2011 .288 .263 .247 .278
2012 .286 .271 .243 .280
2013 .288 .256 .240 .267
2014 .292 .258 .214 .263


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 21%
2009 22% 11% 26%
2010 43% 23% 26%
2011 53% 38% 28%
2012 57% 46% 25%
2013 73% 57% 20%
2014 74% 58% 17%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

58

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Tim Brown 1992 40 11 Jeffrey Corsaletti 2003 33
2 Corey Koskie 1979 36 12 Don Barbara 1971 33
3 Jeffrey Larish 1981 36 13 Luke Allen 1982 33
4 Nate Espy 1970 36 14 Jon Knott 1960 33
5 Rob Leary 1973 35 15 Chris Carter 2007 32
6 James Bonnici 1992 35 16 Larry Broadway 1975 32
7 Dan Johnson 1975 34 17 Chris Ebright 1969 32
8 Bubba Carpenter 1975 34 18 Andy Barkett 2000 31
9 Doug Deeds 1957 34 19 Jason Botts 1979 30
10 Ryan Langerhans 1998 33 20 Steve Cox 2005 30

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