<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

Bradley Davis
Florida Marlins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 26
6' 2"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 JUP A+ 394 43 21 1 4 46 34 62 5 5 1.5 .262 .336 .363 -.311 .220 .279 .312 .206 -23.4 98-C -11 -1.9
2007 JUP A+ 53 0 2 0 0 3 9 11 0 0 -0.7 .163 .302 .209 -.607 .133 .245 .156 .136 -7.8 14-C 0 -0.4
2007 CAR AA 173 13 16 1 3 20 18 39 0 1 0.0 .287 .368 .467 -.168 .231 .297 .391 .236 -2.5 44-C 1 0.5
2008 CAR AA 296 30 15 1 6 28 35 57 0 2 -1.3 .205 .306 .345 -.515 .148 .228 .255 .164 -33.8 74-C -7 -2.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/7/09 8:21 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 344 35 20 1 7 32 33 86 1 1 -0.4 .230 .310 .372 -.147 .233 .311 .387 .242 2.0 83-C -2 1.3
75o 314 25 16 1 5 26 28 84 1 1 -0.4 .202 .278 .321 -.291 .205 .279 .334 .211 -8.8 76-C -1 0.3
60o 295 20 14 1 4 22 25 82 0 1 -0.3 .187 .261 .293 -.370 .190 .261 .305 .193 -13.6 72-C -1 -0.2
50o 290 19 13 1 4 21 24 82 0 1 -0.3 .183 .256 .285 -.391 .185 .256 .297 .187 -14.8 71-C -1 -0.4
40o 283 17 13 1 4 20 23 81 0 1 -0.3 .178 .250 .276 -.417 .180 .251 .287 .181 -16.1 69-C -1 -0.5
25o 264 14 11 1 3 17 20 78 0 1 -0.3 .166 .235 .253 -.483 .168 .235 .263 .162 -19.1 65-C -1 -0.9
10o 222 9 8 0 2 11 16 71 0 0 -0.2 .144 .209 .213 -.595 .146 .209 .222 .120 -21.9 56-C 0 -1.3
Weighted Mean 288 19 13 1 4 22 24 81 0 1 -0.3 .185 .258 .289 -.382 .187 .258 .300 .189 -12.1 70-C -1 0.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

29%

45%

34%

30%

1.25

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 26) 288 19 13 1 4 22 24 81 0 1 -0.3 .185 .258 .289 -.382 .187 .258 .300 .189 -12.1 70-C -1 0.0
2010 (age 27) 288 19 13 1 4 21 24 81 0 1 -0.2 .190 .264 .289 -.380 .189 .261 .297 .192 -8.7 70-C -1 0.0
2011 (age 28) 281 16 12 1 3 20 22 82 0 1 -0.1 .173 .242 .263 -.463 .173 .239 .271 .170 -11.9 69-C -1 -0.3
2012 (age 29) 240 15 10 1 4 19 19 67 0 1 -0.1 .187 .260 .293 -.384 .186 .257 .301 .192 -5.1 59-C 0 0.0
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .202 .278 .319
vs RHP .181 .251 .277
Split +.021 +.027 +.042
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -11.9 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -14.0 0.2
2010 -11.1 -1.0 0.0 $400,000 -10.1 0.3
2011 -15.7 -1.0 -0.3 $400,000 -12.8 0.0
2012 -9.3 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -5.4 0.4
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 $50,000 0.0 1.4


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .211 .187 .162 .189
2010 .228 .196 .175 .192
2011 .209 .181 .148 .170
2012 .221 .205 .150 .192
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 30% 0% 29%
2010 55% 28% 32%
2011 56% 33% 22%
2012 71% 52% 30%
2013 79% 69% 24%
2014 87% 76% 24%
2015 93% 81% 25%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

70

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Rob Fitzpatrick 1995 69 11 John Wilson 2005 56
2 Dusty Brown 2008 68 12 Steven Liddle 1985 56
3 Grant Fithian 1998 67 13 Tim Marx 1995 55
4 Dan Whitmer 1982 64 14 Kirk Pierce 1999 54
5 Larry Owen 1981 62 15 Dave Huppert 1983 54
6 Jim Campanis 1994 58 16 Vic Valencia 2003 53
7 Garret Beard 1995 58 17 Tom Magrann 1990 53
8 Jeff Hearron 1988 57 18 Jack Fimple 1985 53
9 Adan Millan 1998 57 19 Juan Espino 1982 52
10 Dave Liddell 1992 56 20 Doug Davis 1989 52

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.