Luis De_La_Cruz

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2007	CRD	Rk	105	10	6	2	0	9	7	16	3	3	0.0	.281	.337	.385	-.481	.192	.231	.263	.162	-29.7	27-C 3	-0.6
2008	QUD	A	125	11	3	0	1	7	3	17	0	0	2.1	.167	.185	.217	-.735	.140	.160	.190	.000	-24.5	32-C 0	-1.5

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:32 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	413	37	20	1	3	31	22	77	3	2	1.4	.226	.270	.307	-.307	.228	.271	.323	.203	-13.3	98-C 0	0.3
75^o	390	31	17	1	3	27	19	75	3	2	1.3	.213	.256	.287	-.368	.215	.257	.302	.188	-18.1	93-C 0	-0.3
60^o	358	24	14	1	2	23	17	71	3	2	1.1	.198	.239	.263	-.442	.200	.240	.276	.168	-22.8	86-C -1	-1.0
50^o	338	21	12	1	2	21	15	69	2	2	1.0	.190	.229	.250	-.483	.191	.231	.262	.156	-24.8	82-C -1	-1.3
40^o	325	19	11	1	2	19	14	67	2	2	0.9	.184	.223	.241	-.509	.186	.224	.254	.147	-25.7	79-C -1	-1.5
25^o	278	13	8	1	1	14	11	60	2	1	0.8	.169	.205	.217	-.583	.170	.207	.228	.118	-26.9	68-C -2	-1.9
10^o	148	5	3	0	0	4	5	36	1	1	0.4	.152	.186	.191	-.662	.154	.187	.201	.037	-17.1	39-C -3	-1.5
Weighted Mean	320	20	12	1	2	20	15	64	2	2	1.0	.195	.235	.258	-.459	.197	.237	.272	.164	-19.6	77-C -1	-0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
72%	79%	21%	22%	1.26

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 20)	320	20	12	1	2	20	15	64	2	2	1.0	.195	.235	.258	-.459	.197	.237	.272	.164	-19.6	77-C -1	-0.8
2010 (age 21)	349	24	13	1	3	25	17	68	3	2	0.9	.198	.241	.267	-.445	.197	.239	.277	.171	-16.4	84-C 0	-0.4
2011 (age 22)	336	24	13	1	2	24	15	63	3	2	0.7	.208	.247	.281	-.410	.206	.245	.291	.180	-10.8	81-C -1	-0.2
2012 (age 23)	327	24	12	1	3	23	16	57	3	2	0.6	.203	.246	.282	-.413	.202	.244	.293	.181	-9.8	79-C 0	0.0
2013 (age 24)	286	19	11	1	2	18	14	46	3	2	0.4	.209	.249	.280	-.406	.208	.247	.291	.182	-6.2	70-C -4	0.0
2014 (age 25)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 26)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.211	.254	.287
vs RHP	.191	.230	.249
Split	+.020	+.024	+.038
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-20.2	-1.0	-0.8	$400,000	-19.0	0.0
2010	-20.2	0.0	-0.4	$400,000	-15.2	0.0
2011	-17.3	-1.0	-0.2	$400,000	-9.9	0.1
2012	-16.7	0.0	0.0	$400,000	-8.7	0.3
2013	-14.3	-4.0	0.0	$400,000	-5.8	0.3
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	-3.9	0.7

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.188	.156	.118	.164
2010	.205	.181	.134	.171
2011	.203	.184	.140	.180
2012	.210	.184	.147	.181
2013	.214	.195	.161	.182
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	22%	0%	72%
2010	36%	20%	74%
2011	54%	40%	73%
2012	52%	46%	73%
2013	69%	60%	70%
2014	78%	71%	63%
2015	80%	76%	67%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

41

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Felipe Gonzalez	1984	40		11	Timothy Kennelly	2007	27
2	Americo Segura	1985	36		12	Orlando Gonzalez	1981	27
3	Samuel Montilla	2002	35		13	Willie Mota	1991	26
4	Jaime Moreno	1983	35		14	Juan Apodaca	2006	25
5	Omar Fuentes	2000	33		15	Jose Pena	1985	25
6	Luis Alen	2005	31		16	Fernando Lunar	1997	25
7	Allan de_San_Miguel	2008	31		17	Jair Fernandez	2007	24
8	Johnny Cuevas	1986	31		18	Wally Rosa	2002	24
9	Huascar Deleon	1990	30		19	Emilio Carrasquel	1982	24
10	Ramon Jimenez	1983	30		20	Julio Vinas	1993	22

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