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He's probably very handsome. Luis De_La_Cruz
St. Louis Cardinals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 20
5' 10"
164 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 CRD Rk 105 10 6 2 0 9 7 16 3 3 0.0 .281 .337 .385 -.481 .192 .231 .263 .162 -29.7 27-C 3 -0.6
2008 QUD A 125 11 3 0 1 7 3 17 0 0 2.1 .167 .185 .217 -.735 .140 .160 .190 .000 -24.5 32-C 0 -1.5


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:32 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 413 37 20 1 3 31 22 77 3 2 1.4 .226 .270 .307 -.307 .228 .271 .323 .203 -13.3 98-C 0 0.3
75o 390 31 17 1 3 27 19 75 3 2 1.3 .213 .256 .287 -.368 .215 .257 .302 .188 -18.1 93-C 0 -0.3
60o 358 24 14 1 2 23 17 71 3 2 1.1 .198 .239 .263 -.442 .200 .240 .276 .168 -22.8 86-C -1 -1.0
50o 338 21 12 1 2 21 15 69 2 2 1.0 .190 .229 .250 -.483 .191 .231 .262 .156 -24.8 82-C -1 -1.3
40o 325 19 11 1 2 19 14 67 2 2 0.9 .184 .223 .241 -.509 .186 .224 .254 .147 -25.7 79-C -1 -1.5
25o 278 13 8 1 1 14 11 60 2 1 0.8 .169 .205 .217 -.583 .170 .207 .228 .118 -26.9 68-C -2 -1.9
10o 148 5 3 0 0 4 5 36 1 1 0.4 .152 .186 .191 -.662 .154 .187 .201 .037 -17.1 39-C -3 -1.5
Weighted Mean 320 20 12 1 2 20 15 64 2 2 1.0 .195 .235 .258 -.459 .197 .237 .272 .164 -19.6 77-C -1 -0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

72%

79%

21%

22%

1.26

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 20) 320 20 12 1 2 20 15 64 2 2 1.0 .195 .235 .258 -.459 .197 .237 .272 .164 -19.6 77-C -1 -0.8
2010 (age 21) 349 24 13 1 3 25 17 68 3 2 0.9 .198 .241 .267 -.445 .197 .239 .277 .171 -16.4 84-C 0 -0.4
2011 (age 22) 336 24 13 1 2 24 15 63 3 2 0.7 .208 .247 .281 -.410 .206 .245 .291 .180 -10.8 81-C -1 -0.2
2012 (age 23) 327 24 12 1 3 23 16 57 3 2 0.6 .203 .246 .282 -.413 .202 .244 .293 .181 -9.8 79-C 0 0.0
2013 (age 24) 286 19 11 1 2 18 14 46 3 2 0.4 .209 .249 .280 -.406 .208 .247 .291 .182 -6.2 70-C -4 0.0
2014 (age 25)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 26)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .211 .254 .287
vs RHP .191 .230 .249
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -20.2 -1.0 -0.8 $400,000 -19.0 0.0
2010 -20.2 0.0 -0.4 $400,000 -15.2 0.0
2011 -17.3 -1.0 -0.2 $400,000 -9.9 0.1
2012 -16.7 0.0 0.0 $400,000 -8.7 0.3
2013 -14.3 -4.0 0.0 $400,000 -5.8 0.3
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 0.0 0.0 -3.9 0.7


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .188 .156 .118 .164
2010 .205 .181 .134 .171
2011 .203 .184 .140 .180
2012 .210 .184 .147 .181
2013 .214 .195 .161 .182
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 22% 0% 72%
2010 36% 20% 74%
2011 54% 40% 73%
2012 52% 46% 73%
2013 69% 60% 70%
2014 78% 71% 63%
2015 80% 76% 67%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

41

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Felipe Gonzalez 1984 40 11 Timothy Kennelly 2007 27
2 Americo Segura 1985 36 12 Orlando Gonzalez 1981 27
3 Samuel Montilla 2002 35 13 Willie Mota 1991 26
4 Jaime Moreno 1983 35 14 Juan Apodaca 2006 25
5 Omar Fuentes 2000 33 15 Jose Pena 1985 25
6 Luis Alen 2005 31 16 Fernando Lunar 1997 25
7 Allan de_San_Miguel 2008 31 17 Jair Fernandez 2007 24
8 Johnny Cuevas 1986 31 18 Wally Rosa 2002 24
9 Huascar Deleon 1990 30 19 Emilio Carrasquel 1982 24
10 Ramon Jimenez 1983 30 20 Julio Vinas 1993 22

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