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Chris Denorfia
Oakland Athletics [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats R
Age 27
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Projected Playing Time

Athletics Depth Chart (updated: 04-24)
PosOrderNamePT%PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP
CF 8 Chris Denorfia 40 254 .262 29 4 26 4 .326 .388 4.3
1   2008 Total 40 254 .262 29 4 26 4 .326 .388 4.3

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CHT 2A 209 40 17 3 7 26 17 38 4 3 1.4 .330 .391 .564 .352 .280 .332 .487 .274 12.1 28-CF -1 1.8
2005 LOU 3A 374 50 12 6 13 61 41 54 8 3 1.1 .310 .391 .505 .242 .278 .358 .453 .279 20.5 69-CF -2 3.2
2005 CIN MJ 44 8 3 0 1 2 6 9 1 0 0.2 .263 .364 .421 .068 .263 .364 .421 .279 1.9 0.3
2006 LOU 3A 353 46 19 1 7 45 34 41 15 1 2.2 .349 .409 .484 .340 .326 .386 .476 .302 32.4 59-CF 3 4.0
2006 CIN MJ 120 14 6 0 1 7 11 21 1 1 0.5 .283 .356 .368 -.040 .271 .350 .346 .248 1.1 13-RF 3 0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 9:06 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 102 16 5 1 3 13 10 15 2 1 0.2 .295 .365 .454 .101 .299 .371 .484 .300 6.1 29-CF -1 1.1
75o 95 13 5 1 2 11 8 15 2 0 0.2 .275 .342 .416 -.002 .280 .348 .444 .280 3.3 27-CF -1 0.8
60o 91 11 4 0 2 10 8 15 2 0 0.2 .265 .330 .395 -.057 .269 .336 .422 .270 1.9 26-CF -1 0.7
50o 88 10 4 0 2 10 7 15 2 0 0.2 .258 .321 .381 -.097 .262 .327 .406 .262 1.0 25-CF -1 0.6
40o 85 9 4 0 2 9 7 15 2 0 0.1 .250 .312 .365 -.139 .254 .317 .389 .253 0.0 25-CF -1 0.5
25o 79 7 3 0 1 8 6 14 1 0 0.1 .235 .293 .335 -.220 .238 .298 .357 .235 -1.6 23-CF -1 0.3
10o 73 6 2 0 1 6 5 14 1 0 0.1 .222 .278 .310 -.286 .226 .283 .331 .219 -2.7 22-CF -1 0.2
Weighted Mean 85 10 4 0 2 9 7 14 2 0 0.2 .262 .326 .388 -.076 .266 .331 .414 .265 1.5 25-CF -1 0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

7%

24%

46%

25%

0.88

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 27) 85 10 4 0 2 9 7 14 2 0 0.2 .262 .326 .388 -.076 .266 .331 .414 .265 1.5 25-CF -1 0.8
2009 (age 28) 89 11 4 0 2 10 7 14 2 0 0.1 .280 .343 .406 -.010 .289 .355 .441 .277 2.3 26-CF -1 0.6
2010 (age 29) 87 11 4 0 2 9 7 14 2 0 0.1 .271 .334 .399 -.041 .280 .345 .433 .272 1.6 25-CF -1 0.5
2011 (age 30) 84 10 4 0 2 9 8 14 1 0 0.1 .272 .340 .406 -.021 .280 .351 .441 .275 1.5 25-CF -1 0.4
2012 (age 31) 94 13 4 0 2 10 9 16 2 0 0.1 .275 .348 .416 .007 .284 .359 .452 .282 1.6 27-CF -1 0.4
2013 (age 32) 90 12 4 0 2 11 8 15 1 0 0.1 .276 .344 .406 -.011 .285 .355 .442 .277 1.2 26-CF -1 0.3
2014 (age 33) 63 7 3 0 1 7 5 9 1 0 0.0 .267 .333 .388 -.060 .275 .344 .422 .267 0.6 20-CF -1 0.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .276 .342 .416
vs RHP .257 .318 .372
Split +.020 +.024 +.044
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 0.4 0.8 $1,125,000 2.0 1.9
2009 0.3 0.3 0.6 $1,225,000 2.9 3.4
2010 0.3 0.2 0.5 $1,000,000 1.8 2.0
2011 0.2 0.2 0.4 $925,000 1.5 1.8
2012 0.2 0.2 0.4 $1,000,000 1.8 1.8
2013 0.2 0.1 0.3 $875,000 1.3 1.4
2014 0.1 0.1 0.3 $725,000 0.6 1.0
Peak 3.1 $3,175,000 11.2 12.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .280 .262 .235 .265
2009 .284 .267 .252 .277
2010 .282 .256 .229 .272
2011 .288 .261 .248 .275
2012 .288 .272 .253 .282
2013 .291 .266 .242 .277
2014 .273 .256 .211 .267


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 25% 0% 7%
2009 40% 26% 8%
2010 52% 30% 7%
2011 60% 47% 6%
2012 69% 60% 6%
2013 67% 60% 5%
2014 76% 64% 4%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

Denorfia`s trying to avoid the organizational cul-de-sac that sucked up Brady Clark and made him a Brewer, but so far, no dice. He has the skills to be a solid outfield regular, and if, like Clark, he can hack it in center, he`ll be a valuable player. If he can`t, he`ll have to either luck into a job somewhere, or wind up in the pool of very good fourth outfielders. If the Reds move Griffey to a corner to play him in center, everyone comes out ahead, but Denorfia has little to no star potential.

2006

With the kind of broad-based skills that statheads love and teams like the Reds don`t really appreciate, Denorfia has real promise should he get the opportunity. However, unless the Reds move one of their big three outfielders, Denorfia will probably spend the year languishing in a reserve role--assuming that the club doesn`t do something as stupid as playing Womack over Denorfia. An aggressive, heads-up player, his line-drive power might translate well at the GABP.


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