Chris Denove

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	DYT	A	182	16	6	0	1	17	13	38	0	0	1.5	.179	.246	.235	-.746	.124	.172	.166	.000	-33.1	48-C -9	-3.2
2008	SAR	A+	18	1	1	0	0	2	3	1	0	0	-0.3	.286	.412	.357	-.266	.200	.294	.333	.207	-0.8	5-C 0	0.0
2008	CHT	AA	192	11	12	0	0	14	20	30	1	2	-2.7	.245	.330	.319	-.503	.180	.246	.227	.164	-21.1	50-C -1	-1.1

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:26 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	248	15	10	0	2	19	20	62	0	0	-0.9	.193	.264	.275	-.404	.192	.262	.275	.182	-13.3	61-C 0	-0.3
75^o	237	12	9	0	2	17	18	61	0	0	-0.8	.179	.246	.246	-.482	.179	.245	.246	.159	-17.1	59-C 0	-0.7
60^o	229	10	8	0	1	15	16	60	0	0	-0.7	.170	.234	.226	-.535	.169	.232	.226	.141	-19.3	57-C 0	-1.0
50^o	218	8	7	0	1	13	15	59	0	0	-0.7	.159	.221	.205	-.591	.159	.219	.205	.117	-21.2	55-C 0	-1.2
40^o	200	6	5	0	0	10	12	56	0	0	-0.6	.147	.205	.179	-.660	.147	.203	.180	.076	-22.6	51-C 0	-1.5
25^o	174	3	3	0	0	7	9	51	0	0	-0.5	.128	.178	.139	-.769	.127	.177	.139	.019	-24.1	45-C 0	-1.5
10^o	174	3	3	0	0	7	9	51	0	0	-0.5	.128	.178	.139	-.769	.127	.177	.139	.019	-24.1	45-C 0	-1.5
Weighted Mean	229	9	7	0	1	14	15	62	0	0	-0.7	.159	.221	.204	-.570	.159	.219	.205	.115	-19.8	57-C 0	-1.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
33%	39%	57%	42%	1.30

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 26)	229	9	7	0	1	14	15	62	0	0	-0.7	.159	.221	.204	-.570	.159	.219	.205	.115	-19.8	57-C 0	-1.1
2010 (age 27)	241	9	7	0	1	14	16	63	0	0	-0.4	.160	.220	.205	-.604	.157	.215	.203	.114	-13.1	60-C 0	-0.6
2011 (age 28)	235	8	7	0	1	14	16	63	0	0	-0.3	.152	.216	.195	-.626	.149	.211	.193	.105	-9.4	59-C 0	-0.4
2012 (age 29)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 32)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.176	.240	.237
vs RHP	.156	.215	.197
Split	+.020	+.025	+.040
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-19.7	0.0	-1.1	$400,000	-21.0	0.0
2010	-20.9	0.0	-0.6	$400,000	-13.6	0.0
2011	-21.3	0.0	-0.4	$400,000	-9.4	0.0
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.159	.117	.019	.115
2010	.156	.127	.071	.114
2011	.162	.118	.049	.105
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	42%	0%	33%
2010	58%	42%	15%
2011	75%	59%	17%
2012	79%	70%	20%
2013	85%	79%	18%
2014	86%	80%	15%
2015	91%	85%	14%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

67

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Mark Strittmatter	1995	61		11	Matt Garrick	2002	55
2	Dave Toth	1996	61		12	Jose Umbria	2004	54
3	Dana Levangie	1996	59		13	Don Wakamatsu	1989	53
4	Ronald Jacobs	1981	59		14	Mike Basso	1991	52
5	Bill Dobrolsky	1996	56		15	Tony Gilmore	1995	52
6	Ricky Wilson	1986	56		16	Chris Curry	2004	52
7	Jeffrey Mackor	2007	56		17	Brad Erdman	1996	51
8	Tim Duff	2008	55		18	Jon Loy	1989	51
9	Korey Feiner	2008	55		19	Joe Kmak	1989	50
10	Chris Tremie	1996	55		20	Tony Defrancesco	1989	50

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