Thomas Diamond

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

');// -->

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/17/08 8:27 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
90^o	4	3	1	20	8	62.3	50	36	55	6	43%	.258	10	1.38	3.39	3.68	3.25	6.8	4.8	7.2	0.8	16.7	1.9	2.3
75^o	3	3	0	19	8	55.7	50	37	49	6	43%	.280	4	1.56	4.47	4.51	4.29	7.6	5.5	7.1	1.0	7.8	1.0	1.4
60^o	3	3	0	18	7	52.0	49	37	46	6	43%	.292	1	1.66	5.12	5.02	4.92	8.1	5.9	7.1	1.0	3.2	0.6	0.9
50^o	2	3	0	17	7	47.3	48	37	41	6	43%	.307	-4	1.79	5.94	5.64	5.70	8.7	6.5	7.1	1.1	-1.7	0.1	0.4
40^o	2	3	0	17	7	45.7	48	37	40	6	43%	.313	-5	1.85	6.29	5.90	6.04	8.9	6.6	7.1	1.2	-3.5	-0.1	0.2
25^o	1	3	0	16	6	40.7	46	36	35	6	43%	.328	-10	1.99	7.26	6.57	6.99	9.6	7.2	7.1	1.3	-7.9	-0.5	-0.3
10^o	1	3	0	13	5	32.3	38	30	28	5	43%	.338	-16	2.09	9.18	7.07	9.01	10.1	7.7	7.1	1.3	-14.4	-1.2	-1.0
Weighted Mean	2	3	0	14	5	38.0	36	27	33	4	43%	.292	1	1.66	5.14	4.99	4.94	8.1	5.9	7.1	1.0	2.7	0.4	0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
24%	44%	31%	47%	1.10

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2008 (age 25)	2	3	0	14	5	38.0	36	27	33	4	43%	.292	1	1.66	5.14	4.99	4.94	8.1	5.9	7.1	1.0	2.7	0.4	0.8
2009 (age 26)	3	4	0	23	8	61.0	59	40	54	8	42%	.293	0	1.61	5.06	4.90	4.85	8.2	5.4	7.1	1.1	3.3	0.7	0.9
2010 (age 27)	3	5	1	25	8	68.0	63	45	60	8	41%	.285	1	1.58	5.34	4.67	5.18	7.9	5.4	7.2	1.1	1.5	0.5	0.8
2011 (age 28)	3	4	1	24	7	60.0	59	39	54	7	43%	.304	1	1.63	5.10	4.97	4.89	8.5	5.4	7.3	1.0	2.5	0.6	0.7
2012 (age 29)	2	3	1	20	5	47.0	45	29	41	6	43%	.289	1	1.55	4.85	4.61	4.68	8.1	5.0	7.0	1.1	2.5	0.6	0.6
2013 (age 30)	2	2	0	17	4	38.3	38	24	33	5	43%	.295	-2	1.61	5.07	5.07	4.84	8.6	5.2	6.9	1.2	1.9	0.4	0.5
2014 (age 31)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHB	.246	.390	.413
vs RHB	.244	.368	.389
Split	+.001	+.022	+.024
LgAvg	+.009	+.034	+.039

Valuation

Year	WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2008	0.8	$1,375,000	3.3	4.7
2009	0.9	$1,650,000	4.0	4.1
2010	0.8	$1,300,000	2.3	3.7
2011	0.7	$1,475,000	3.1	4.1
2012	0.6	$1,350,000	2.9	3.7
2013	0.5	$1,200,000	2.2	3.2
2014	0.4	$1,200,000	2.2	2.4
Peak	4.2	$5,050,000	15.6	23.6

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	4.29	5.70	6.99	4.94
2009	4.33	5.03	6.94	4.85
2010	4.70	5.37	7.10	5.18
2011	4.26	5.09	7.54	4.89
2012	3.67	5.17	6.55	4.68
2013	4.25	5.62	7.59	4.84
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	47%	0%	24%
2009	52%	26%	20%
2010	47%	30%	14%
2011	56%	37%	16%
2012	71%	53%	15%
2013	73%	56%	12%
2014	76%	70%	12%

7

Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend
1	Dan Warthen	1978	35		11	Mike Corkins	1971	26
2	Brian Bruney	2007	34		12	Cal Hogue	1953	23
3	John D'Acquisto	1977	33		13	Dave Cole	1955	23
4	Gary Kroll	1966	31		14	Preston Hanna	1979	23
5	Seth McClung	2006	31		15	Steve Mura	1980	22
6	Eric Plunk	1988	30		16	Jack Hamilton	1964	22
7	Sammy Stewart	1980	29		17	Eric Nolte	1989	21
8	Andres Berumen	1996	28		18	Roger Salkeld	1996	21
9	Jesse Foppert	2005	28		19	Tim Conroy	1985	21
10	Russ Kemmerer	1957	28		20	Tracy Stallard	1962	21

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

The `D` in `VD,` and even if was still `DVD,` with Blue-Ray and HD-DVD, plain ol` DVD might not cut it. In fact, the way Diamond`s development has slowed, VD might soon be down to just `V,` or, failing that, `Betamax.` A first-round draft pick in 2004, he can launch his fastball up to 97 MPH when he has to, although he`s usually in the 92 to 94 range. He`s got a good changeup as well, but he`s struggled to find a breaking ball, and the whispers about a move to the bullpen are getting louder. That might not be the end of the world; with his velocity, Diamond has definite closer possibilities. Note the high walk rate; that may be the result of being forced to throw a curve whether he has a feel for it or not; a move to the bullpen would obviate the need for the pitch and the walk rate would (theoretically) come down.

2006

A gigantic right-handed power pitcher, Diamond lacks the smooth control of Danks, but he makes up for it with an otherworldly strikeout rate. He attended the University of New Orleans and missed a start late in the season to check on his family after Hurricane Katrina. He`s a bit older than Danks, but given the nature of pitching injuries, it`s safer to take the slightly older player if you want to bet on who`s going to have a major league career.

Historical Stats