Edward Easley

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2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 12:31 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	499	48	26	2	10	49	39	119	1	2	-0.9	.236	.299	.372	-.214	.230	.292	.363	.226	-6.8	118-C -2	1.2
75^o	478	42	23	2	9	45	36	116	1	2	-0.9	.225	.286	.349	-.272	.219	.280	.341	.213	-13.0	113-C -3	0.4
60^o	461	37	21	2	8	42	33	114	1	2	-0.8	.216	.276	.331	-.318	.211	.270	.323	.202	-17.4	109-C -3	0.0
50^o	438	31	18	2	7	37	30	111	1	1	-0.7	.205	.263	.308	-.377	.200	.257	.301	.187	-22.5	104-C -4	-0.8
40^o	424	28	17	1	6	35	28	109	1	1	-0.7	.199	.256	.296	-.409	.194	.250	.289	.179	-24.9	101-C -4	-1.1
25^o	401	24	14	1	5	31	26	105	1	1	-0.6	.189	.245	.276	-.460	.184	.239	.269	.163	-28.3	96-C -4	-1.6
10^o	321	14	9	1	3	19	18	90	1	1	-0.5	.164	.215	.225	-.590	.160	.210	.220	.113	-32.3	78-C -5	-2.5
Weighted Mean	448	32	19	2	7	39	31	113	1	1	-0.7	.206	.264	.310	-.333	.200	.258	.302	.188	-19.2	106-C -3	-0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
58%	70%	19%	15%	1.20

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 23)	448	32	19	2	7	39	31	113	1	1	-0.7	.206	.264	.310	-.333	.200	.258	.302	.188	-19.2	106-C -3	-0.5
2010 (age 24)	389	28	16	1	6	34	29	95	1	1	-0.5	.207	.270	.314	-.369	.199	.261	.303	.194	-14.6	93-C -4	-0.2
2011 (age 25)	391	29	17	2	7	34	29	92	1	1	-0.4	.210	.274	.326	-.346	.202	.264	.314	.200	-11.4	93-C -4	0.0
2012 (age 26)	334	22	14	1	6	29	24	80	1	1	-0.3	.199	.262	.312	-.390	.191	.253	.300	.189	-10.3	81-C -3	0.0
2013 (age 27)	322	22	14	1	6	32	24	73	1	1	-0.2	.206	.270	.329	-.351	.198	.260	.317	.199	-6.1	78-C -4	0.0
2014 (age 28)	326	19	12	1	5	29	22	79	1	1	-0.1	.183	.244	.288	-.461	.176	.235	.277	.169	-9.1	79-C -2	-0.3
2015 (age 29)	347	25	13	1	8	35	25	78	1	1	-0.1	.201	.263	.329	-.366	.193	.254	.317	.196	-5.6	84-C -1	0.0

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.222	.283	.340
vs RHP	.202	.257	.297
Split	+.021	+.025	+.042
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-22.9	-3.0	-0.5	$400,000	-19.9	0.1
2010	-18.3	-4.0	-0.2	$400,000	-15.1	0.0
2011	-16.4	-4.0	0.0	$400,000	-11.8	0.0
2012	-17.0	-3.0	0.0	$400,000	-10.5	0.0
2013	-13.6	-4.0	0.0	$400,000	-6.9	0.2
2014	-21.7	-2.0	-0.3	$400,000	-9.4	0.2
2015	-15.6	-1.0	0.0	$400,000	-5.5	0.5
Peak			0.0	$50,000	-5.5	1.2

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.213	.187	.163	.188
2010	.217	.192	.167	.194
2011	.227	.198	.175	.200
2012	.228	.191	.160	.189
2013	.239	.202	.163	.199
2014	.224	.171	.107	.169
2015	.240	.183	.108	.196

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	15%	0%	58%
2010	34%	15%	58%
2011	40%	29%	59%
2012	60%	41%	50%
2013	71%	53%	50%
2014	76%	60%	41%
2015	80%	63%	41%

66

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Ray Corbett	1982	58		11	Jeff Winchester	2003	51
2	John Posey	1988	57		12	Frank Castro	1984	51
3	Lance Jennings	1995	57		13	Brandon Harper	1999	51
4	Marc Sullivan	1982	56		14	Javi Herrera	2005	49
5	Scooter Tucker	1990	56		15	Tony Ochs	1991	49
6	Nick Trzesniak	2004	55		16	Harry McCulla	1984	49
7	Danny Massiatte	2002	54		17	Sean Mulligan	1993	49
8	Devin Ivany	2006	52		18	Kevin Clark	1996	48
9	Brandon Inge	2000	52		19	Jack Fimple	1982	48
10	Scott Servais	1990	51		20	Karl Thompson	1997	48

Player Comments

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2008

Yet another backstop of sorts, Ed Easley was a supplemental first-rounder out of Mississippi State last June because of his decent approach and power at the plate, and despite concerns about his defense behind it.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2007	YAK	A-	141	21	1	1	6	20	9	30	1	0	0.8	.250	.319	.419	-.491	.174	.213	.288	.165	-26.8	18-C -1	-1.6
2008	VIS	A+	502	52	20	1	6	53	42	106	1	1	-1.7	.247	.313	.336	-.449	.187	.247	.265	.172	-48.7	92-C -6 12-1B -1	-3.6

Historical Stats