Barry Enright

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2007	YAK	1A	0	0	0	5	0	8.0	4	3	12	0	47%	.267	9	0.88	0.00	1.22	0.00	6.8	6.8	6.8	0.0	4.2		0.3
2007	SBN	1B	0	0	1	1	0	2.0	1	0	1	0	40%	.200	-14	0.50	0.00	3.98	0.00	5.4	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.1		0.2
2007	VIS	1C	0	0	1	4	0	5.0	3	2	4	0	36%	.214	-9	1.00	0.00	0.98	1.93	5.8	5.8	3.9	0.0	1.9		0.2

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/19/08 3:17 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
90^o	7	7	0	31	20	126.0	130	73	83	16	47%	.289	0	1.60	4.67	4.96	4.53	8.7	4.6	5.5	1.0	16.9	2.5	3.0
75^o	6	8	0	32	19	116.7	127	73	72	16	47%	.295	-6	1.71	5.44	5.53	5.28	9.2	5.0	5.2	1.2	5.5	1.3	1.8
60^o	5	8	0	33	17	108.7	124	73	64	17	47%	.301	-12	1.81	6.16	6.07	5.98	9.7	5.4	4.9	1.3	-3.6	0.3	0.9
50^o	5	8	0	33	16	103.7	122	72	59	17	47%	.305	-16	1.87	6.59	6.40	6.41	10.0	5.6	4.7	1.4	-8.6	-0.2	0.3
40^o	4	8	0	33	15	96.3	118	71	52	18	48%	.310	-21	1.96	7.26	6.91	7.06	10.4	6.0	4.5	1.5	-15.2	-0.9	-0.4
25^o	3	7	0	33	14	91.0	115	70	47	18	48%	.313	-25	2.03	7.78	7.29	7.56	10.7	6.2	4.3	1.6	-19.6	-1.4	-0.9
10^o	3	7	0	32	12	79.7	108	67	37	17	48%	.321	-34	2.19	8.91	8.14	8.66	11.5	6.8	3.8	1.8	-27.3	-2.2	-1.7
Weighted Mean	5	8	0	35	17	110.3	128	76	63	18	47%	.303	-15	1.84	6.43	6.26	6.25	9.8	5.5	4.8	1.4	-6.6	0.0	0.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
0%	0%	0%	0%	1.37

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	W	L	SV	G	GS	IP	H	BB	SO	HR	GB%	BABIP	Stuff	WHIP	ERA	PERA	ERA	H9	BB9	K9	HR9	VORP	WXRL	WARP
2008 (age 22)	5	8	0	35	17	110.3	128	76	63	18	47%	.303	-15	1.84	6.43	6.26	6.25	9.8	5.5	4.8	1.4	-6.6	0.0	0.3
2009 (age 23)	5	8	0	40	16	113.7	129	71	68	17	47%	.303	-13	1.76	6.11	5.89	5.95	9.6	5.0	5.0	1.3	-2.8	0.3	0.6
2010 (age 24)	4	5	0	36	9	84.3	95	48	51	12	47%	.301	-12	1.68	5.77	5.56	5.62	9.5	4.5	5.1	1.2	0.5	0.4	0.7
2011 (age 25)	4	5	0	36	9	86.0	93	46	55	12	47%	.297	-8	1.61	5.38	5.21	5.25	9.2	4.3	5.4	1.1	2.9	0.7	0.8
2012 (age 26)	4	4	0	31	7	68.7	75	37	47	9	47%	.303	-6	1.62	5.22	5.19	5.08	9.2	4.3	5.7	1.1	2.8	0.7	0.6
2013 (age 27)	4	4	1	35	6	71.0	74	34	47	9	47%	.290	-5	1.51	4.89	4.70	4.79	8.8	3.8	5.5	1.1	3.4	0.9	0.6
2014 (age 28)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHB	.242	.385	.386
vs RHB	.233	.347	.338
Split	+.008	+.038	+.048
LgAvg	+.009	+.034	+.039

Valuation

Year	WARP	MORP	Mean VORP	Upside
2008	0.3	$500,000	-8.6	2.5
2009	0.6	$700,000	-4.5	3.5
2010	0.7	$825,000	-0.7	3.3
2011	0.8	$1,350,000	1.9	3.4
2012	0.6	$1,300,000	2.2	1.8
2013	0.6	$1,500,000	2.9	2.6
2014	0.7	$1,925,000	4.0	2.7
Peak	4.0	$4,500,000	14.5	17.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	5.28	6.41	7.56	6.25
2009	5.01	5.91	7.52	5.95
2010	4.58	5.72	7.47	5.62
2011	4.37	5.12	6.99	5.25
2012	4.30	5.17	6.04	5.08
2013	4.03	4.52	5.53	4.79
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	N/A	0%	N/A
2009	19%	6%	0%
2010	27%	18%	0%
2011	42%	32%	1%
2012	56%	44%	1%
2013	66%	61%	1%
2014	72%	68%	1%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

7

Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Pitcher	Year	Score	Trend
1	Chris Macca	1997	62		11	Jose Prado	1994	20
2	Ricky Steik	2006	34		12	Scott Klingenbeck	1993	20
3	Dennis Konuszewski	1993	28		13	Jamie Sepeda	1993	20
4	Martin Lister	1994	27		14	Brian Scott	1998	19
5	CHRIS HENDERSON	1994	27		15	Matt Lorenzo	2004	19
6	Josh Rupe	2004	26		16	Jason Beverlin	1996	19
7	Rett Johnson	2001	26		17	Brian Slocum	2003	19
8	Dan Deyoung	1998	25		18	Clark Girardeau	2004	19
9	David Manning	1994	22		19	Chris Flinn	2002	18
10	Jim Brower	1995	21		20	Joe Ness	2006	17

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