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He's probably very handsome. Miguel Fermin
Florida Marlins [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 24
6'
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 JAM A- 258 54 13 2 17 47 9 43 6 1 3.4 .347 .374 .628 -.248 .222 .241 .411 .220 -17.4 56-C -2 -0.4


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 8:23 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 534 65 31 3 21 65 29 134 6 4 2.0 .258 .305 .461 -.012 .262 .305 .480 .262 19.5 125-C -2 3.6
75o 496 51 27 3 16 57 25 129 6 3 1.8 .240 .283 .416 -.128 .243 .284 .433 .241 4.7 117-C -3 2.0
60o 478 46 25 3 14 53 23 127 5 3 1.7 .231 .273 .395 -.181 .234 .274 .411 .231 -1.4 113-C -3 1.3
50o 463 41 23 2 13 50 21 124 5 3 1.6 .224 .265 .379 -.223 .227 .266 .394 .222 -5.9 110-C -4 0.8
40o 455 39 22 2 12 48 21 123 5 3 1.5 .221 .261 .370 -.245 .223 .261 .385 .217 -8.2 108-C -4 0.5
25o 430 33 20 2 10 44 18 119 4 2 1.4 .211 .249 .345 -.308 .213 .249 .359 .204 -14.0 102-C -4 -0.2
10o 404 27 18 2 8 39 16 114 3 2 1.3 .200 .237 .321 -.370 .203 .237 .334 .188 -19.0 96-C -5 -0.8
Weighted Mean 503 45 25 3 14 54 23 136 5 3 1.5 .222 .263 .373 -.242 .225 .263 .388 .219 -4.7 119-C -3 0.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

27%

45%

26%

13%

1.18

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 24) 503 45 25 3 14 54 23 136 5 3 1.5 .222 .263 .373 -.242 .225 .263 .388 .219 -4.7 119-C -3 0.7
2010 (age 25) 445 39 22 2 12 47 20 114 5 3 1.2 .226 .265 .375 -.243 .225 .262 .385 .221 -4.5 106-C -1 0.8
2011 (age 26) 392 34 19 2 12 43 18 100 4 3 0.9 .225 .264 .384 -.232 .224 .261 .395 .223 -2.7 94-C -3 0.7
2012 (age 27) 355 29 17 2 10 38 18 90 4 2 0.7 .222 .267 .375 -.242 .222 .264 .385 .222 -2.3 85-C -2 0.4
2013 (age 28) 330 27 16 2 10 39 16 82 3 2 0.5 .227 .268 .391 -.215 .227 .265 .401 .226 -0.9 80-C -2 0.3
2014 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .238 .280 .398
vs RHP .218 .256 .360
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -9.4 -3.0 0.7 $425,000 -6.6 3.3
2010 -7.6 -1.0 0.8 $750,000 -4.6 2.3
2011 -5.9 -3.0 0.7 $850,000 -3.5 4.1
2012 -5.6 -2.0 0.4 $775,000 -2.4 2.8
2013 -3.7 -2.0 0.3 $850,000 -1.2 1.4
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --
Peak 3.2 $2,550,000 0.0 15.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .241 .222 .204 .219
2010 .243 .224 .190 .221
2011 .248 .226 .184 .223
2012 .241 .214 .181 .222
2013 .253 .231 .203 .226
2014
-- out of baseball --
2015
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 13% 0% 27%
2010 33% 21% 28%
2011 52% 34% 30%
2012 65% 51% 20%
2013 77% 63% 25%
2014 82% 69% 22%
2015 87% 78% 17%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

17

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jose Lopez 1999 30 11 Wilmer Caraballo 1987 22
2 Tim McIntosh 1989 26 12 Mike Rivera 2001 22
3 Carlos Ponce 1983 26 13 Raymundo Torres 1982 22
4 Angel Pena 1999 25 14 Cesar Hernandez 1991 21
5 Tom Romano 1983 25 15 Danny Lamar 1985 21
6 Travis Wilson 2001 24 16 Amilcar Valdez 1990 20
7 Steve Hagins 1999 23 17 Marcos Armas 1993 20
8 Pascual Matos 1999 23 18 Leo Vargas 1982 20
9 Salomon Manriquez 2007 23 19 Wilfredo Tejada 1987 20
10 Erick Monzon 2006 23 20 Miguel Olivo 2002 20

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