Tyler Flowers

<< PECOTA Home

Player Search

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Projected Playing Time
White Sox Depth Chart (updated: 08-09)

Pos Order Name PT% PA AVG R HR RBI SB OBP SLG VORP

C 7 Tyler Flowers 5 11 .255 1 0 1 0 .330 .434 0.4

1 2009 Total 5 11 .255 1 0 1 0 .330 .434 0.4

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	DNV	Rk	150	24	9	0	5	16	16	30	0	0	-2.5	.279	.373	.465	-.356	.203	.260	.312	.197	-21.5	22-1B -3 7-C 0	-1.8
2007	ROM	A	445	65	34	2	12	70	49	74	3	4	-6.1	.298	.378	.488	-.165	.236	.301	.385	.237	-6.1	64-1B -5 14-C -5	-1.7
2008	MYR	A+	520	72	32	1	17	88	98	102	8	7	-5.6	.288	.427	.494	.093	.262	.388	.454	.292	32.2	85-C -1	4.0

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 1:09 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	570	80	31	1	21	69	75	127	4	2	-2.2	.271	.372	.468	.105	.272	.373	.478	.294	32.8	134-C -14	4.7
75^o	560	73	29	1	19	64	71	129	4	2	-2.1	.261	.359	.444	.045	.262	.360	.454	.283	24.3	131-C -13	3.9
60^o	550	66	27	1	17	60	67	130	4	2	-2.0	.252	.346	.422	-.014	.252	.347	.430	.272	16.4	129-C -13	3.1
50^o	544	63	26	1	16	58	64	131	3	2	-2.0	.246	.340	.409	-.046	.247	.340	.418	.266	12.2	128-C -13	2.7
40^o	537	59	25	1	15	54	61	131	3	2	-1.9	.240	.331	.393	-.087	.240	.332	.402	.258	6.9	126-C -13	2.1
25^o	528	54	24	1	14	51	58	132	3	2	-1.8	.232	.321	.376	-.132	.233	.322	.384	.249	1.2	124-C -13	1.5
10^o	517	49	22	1	12	47	54	133	3	2	-1.8	.223	.308	.354	-.189	.224	.309	.362	.237	-5.6	122-C -13	0.8
Weighted Mean	573	68	28	1	17	61	68	137	4	2	-2.0	.247	.340	.410	-.034	.247	.341	.418	.266	11.0	134-C -15	2.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
26%	55%	16%	6%	0.85

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 23)	573	68	28	1	17	61	68	137	4	2	-2.0	.247	.340	.410	-.034	.247	.341	.418	.266	11.0	134-C -15	2.5
2010 (age 24)	520	59	25	1	16	55	62	123	4	2	-1.7	.244	.337	.410	-.036	.247	.342	.423	.264	10.2	123-C -13	2.2
2011 (age 25)	467	52	22	1	15	52	57	107	4	2	-1.3	.244	.341	.417	-.018	.248	.346	.431	.268	10.1	111-C -11	2.0
2012 (age 26)	442	48	21	1	14	49	52	98	3	2	-1.0	.249	.342	.420	-.009	.252	.347	.434	.269	8.9	105-C -14	1.6
2013 (age 27)	562	69	26	1	18	64	69	124	4	2	-1.0	.249	.346	.419	-.003	.253	.351	.433	.271	9.0	132-C -15	1.7
2014 (age 28)	489	51	22	1	15	55	56	107	3	2	-0.8	.231	.321	.394	-.094	.235	.326	.407	.253	2.2	116-C -14	1.0
2015 (age 29)	500	57	23	1	17	58	61	103	3	2	-0.6	.241	.335	.416	-.032	.245	.340	.430	.265	5.0	118-C -16	1.0

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.262	.358	.435
vs RHP	.242	.331	.393
Split	+.021	+.028	+.042
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	8.8	-15.0	2.5	$3,350,000	9.4	7.2
2010	7.1	-13.0	2.2	$3,475,000	9.9	13.1
2011	8.2	-11.0	2.0	$3,425,000	9.3	10.2
2012	8.4	-14.0	1.6	$2,950,000	7.4	10.2
2013	11.8	-15.0	1.7	$3,450,000	8.4	11.1
2014	0.6	-14.0	1.0	$1,825,000	1.4	8.5
2015	7.3	-16.0	1.0	$2,200,000	3.4	6.7
Peak			10.9	$13,175,000	46.0	60.3

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.283	.266	.249	.266
2010	.285	.260	.239	.264
2011	.286	.267	.241	.268
2012	.293	.263	.234	.269
2013	.292	.265	.239	.271
2014	.287	.256	.222	.253
2015	.302	.262	.217	.265

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	6%	0%	26%
2010	13%	4%	27%
2011	26%	12%	31%
2012	42%	24%	33%
2013	47%	36%	28%
2014	52%	41%	28%
2015	65%	48%	26%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

46

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Chris Ashby	1998	47		11	John Jaha	1989	30
2	Mike Sweeney	1996	47		12	Tom Evans	1997	30
3	Eddy Martinez-Esteve	2006	44		13	Justin Huber	2005	30
4	Val Pascucci	2002	39		14	Kala Kaaihue	2008	29
5	Corey Kapano	1993	35		15	Russell Martin	2006	28
6	Bobby Estalella	1998	33		16	Joey Votto	2007	27
7	Alvin Davis	1984	33		17	Bob Henley	1996	26
8	Gary Alexander	1991	32		18	Brett Magnusson	1991	26
9	Nate Espy	2001	32		19	Brady Anderson	1987	26
10	Steve Cox	1998	30		20	Vito Chiaravalloti	2004	26

Baseball Prospectus Home | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy | Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2009 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.