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Tyler Flowers
Atlanta Braves [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
First Base
Bats R
Age 22
6' 4"
220 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 DNV 0R 150 24 9 0 5 16 16 30 0 0 -2.5 .279 .373 .465 .275 .212 .273 .314 .205 -22.3 22-1B 2 0.3
2007 ROM 1B 445 65 34 2 12 70 49 74 3 4 -4.6 .298 .378 .488 .246 .242 .309 .382 .240 -9.4 64-1B 4 1.4


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 10:07 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 536 66 33 2 13 65 54 116 5 3 -1.4 .264 .341 .424 -.028 .261 .338 .432 .264 9.1 126-1B 4 3.2
75o 511 57 30 2 12 59 49 113 5 3 -1.3 .255 .329 .404 -.081 .252 .327 .412 .253 2.3 121-1B 4 2.5
60o 482 48 27 1 10 52 43 109 4 3 -1.2 .244 .315 .380 -.144 .242 .313 .388 .241 -4.9 114-1B 3 1.7
50o 466 44 25 1 9 49 41 107 4 2 -1.1 .239 .308 .368 -.176 .237 .306 .376 .234 -8.2 110-1B 3 1.4
40o 441 38 22 1 8 44 36 103 3 2 -1.0 .230 .297 .350 -.225 .228 .295 .357 .223 -12.9 105-1B 2 0.8
25o 423 34 21 1 7 40 34 101 3 2 -0.9 .225 .290 .338 -.257 .223 .288 .345 .216 -15.6 101-1B 2 0.5
10o 385 27 18 1 5 33 28 95 2 2 -0.8 .214 .275 .313 -.325 .212 .273 .320 .200 -20.3 92-1B 1 -0.2
Weighted Mean 494 49 27 1 10 53 44 113 4 3 -1.1 .240 .310 .372 -.166 .238 .308 .380 .235 -4.3 117-1B 3 1.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

33%

56%

14%

7%

1.02

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 22) 494 49 27 1 10 53 44 113 4 3 -1.1 .240 .310 .372 -.166 .238 .308 .380 .235 -4.3 117-1B 3 1.5
2009 (age 23) 455 45 24 1 10 52 40 96 4 2 -1.0 .244 .315 .385 -.139 .239 .308 .385 .241 -3.6 108-1B 2 1.3
2010 (age 24) 467 51 26 1 12 55 42 96 4 2 -0.9 .258 .327 .411 -.072 .252 .320 .412 .253 2.5 111-1B 0 1.5
2011 (age 25) 454 50 24 1 12 56 43 90 3 2 -0.8 .257 .331 .415 -.061 .251 .324 .416 .256 2.7 108-1B 0 1.3
2012 (age 26) 378 39 20 1 11 48 36 71 3 2 -0.6 .262 .335 .424 -.039 .256 .327 .425 .260 2.9 91-1B 0 1.1
2013 (age 27) 465 51 25 2 14 61 44 92 3 2 -0.5 .257 .326 .424 -.058 .251 .319 .425 .256 1.9 110-1B 1 0.9
2014 (age 28) 512 61 28 2 16 67 47 102 3 2 -0.4 .265 .332 .440 -.020 .259 .325 .441 .262 3.0 121-1B 0 0.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .256 .328 .397
vs RHP .236 .303 .358
Split +.020 +.025 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 1.2 1.5 $1,575,000 -6.2 0.3
2009 0.5 0.8 1.3 $1,500,000 -6.3 1.0
2010 0.9 0.6 1.5 $1,775,000 -1.9 1.2
2011 0.8 0.5 1.3 $1,675,000 -0.3 1.1
2012 0.7 0.4 1.1 $1,575,000 0.9 3.3
2013 0.5 0.3 0.9 $1,300,000 0.3 2.0
2014 0.5 0.3 0.8 $1,450,000 0.8 0.6
Peak 7.6 $5,850,000 1.3 9.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .253 .234 .216 .235
2009 .265 .239 .220 .241
2010 .271 .254 .238 .253
2011 .274 .259 .238 .256
2012 .269 .261 .239 .260
2013 .280 .262 .234 .256
2014 .285 .268 .250 .262


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 7% 0% 33%
2009 19% 8% 38%
2010 26% 20% 51%
2011 39% 32% 49%
2012 60% 46% 44%
2013 67% 55% 40%
2014 70% 66% 43%

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