Michael Hall

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:11 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	482	59	32	4	11	50	52	141	6	4	1.4	.241	.326	.414	-.057	.234	.322	.423	.262	1.9	114-RF 2	2.8
75^o	454	49	29	4	9	44	45	138	5	3	1.3	.226	.306	.383	-.139	.220	.303	.392	.246	-7.0	108-RF 2	1.9
60^o	433	42	26	4	7	40	40	134	5	3	1.1	.216	.292	.361	-.199	.210	.289	.369	.233	-12.8	103-RF 2	1.3
50^o	421	39	25	3	7	38	38	133	5	3	1.1	.210	.285	.349	-.230	.205	.282	.357	.226	-15.5	100-RF 1	1.0
40^o	413	36	24	3	6	36	36	131	5	3	1.1	.207	.280	.342	-.250	.201	.277	.349	.221	-17.3	98-RF 1	0.8
25^o	393	31	22	3	5	33	33	128	4	3	1.0	.198	.268	.323	-.300	.193	.265	.330	.209	-21.1	94-RF 1	0.3
10^o	343	21	18	2	3	25	25	117	3	2	0.8	.179	.241	.282	-.412	.174	.238	.288	.179	-27.5	83-RF 1	-0.6
Weighted Mean	445	42	27	4	7	41	41	139	5	3	1.1	.212	.288	.354	-.218	.207	.285	.361	.229	-15.0	105-RF 2	1.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
58%	79%	11%	11%	0.94

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 23)	445	42	27	4	7	41	41	139	5	3	1.1	.212	.288	.354	-.218	.207	.285	.361	.229	-15.0	105-RF 2	1.5
2009 (age 24)	428	42	25	3	8	44	41	131	4	3	0.9	.218	.296	.368	-.183	.215	.297	.382	.236	-9.1	102-RF 2	1.4
2010 (age 25)	438	47	28	4	9	46	42	125	5	3	0.8	.229	.305	.387	-.135	.226	.307	.402	.246	-4.1	104-RF 3	1.4
2011 (age 26)	343	32	21	3	7	34	32	97	4	2	0.6	.224	.301	.381	-.152	.222	.302	.397	.243	-4.2	83-RF 2	1.1
2012 (age 27)	371	37	21	3	8	40	37	101	3	2	0.4	.228	.309	.379	-.139	.225	.310	.395	.246	-2.6	89-RF 3	0.9
2013 (age 28)	424	48	27	3	10	50	44	114	4	3	0.3	.240	.321	.411	-.070	.237	.322	.427	.259	0.1	101-RF 4	0.8
2014 (age 29)	371	42	24	3	9	47	42	92	3	2	0.2	.249	.334	.423	-.025	.246	.336	.440	.268	1.1	89-RF -1	0.7

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.180	.248	.295
vs RHP	.222	.305	.392
Split	-.042	-.057	-.097
LgAvg	-.035	-.040	-.079

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.0	1.5	1.5	$1,575,000	-13.0	0.2
2009	0.3	1.1	1.4	$1,575,000	-7.4	0.8
2010	0.5	0.9	1.4	$1,700,000	-2.7	2.8
2011	0.3	0.7	1.1	$1,325,000	-3.2	3.0
2012	0.3	0.6	0.9	$1,150,000	-1.7	2.4
2013	0.4	0.4	0.8	$1,400,000	1.0	2.6
2014	0.4	0.4	0.7	$1,300,000	0.8	1.7
Peak			7.0	$5,250,000	1.0	14.1

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.246	.226	.209	.229
2009	.252	.228	.205	.236
2010	.252	.235	.222	.246
2011	.252	.229	.213	.243
2012	.270	.231	.207	.246
2013	.266	.250	.227	.259
2014	.284	.260	.236	.268

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	11%	0%	58%
2009	27%	12%	57%
2010	43%	26%	66%
2011	48%	34%	58%
2012	64%	52%	57%
2013	72%	63%	54%
2014	82%	75%	49%

Player Comments

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2005

Drafted in the second round in '03 out of high school, Hall struggled a bit the first couple months of the season, but turned things around for a pretty solid year in a tough pitcher's park. He shows good patience at the plate, but so far that's resulted in both high strikeout and walk totals. He's only 19 and once he gets comfortable with the professional lifestyle, he could take off quickly.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	WIL	1C	284	31	16	4	6	25	32	98	5	3	0.5	.216	.304	.384	-.100	.171	.243	.295	.183	-32.1	65-LF 3	-0.4
2006	GRN	1B	230	22	8	2	2	21	30	63	6	4	-0.2	.236	.343	.328	-.050	.196	.278	.270	.195	-21.4	29-LF 1	-0.2
2006	WIL	1C	254	28	11	7	1	16	21	88	7	3	-0.5	.206	.278	.329	-.180	.153	.209	.260	.155	-36.0	64-RF 1	-0.8
2007	GRN	1B	94	15	5	2	0	7	14	21	2	1	1.9	.213	.330	.325	-.139	.169	.266	.253	.182	-10.3	19-RF 1	0.0
2007	LNC	1C	319	59	19	7	11	43	49	78	0	1	1.7	.301	.411	.549	.226	.225	.324	.395	.251	1.8	52-CF 2	1.9

Historical Stats