Cyle Hankerd

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Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	YAK	1A	236	24	17	0	4	38	13	54	0	0	-0.8	.384	.424	.519	.501	.225	.260	.324	.200	-34.4	39-LF 1	-0.2
2006	LNC	1C	78	15	4	0	8	23	8	9	0	0	0.8	.369	.474	.800	.731	.290	.372	.594	.315	6.8	17-LF 2	0.9
2007	VIS	1C	446	55	27	1	8	54	35	60	2	3	-1.8	.285	.368	.422	.063	.236	.300	.342	.226	-21.3	94-LF -12	0.9

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:16 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	505	57	32	1	14	62	38	90	3	2	-0.9	.266	.331	.436	-.026	.256	.321	.415	.252	-0.3	119-LF -3	2.3
75^o	486	48	28	1	12	56	34	89	3	2	-0.8	.253	.315	.403	-.107	.244	.306	.384	.237	-8.9	115-LF -3	1.5
60^o	475	44	26	1	10	52	32	88	3	2	-0.8	.246	.306	.385	-.152	.237	.297	.366	.228	-13.4	112-LF -3	1.1
50^o	466	40	24	1	9	49	30	88	3	2	-0.8	.241	.299	.370	-.188	.231	.290	.353	.220	-16.8	110-LF -3	0.8
40^o	451	36	22	1	8	45	28	87	3	2	-0.7	.232	.289	.349	-.242	.223	.280	.332	.208	-21.6	107-LF -3	0.3
25^o	442	33	21	1	7	42	27	86	2	2	-0.7	.227	.282	.336	-.273	.218	.274	.320	.201	-24.3	105-LF -3	0.0
10^o	417	26	17	1	5	35	23	84	2	2	-0.6	.214	.265	.303	-.356	.205	.258	.289	.181	-30.5	99-LF -2	-0.7
Weighted Mean	488	43	26	1	10	51	32	92	3	2	-0.8	.241	.300	.371	-.186	.231	.291	.353	.220	-13.9	115-LF -2	0.9

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
22%	46%	34%	7%	1.02

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 23)	488	43	26	1	10	51	32	92	3	2	-0.8	.241	.300	.371	-.186	.231	.291	.353	.220	-13.9	115-LF -2	0.9
2009 (age 24)	481	48	26	2	12	56	33	84	3	2	-0.6	.260	.319	.410	-.087	.246	.305	.383	.239	-5.0	114-LF -2	1.3
2010 (age 25)	493	50	27	1	12	59	35	85	3	2	-0.5	.257	.319	.407	-.093	.243	.304	.381	.238	-4.3	116-LF -3	0.8
2011 (age 26)	438	41	23	1	11	52	28	73	2	1	-0.3	.258	.314	.404	-.104	.244	.300	.378	.235	-3.7	104-LF -2	0.6
2012 (age 27)	-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 28)	-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 29)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.257	.318	.397
vs RHP	.236	.292	.357
Split	+.021	+.026	+.040
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	-0.3	1.3	0.9	$975,000	-18.6	0.2
2009	0.4	0.9	1.3	$1,525,000	-8.0	1.6
2010	0.3	0.6	0.8	$1,000,000	-8.4	0.0
2011	0.2	0.4	0.6	$800,000	-6.4	0.0
2012	0.3	0.3	0.6	$825,000	-1.9	1.7
2013	0.2	0.2	0.4	$675,000	-2.3	0.1
2014	0.1	0.3	0.4	$700,000	-2.6	0.4
Peak			4.7	$2,900,000	-1.9	3.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.237	.220	.201	.220
2009	.260	.237	.215	.239
2010	.255	.244	.221	.238
2011	.265	.237	.213	.235
2012	-- out of baseball --
2013	-- out of baseball --
2014	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	7%	0%	22%
2009	29%	19%	31%
2010	48%	34%	32%
2011	66%	48%	29%
2012	78%	70%	29%
2013	81%	77%	25%
2014	82%	73%	21%

Player Comments

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Cyle Hankerd won the Northwest League MVP thanks to his line-drive swing. His defense needs to improve, but he`s worth watching.

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