Anthony Hewitt

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Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008	PHL	Rk	129	14	7	1	1	9	7	55	2	0	-0.8	.197	.256	.299	-.676	.131	.171	.221	.101	-52.3	19-3B -6	-3.9

EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 10:21 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	530	56	30	4	10	44	36	176	10	5	1.4	.224	.280	.360	-.236	.224	.280	.365	.223	-13.5	125-3B -7	-0.8
75^o	491	44	26	3	8	37	30	171	9	4	1.2	.205	.258	.326	-.333	.205	.258	.331	.201	-23.7	116-3B -6	-1.9
60^o	482	41	25	3	7	36	29	169	8	4	1.2	.201	.253	.319	-.354	.201	.253	.324	.196	-25.6	114-3B -6	-2.1
50^o	469	38	24	3	7	34	27	167	8	4	1.1	.195	.247	.310	-.380	.196	.247	.315	.190	-27.8	111-3B -6	-2.3
40^o	449	33	22	2	6	31	25	164	7	4	1.1	.187	.237	.295	-.424	.187	.237	.299	.178	-31.1	106-3B -6	-2.7
25^o	430	30	21	2	5	29	23	160	7	3	1.0	.180	.228	.282	-.460	.180	.229	.286	.168	-33.5	102-3B -5	-3.0
10^o	383	22	17	2	4	23	18	150	5	3	0.8	.164	.210	.255	-.539	.164	.210	.259	.142	-36.9	92-3B -5	-3.5
Weighted Mean	462	34	23	2	6	32	26	169	7	4	1.0	.186	.235	.293	-.418	.186	.236	.297	.176	-27.9	109-3B -7	-2.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
93%	93%	6%	11%	1.26

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 20)	462	34	23	2	6	32	26	169	7	4	1.0	.186	.235	.293	-.418	.186	.236	.297	.176	-27.9	109-3B -7	-2.5
2010 (age 21)	476	40	23	2	8	35	29	164	9	5	1.0	.196	.249	.309	-.390	.193	.246	.310	.191	-22.2	113-3B -5	-1.6
2011 (age 22)	499	47	24	2	10	42	31	164	11	5	0.9	.207	.261	.337	-.327	.204	.258	.337	.207	-14.8	118-3B -5	-0.9
2012 (age 23)	521	54	27	3	11	45	35	169	10	5	0.9	.214	.272	.355	-.279	.211	.268	.356	.217	-9.2	123-3B -9	-0.5
2013 (age 24)	429	42	22	2	9	38	29	128	8	4	0.6	.218	.275	.359	-.266	.215	.271	.360	.220	-5.6	102-3B -10	-0.3
2014 (age 25)	-- out of baseball --
2015 (age 26)	-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.202	.254	.320
vs RHP	.182	.230	.282
Split	+.020	+.024	+.038
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-42.3	-7.0	-2.5	$400,000	-26.7	0.0
2010	-37.8	-5.0	-1.6	$400,000	-21.1	0.0
2011	-32.6	-5.0	-0.9	$400,000	-13.6	0.0
2012	-28.5	-9.0	-0.5	$400,000	-8.5	0.1
2013	-22.2	-10.0	-0.3	$400,000	-5.7	1.2
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --
Peak			-0.2	0.0	-3.4	3.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.201	.190	.168	.176
2010	.213	.191	.160	.191
2011	.223	.204	.177	.207
2012	.232	.210	.193	.217
2013	.239	.213	.197	.220
2014	-- out of baseball --
2015	-- out of baseball --

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	11%	0%	93%
2010	23%	13%	91%
2011	34%	21%	95%
2012	46%	37%	92%
2013	60%	51%	90%
2014	74%	67%	88%
2015	78%	70%	87%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

13

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Kim Batiste	1988	42		11	Keith Schmidt	1991	25
2	David Christensen	2008	36		12	Travis Schlichting	2004	24
3	John Gumpf	1991	36		13	Jamie Romak	2005	24
4	Kieron Pope	2006	35		14	Glenn Murray	1991	23
5	Tripper Johnson	2002	33		15	Gary Hust	1992	23
6	Benji Gil	1992	30		16	Keith Thomas	1988	23
7	Ben Shelton	1989	29		17	Bert Hunter	1987	23
8	Steve Swain	1984	27		18	Derry Hammond	1999	22
9	Shane Allen	1981	27		19	Ken Kinnard	1981	22
10	Terry Jones	2003	25		20	Mike Colpitt	1985	22

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