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He's probably very handsome. Mitchell Hilligoss
New York Yankees [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Third Base
Bats L
Age 23
6' 1"
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 STA 1A 297 40 8 1 2 36 24 47 12 2 1.0 .292 .357 .352 .180 .244 .296 .302 .216 -18.0 35-3B 5 1.7
2007 CSC 1B 559 83 35 4 4 53 33 65 35 7 7.0 .310 .352 .415 .127 .255 .290 .338 .224 -11.0 98-3B 10 3.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 11:42 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 644 79 36 3 6 61 40 110 19 7 1.6 .273 .321 .377 -.091 .274 .324 .393 .257 9.1 150-3B 11 4.7
75o 615 68 32 3 5 56 37 109 18 7 1.5 .261 .308 .354 -.153 .262 .311 .370 .244 -0.6 144-3B 11 3.7
60o 593 61 29 3 4 52 34 107 17 6 1.4 .253 .298 .338 -.196 .253 .301 .353 .235 -6.9 139-3B 11 3.1
50o 580 56 27 2 4 50 33 107 16 6 1.4 .248 .292 .328 -.222 .248 .296 .343 .229 -10.5 136-3B 10 2.8
40o 553 49 24 2 3 45 30 105 15 6 1.2 .238 .281 .310 -.272 .239 .285 .323 .218 -16.8 130-3B 10 2.1
25o 532 44 22 2 2 42 28 103 14 6 1.2 .231 .273 .296 -.310 .231 .276 .309 .209 -21.1 125-3B 10 1.6
10o 485 34 17 1 1 34 23 98 12 5 1.0 .216 .256 .267 -.386 .216 .259 .279 .189 -28.3 115-3B 9 0.8
Weighted Mean 594 58 27 2 4 50 33 110 17 6 1.3 .246 .290 .325 -.232 .247 .294 .339 .227 -13.0 139-3B 11 3.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

36%

59%

20%

8%

0.92

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 594 58 27 2 4 50 33 110 17 6 1.3 .246 .290 .325 -.232 .247 .294 .339 .227 -13.0 139-3B 11 3.1
2009 (age 24) 591 62 28 3 4 51 34 101 17 6 1.1 .258 .303 .345 -.175 .263 .311 .367 .239 -3.0 138-3B 10 3.0
2010 (age 25) 526 51 25 3 4 46 29 88 14 5 0.9 .256 .300 .342 -.185 .260 .309 .364 .237 -3.4 124-3B 11 2.4
2011 (age 26) 503 53 25 3 5 46 31 80 14 5 0.8 .266 .314 .367 -.121 .271 .323 .390 .251 2.4 119-3B 7 2.4
2012 (age 27) 441 44 23 2 5 44 25 74 11 4 0.7 .270 .314 .376 -.106 .275 .323 .400 .253 3.0 105-3B 7 2.2
2013 (age 28) 502 52 23 2 6 47 33 83 14 4 0.6 .260 .311 .364 -.135 .265 .319 .387 .249 1.0 118-3B 7 2.0
2014 (age 29) 498 51 25 2 6 49 33 87 12 4 0.5 .265 .314 .368 -.120 .269 .323 .392 .251 1.8 118-3B 5 1.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .219 .260 .270
vs RHP .256 .303 .355
Split -.037 -.043 -.084
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.0 3.2 3.1 $4,025,000 -0.7 0.8
2009 0.5 2.5 3.0 $5,100,000 6.6 6.3
2010 0.3 2.1 2.4 $4,325,000 5.6 6.2
2011 0.7 1.6 2.4 $4,975,000 8.3 8.8
2012 0.7 1.5 2.2 $5,250,000 9.2 11.4
2013 0.5 1.5 2.0 $4,800,000 7.4 8.4
2014 0.5 1.2 1.8 $4,425,000 6.2 6.8
Peak 15.1 $21,525,000 43.4 47.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .244 .229 .209 .227
2009 .247 .233 .217 .239
2010 .254 .231 .208 .237
2011 .267 .252 .229 .251
2012 .266 .251 .227 .253
2013 .267 .250 .228 .249
2014 .274 .241 .232 .251


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 36%
2009 23% 9% 46%
2010 31% 19% 41%
2011 44% 28% 55%
2012 51% 32% 55%
2013 52% 44% 48%
2014 58% 51% 46%

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