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Tug Hulett
Texas Rangers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Second Base
Bats L
Age 25
5' 10"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 CLN 1B 491 70 22 3 1 45 90 87 20 6 0.2 .265 .402 .345 .053 .217 .333 .286 .232 -10.5 94-2B -11 1.5
2006 BAK 1C 361 46 19 7 2 37 61 61 15 5 -2.1 .291 .415 .426 .176 .234 .344 .350 .253 3.8 32-3B 0 2.4
2006 FRI 2A 223 36 8 4 0 15 31 36 9 2 -0.2 .308 .405 .395 .107 .267 .356 .340 .257 3.9 47-2B 5 2.2
2007 OKL 3A 595 95 31 2 11 67 64 114 20 4 -3.4 .275 .359 .406 .028 .245 .328 .366 .251 4.9 104-2B -1 3.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 11:55 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 626 92 35 5 10 55 70 130 17 5 0.6 .267 .354 .405 -.003 .264 .353 .415 .277 23.2 146-2B -1 5.4
75o 594 78 31 4 8 50 64 126 16 5 0.6 .255 .339 .380 -.068 .252 .339 .389 .265 12.7 139-2B -1 4.4
60o 564 68 27 4 7 45 58 121 15 5 0.5 .243 .327 .357 -.127 .240 .326 .366 .253 4.2 132-2B -1 3.5
50o 550 63 26 4 6 43 56 119 14 4 0.5 .239 .321 .347 -.151 .236 .321 .356 .248 0.8 129-2B -1 3.2
40o 525 56 23 3 6 40 52 116 13 4 0.5 .230 .311 .330 -.197 .227 .311 .338 .239 -5.0 124-2B -1 2.6
25o 508 51 21 3 5 37 49 113 13 4 0.4 .224 .304 .318 -.228 .221 .304 .326 .232 -8.6 120-2B -1 2.2
10o 459 39 17 2 3 31 42 104 11 4 0.4 .208 .286 .286 -.310 .206 .285 .294 .213 -16.8 109-2B -1 1.2
Weighted Mean 562 66 27 4 7 44 57 122 15 5 0.5 .240 .322 .349 -.146 .237 .322 .358 .249 0.1 132-2B -1 3.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

21%

50%

20%

10%

0.81

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 562 66 27 4 7 44 57 122 15 5 0.5 .240 .322 .349 -.146 .237 .322 .358 .249 0.1 132-2B -1 3.7
2009 (age 26) 524 61 24 4 7 42 55 112 14 5 0.4 .243 .328 .357 -.123 .244 .333 .374 .254 3.7 123-2B -4 2.9
2010 (age 27) 557 68 26 4 7 46 58 118 16 5 0.3 .247 .330 .362 -.113 .248 .335 .378 .256 4.4 131-2B -2 2.8
2011 (age 28) 488 54 23 3 6 40 50 104 11 4 0.2 .243 .326 .358 -.128 .244 .331 .374 .252 2.3 115-2B -2 2.2
2012 (age 29) 486 55 22 3 7 41 52 99 12 4 0.2 .246 .331 .357 -.117 .247 .336 .373 .255 2.7 115-2B -4 1.8
2013 (age 30) 453 48 20 3 7 40 46 89 8 3 0.2 .240 .322 .357 -.137 .241 .327 .374 .250 1.1 107-2B -3 1.6
2014 (age 31) 501 56 22 3 7 40 55 104 9 4 0.1 .239 .326 .350 -.140 .240 .331 .366 .249 0.7 118-2B 0 1.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .218 .294 .310
vs RHP .247 .336 .373
Split -.029 -.042 -.063
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 1.0 2.7 3.7 $5,500,000 2.7 2.8
2009 1.1 1.8 2.9 $4,450,000 3.6 3.8
2010 1.1 1.7 2.8 $4,900,000 5.4 6.2
2011 0.7 1.4 2.2 $3,600,000 2.9 5.0
2012 0.7 1.1 1.8 $3,125,000 2.2 3.2
2013 0.5 1.1 1.6 $2,800,000 1.7 4.3
2014 0.4 1.1 1.5 $2,650,000 1.1 0.9
Peak 15.0 $18,850,000 18.5 25.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .265 .248 .232 .249
2009 .263 .247 .234 .254
2010 .268 .258 .232 .256
2011 .262 .245 .226 .252
2012 .269 .249 .228 .255
2013 .269 .244 .220 .250
2014 .263 .246 .237 .249


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 10% 0% 21%
2009 23% 11% 22%
2010 35% 23% 23%
2011 43% 28% 18%
2012 56% 37% 20%
2013 63% 44% 18%
2014 66% 57% 14%

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