Nick Hundley

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2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 11:56 AM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	410	44	20	1	14	49	40	92	2	1	-0.3	.241	.319	.416	-.092	.248	.327	.445	.261	13.4	98-C 1	3.7
75^o	402	40	19	1	13	46	38	93	2	1	-0.2	.231	.308	.395	-.148	.237	.315	.422	.250	7.6	96-C 1	3.2
60^o	396	37	17	1	12	44	37	93	2	1	-0.2	.223	.299	.379	-.189	.230	.306	.405	.242	3.5	95-C 1	2.8
50^o	391	35	17	1	11	42	35	93	2	1	-0.2	.217	.292	.366	-.222	.224	.299	.391	.235	0.3	93-C 1	2.6
40^o	386	33	16	1	11	41	34	94	2	1	-0.2	.213	.286	.355	-.249	.219	.293	.380	.229	-2.3	92-C 1	2.3
25^o	379	30	15	1	10	39	33	94	2	1	-0.2	.205	.277	.338	-.292	.211	.284	.362	.220	-6.3	91-C 1	2.0
10^o	359	24	12	1	7	33	28	94	2	1	-0.2	.185	.253	.295	-.404	.190	.259	.316	.193	-15.8	86-C 1	1.0
Weighted Mean	403	37	17	1	11	45	36	96	2	1	-0.2	.218	.293	.366	-.220	.224	.299	.392	.235	2.8	96-C 1	2.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
29%	56%	20%	14%	1.05

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2008 (age 24)	403	37	17	1	11	45	36	96	2	1	-0.2	.218	.293	.366	-.220	.224	.299	.392	.235	2.8	96-C 1	2.7
2009 (age 25)	368	33	15	1	11	42	36	84	2	1	-0.2	.221	.302	.370	-.197	.224	.304	.389	.240	2.1	88-C 1	2.2
2010 (age 26)	335	28	13	1	9	35	34	80	2	1	-0.2	.213	.297	.358	-.225	.216	.300	.376	.235	0.0	81-C 1	1.6
2011 (age 27)	341	32	15	1	11	40	34	80	1	1	-0.2	.225	.308	.390	-.158	.228	.310	.409	.248	3.4	82-C 0	1.6
2012 (age 28)	308	27	13	1	9	35	30	69	1	1	-0.1	.224	.305	.383	-.172	.227	.308	.402	.245	2.1	75-C 0	1.3
2013 (age 29)	261	20	9	0	7	31	25	59	1	1	-0.1	.212	.292	.348	-.249	.214	.294	.365	.230	-0.7	64-C 2	0.9
2014 (age 30)	285	21	11	0	7	30	28	63	1	1	-0.1	.205	.289	.334	-.276	.207	.291	.350	.224	-1.1	70-C 1	0.8

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.232	.310	.389
vs RHP	.214	.285	.354
Split	+.018	+.025	+.035
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	OWARP	DWARP	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2008	0.3	2.5	2.7	$3,725,000	2.2	4.9
2009	0.4	1.8	2.2	$2,975,000	1.6	5.8
2010	0.2	1.4	1.6	$2,000,000	0.1	3.3
2011	0.4	1.2	1.6	$2,725,000	3.0	5.8
2012	0.3	1.0	1.3	$2,025,000	1.7	5.1
2013	0.1	0.9	0.9	$1,300,000	0.0	3.1
2014	0.0	0.7	0.8	$1,150,000	-0.8	2.0
Peak			10.4	$10,675,000	8.5	27.9

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2008	.250	.235	.220	.235
2009	.260	.238	.225	.240
2010	.255	.239	.225	.235
2011	.268	.243	.221	.248
2012	.266	.239	.219	.245
2013	.261	.237	.196	.230
2014	.260	.230	.197	.224

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2008	14%	0%	29%
2009	29%	11%	30%
2010	53%	26%	20%
2011	56%	38%	28%
2012	65%	48%	24%
2013	76%	51%	19%
2014	83%	66%	17%

Player Comments

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2007

The organization`s Catcher of the Future, because dealing George Kottaras erased the only other aspirant. Hundley is a big, strapping guy with power, a long swing, and a good arm. He`s not perfect--his throws need to be sped up, and, as a former college player at the University of Arizona, hitting in the Cal League in his full-season debut should be a matter of course, not an achievement. If he makes the jump to Double-A in 2007, the Padres have got something.

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2005	EUG	1A	184	30	7	1	7	22	33	35	1	0	-0.6	.250	.391	.453	.185	.184	.297	.291	.214	-15.4	40-C -4	0.7
2005	FTW	1B	42	2	2	0	0	5	4	9	0	0	0.3	.222	.310	.278	-.186	.184	.238	.211	.150	-5.0		-0.2
2006	FTW	1B	248	29	19	0	8	44	25	45	1	1	-0.2	.274	.355	.474	.224	.229	.294	.386	.236	-1.3	57-C 5	1.9
2006	LEL	1C	200	18	13	0	3	23	20	44	1	1	-0.5	.278	.357	.403	.036	.227	.291	.337	.220	-5.0	41-C -3	0.8
2007	SAN	2A	422	55	23	1	20	72	42	74	0	2	1.8	.247	.324	.475	.134	.224	.292	.429	.245	3.9	93-C 2	3.2

Historical Stats