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Hernan Iribarren
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Second Base
Bats L
Age 24
6' 1"
180 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 WVA 1B 560 72 15 8 4 48 51 99 38 15 2.8 .290 .360 .379 .054 .228 .284 .296 .211 -25.4 121-2B -4 1.4
2006 BRV 1C 455 50 12 4 2 50 39 57 19 15 0.9 .319 .376 .384 .163 .279 .332 .341 .238 3.7 104-2B -3 2.4
2007 HUN 2A 542 72 23 12 4 53 44 109 18 16 4.6 .307 .363 .430 .137 .268 .318 .387 .244 8.8 118-2B 5 3.7


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:02 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 664 100 36 9 10 47 56 127 24 9 3.5 .286 .349 .427 .010 .286 .347 .430 .268 28.3 155-2B 0 5.8
75o 623 82 31 8 8 45 50 122 21 8 3.2 .271 .332 .394 -.077 .271 .329 .397 .252 13.9 146-2B 0 4.4
60o 594 71 27 7 6 43 45 118 19 8 2.9 .261 .319 .372 -.137 .261 .317 .374 .241 4.9 139-2B -1 3.5
50o 584 68 26 7 6 43 44 116 19 7 2.8 .257 .315 .364 -.157 .257 .313 .367 .237 2.1 137-2B -1 3.2
40o 570 63 25 6 5 42 42 114 18 7 2.7 .252 .309 .353 -.185 .252 .307 .356 .231 -1.7 134-2B -1 2.9
25o 543 55 22 6 4 40 38 110 17 7 2.5 .244 .299 .334 -.235 .244 .297 .337 .221 -8.0 128-2B -1 2.2
10o 500 44 18 5 2 38 33 103 14 6 2.2 .230 .283 .305 -.312 .230 .280 .307 .204 -16.3 118-2B -1 1.2
Weighted Mean 630 77 28 7 6 45 48 125 21 8 2.8 .259 .318 .368 -.146 .259 .315 .371 .239 6.8 147-2B -2 3.3

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

25%

55%

18%

6%

0.82

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 24) 630 77 28 7 6 45 48 125 21 8 2.8 .259 .318 .368 -.146 .259 .315 .371 .239 6.8 147-2B -2 3.3
2009 (age 25) 501 54 22 6 5 39 37 97 15 6 2.0 .258 .316 .366 -.152 .254 .309 .362 .238 2.1 118-2B -2 2.3
2010 (age 26) 494 57 22 6 6 37 40 95 16 6 1.8 .265 .327 .381 -.108 .260 .320 .377 .247 5.9 117-2B -3 2.3
2011 (age 27) 470 54 22 5 6 39 39 88 13 5 1.6 .268 .331 .389 -.087 .264 .324 .385 .249 6.7 111-2B -5 2.0
2012 (age 28) 435 48 20 5 6 35 36 84 12 4 1.5 .265 .329 .386 -.097 .261 .322 .382 .249 5.8 103-2B -3 2.0
2013 (age 29) 511 62 24 6 6 44 43 92 14 6 1.3 .275 .339 .396 -.060 .270 .331 .391 .255 7.3 120-2B -4 1.8
2014 (age 30) 584 73 26 5 8 52 50 117 16 6 1.1 .267 .333 .381 -.094 .263 .326 .377 .249 4.9 137-2B -8 1.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .231 .285 .312
vs RHP .269 .334 .407
Split -.039 -.049 -.095
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.6 2.8 3.3 $5,275,000 5.9 6.1
2009 0.4 1.9 2.3 $3,025,000 1.1 3.9
2010 0.7 1.6 2.3 $3,775,000 3.9 4.1
2011 0.7 1.3 2.0 $3,475,000 3.6 4.9
2012 0.7 1.4 2.0 $3,800,000 3.9 5.7
2013 0.7 1.1 1.8 $3,900,000 4.9 5.2
2014 0.5 0.9 1.5 $2,775,000 2.0 4.0
Peak 13.8 $17,500,000 23.2 29.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .252 .237 .221 .239
2009 .257 .238 .227 .238
2010 .267 .251 .232 .247
2011 .269 .254 .238 .249
2012 .275 .257 .230 .249
2013 .273 .255 .235 .255
2014 .273 .251 .236 .249


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 6% 0% 25%
2009 30% 10% 24%
2010 39% 18% 35%
2011 42% 21% 34%
2012 47% 27% 36%
2013 52% 41% 31%
2014 61% 51% 26%

Player Comments

Click on the year to report a comment problem (misspelling, premature cutoff, weird characters or rendering, etc.)

2007

A singles-smacking light hitter with particularly quick wrists, Iribarren isn`t exactly mounting a threat to Rickie Weeks, though if Weeks keeps his Iron Glove on display in 2007, Iribarren`s speed`n D and singles package might become that much more attractive. He has good speed, but however impressive his stolen base total, his success rate is anything but; successfully stealing 56% of the time is simply unsustainable as a tactic. The Brewers are still hoping he fills out a bit and starts hitting the ball with some authority. Iribarren is trying to cooperate: he served a six-game suspension after getting caught using a corked bat.

2006

Labeled a prospect because the Brewers have so few of them, but Iribarren might yet work out. In some ways he`s the prototypical second baseman: scrappy, solid rep with the glove, plus a good spray-hitting stroke. He has shown signs of being able to pull the ball and he`ll need to develop that pop to have a job--with Weeks on hand there won`t be an opening at second base for the next five years or so.

2005

If it weren't for Callix Crabbe, he'd have the best name in the organization. With a name that conjures up images of conquering warlords, Iribarren isn't the intimidating presence you might expect, but he had few problems claiming the Arizona League as his personal kingdom. Complex Leagues have been known to create prospects out of suspects thanks to a low level of competition, but Iribarren is better than the Chris Tritle types. He has solid skills across the board and superior bat control, making him a perfect fit at the top of a batting order. The Brewers will promote him aggressively, and if all goes well, he could finish the season in Double-A. By far the best hitting prospect in the lower levels of the system.


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