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Devin Ivany
Washington Nationals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 25
6' 2"
185 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players | Player Comments

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 SAV 1B 446 52 27 1 13 54 25 65 7 7 1.2 .262 .315 .428 .044 .207 .244 .323 .192 -27.5 84-C 0 0.8
2006 POT 1C 482 62 19 3 6 55 25 64 12 3 2.1 .262 .311 .359 -.040 .229 .262 .314 .200 -24.7 95-C 2 1.4
2007 NAT 0R 5 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 0.1 .333 .400 .333 .098 .000 .167 .000 .100 -2.6 0.0
2007 HAG 1B 16 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 0.0 .167 .333 .250 -.233 .154 .267 .154 .184 -2.0 0.0
2007 POT 1C 144 18 5 0 5 19 7 26 4 2 1.3 .275 .313 .427 .051 .230 .257 .341 .209 -6.0 27-C -1 0.1
2007 HAR 2A 83 8 4 0 0 7 7 21 1 1 0.4 .178 .244 .233 -.429 .162 .220 .203 .142 -10.3 22-C -4 -0.2


EQA Distribution

Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

(projection generated 3/18/08 12:04 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 226 26 12 1 5 23 14 45 5 2 0.3 .248 .301 .381 -.167 .248 .301 .388 .237 1.1 57-C -3 1.2
75o 211 20 9 1 4 20 12 43 5 2 0.2 .231 .280 .341 -.269 .231 .280 .348 .216 -4.0 53-C -3 0.8
60o 204 18 8 1 3 18 11 43 5 1 0.2 .223 .271 .325 -.312 .223 .271 .331 .207 -5.9 51-C -3 0.6
50o 197 16 7 1 3 17 10 42 4 1 0.2 .216 .262 .309 -.353 .216 .263 .315 .197 -7.6 50-C -2 0.4
40o 190 15 7 0 2 16 10 41 4 1 0.2 .210 .255 .295 -.389 .210 .255 .300 .188 -9.0 48-C -2 0.3
25o 175 11 5 0 2 14 8 39 4 1 0.2 .197 .239 .266 -.464 .197 .239 .271 .168 -11.3 45-C -2 0.0
10o 152 8 3 0 1 10 6 36 4 1 0.1 .180 .218 .228 -.561 .180 .219 .233 .137 -13.2 40-C -2 -0.3
Weighted Mean 182 15 7 0 3 16 10 39 4 1 0.2 .216 .262 .309 -.353 .216 .263 .315 .197 -6.0 47-C -2 0.6

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

40%

54%

28%

36%

0.98

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 182 15 7 0 3 16 10 39 4 1 0.2 .216 .262 .309 -.353 .216 .263 .315 .197 -6.0 47-C -2 0.6
2009 (age 26) 196 17 7 0 3 19 10 40 4 1 0.1 .220 .267 .321 -.327 .216 .263 .321 .203 -4.0 50-C -3 0.4
2010 (age 27) 223 22 9 0 5 23 11 44 5 2 0.1 .228 .269 .343 -.289 .224 .265 .343 .210 -2.2 56-C 0 0.4
2011 (age 28) 180 14 6 0 3 18 9 37 3 1 0.1 .219 .261 .314 -.346 .216 .257 .315 .197 -2.8 46-C -1 0.2
2012 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .232 .280 .336
vs RHP .212 .256 .297
Split +.020 +.024 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.5 1.1 0.6 $700,000 -8.1 0.1
2009 -0.3 0.6 0.4 $550,000 -5.3 0.0
2010 0.0 0.6 0.4 $600,000 -2.2 0.5
2011 -0.2 0.4 0.2 $500,000 -3.1 0.0
2012 0.0 0.3 0.2 $525,000 -1.3 0.1
2013 0.0 0.2 0.2 $500,000 -1.5 0.0
2014 0.0 0.2 0.2 $525,000 -0.9 0.0
Peak 2.0 $825,000 0.0 0.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .216 .197 .168 .197
2009 .225 .208 .175 .203
2010 .235 .210 .188 .210
2011 .227 .195 .173 .197
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 36% 0% 40%
2009 55% 36% 36%
2010 66% 54% 36%
2011 74% 63% 23%
2012 78% 69% 23%
2013 83% 77% 25%
2014 85% 81% 15%

Player Comments

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2007

Devin Ivany isn`t really a prospect, but we wanted to include a certain number of Nats, and guys who wear the tools of ignorance have it rough. To Ivany`s credit, he`s a smooth receiver and throws well, gunning down 35 percent of attempting base stealers.


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