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He's probably very handsome. Kenley Jansen
Los Angeles Dodgers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats B
Age 21
6' 2"
178 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2009 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 DGR Rk 138 14 2 1 1 10 19 32 1 0 0.1 .248 .362 .308 -.411 .194 .275 .250 .183 -30.9 33-C 1 -0.6
2007 OGD Rk 215 26 5 1 2 22 28 50 0 0 -0.2 .240 .346 .311 -.561 .156 .242 .193 .142 -50.7 39-C -4 -3.0
2007 GRL A 70 5 1 0 1 6 7 18 0 1 0.0 .102 .214 .169 -.787 .081 .169 .145 .000 -13.5 19-C -2 -1.1
2008 GRL A 277 31 15 0 9 27 23 72 3 0 0.9 .227 .298 .397 -.319 .198 .259 .344 .209 -16.9 74-C -2 -0.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2009 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/8/09 1:21 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 392 40 19 1 9 42 36 106 1 1 -0.1 .242 .317 .380 -.109 .246 .319 .398 .248 5.8 94-C 0 2.0
75o 377 34 16 1 8 38 33 104 1 1 -0.1 .226 .298 .347 -.197 .230 .301 .364 .230 -2.3 90-C 1 1.3
60o 359 27 14 1 6 34 30 101 1 1 -0.1 .208 .278 .313 -.292 .212 .281 .328 .209 -10.1 86-C 1 0.5
50o 353 25 13 1 6 32 29 101 1 1 -0.1 .203 .272 .302 -.321 .206 .274 .316 .203 -12.3 85-C 1 0.3
40o 345 23 12 1 5 30 27 99 1 1 -0.1 .197 .265 .289 -.355 .200 .267 .303 .194 -14.8 83-C 1 0.0
25o 334 20 11 0 4 28 25 98 1 1 -0.1 .187 .254 .271 -.406 .190 .256 .284 .181 -18.3 81-C 1 -0.4
10o 312 16 9 0 3 23 22 94 1 1 -0.1 .172 .235 .240 -.491 .174 .237 .251 .156 -23.2 76-C 1 -0.9
Weighted Mean 350 25 13 1 6 33 28 99 1 1 -0.1 .204 .274 .305 -.323 .208 .276 .319 .203 -9.6 84-C 2 0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

70%

82%

12%

20%

1.27

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2009 (age 21) 350 25 13 1 6 33 28 99 1 1 -0.1 .204 .274 .305 -.323 .208 .276 .319 .203 -9.6 84-C 2 0.5
2010 (age 22) 356 28 13 1 7 32 30 99 1 1 0.0 .209 .281 .317 -.297 .209 .279 .328 .212 -7.1 86-C 2 0.6
2011 (age 23) 328 25 12 1 6 31 29 91 1 1 0.0 .210 .285 .321 -.283 .211 .283 .332 .214 -5.1 79-C 2 0.7
2012 (age 24) 311 24 12 1 6 28 28 82 1 1 0.0 .216 .292 .327 -.258 .217 .290 .338 .220 -2.8 75-C -1 0.4
2013 (age 25) 295 22 12 0 6 27 25 82 1 1 0.0 .202 .276 .323 -.301 .203 .274 .334 .211 -3.4 72-C -3 0.1
2014 (age 26) 316 23 11 1 7 33 26 85 1 1 0.0 .200 .270 .313 -.326 .200 .269 .323 .205 -3.7 77-C 0 0.2
2015 (age 27) 235 16 9 0 5 22 21 64 1 1 0.0 .202 .276 .322 -.302 .202 .274 .333 .211 -1.7 58-C -3 0.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .197 .267 .290
vs RHP .206 .276 .311
Split -.009 -.009 -.021
LgAvg +.004 -.004 +.007

Valuation

Year BRAA FRAA Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2009 -10.2 2.0 0.5 $400,000 -9.2 1.5
2010 -7.8 2.0 0.6 $400,000 -7.0 0.1
2011 -6.4 2.0 0.7 $800,000 -4.3 1.7
2012 -4.4 -1.0 0.4 $600,000 -4.0 1.8
2013 -6.7 -3.0 0.1 $400,000 -4.5 0.1
2014 -8.9 0.0 0.2 $525,000 -3.6 1.0
2015 -5.3 -3.0 0.1 $700,000 -1.8 0.2
Peak 2.6 $2,100,000 -1.8 6.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2009 .230 .203 .181 .203
2010 .231 .210 .196 .212
2011 .241 .215 .189 .214
2012 .249 .215 .189 .220
2013 .242 .218 .188 .211
2014 .227 .200 .168 .205
2015 .235 .221 .167 .211


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2009 20% 0% 70%
2010 37% 17% 78%
2011 46% 27% 76%
2012 61% 44% 73%
2013 68% 56% 70%
2014 74% 62% 69%
2015 88% 76% 66%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

54

Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Jair Fernandez 2008 49 11 Jimmy Roso 1991 36
2 Juan Apodaca 2008 49 12 Jose Gil 2008 35
3 Jose Lobaton 2006 46 13 Mitch Meluskey 1995 35
4 Jose Monzon 1990 41 14 Charles Alley 1998 35
5 Francisco Morales 1994 41 15 Inocencio Guerrero 1982 35
6 Joel Naughton 2008 40 16 J.C. Boscan 2001 34
7 Rafael Rivas 1984 40 17 Carlos Santana 2008 34
8 Trent Dantonio 2007 38 18 Alan Zinter 1990 34
9 Johnny Cuevas 1987 37 19 Wil Nieves 1999 34
10 Hector Gimenez 2004 37 20 Nelson Robledo 2006 34

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