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He's probably very handsome. Matt LaPorta
Milwaukee Brewers [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Left Field
Bats R
Age 23
6' 2"
212 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 HEL 0R 28 4 1 0 2 4 1 8 0 0 0.0 .259 .286 .519 .060 .185 .214 .333 .179 -4.7 0.0
2007 WVA 1B 102 18 8 0 10 27 7 22 0 1 0.1 .318 .392 .750 .609 .250 .304 .543 .274 3.1 17-LF 3 0.7


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 12:59 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 551 69 32 2 27 87 55 118 5 2 -0.9 .280 .359 .520 .145 .280 .356 .524 .292 29.1 129-LF -3 4.9
75o 536 56 29 2 23 76 47 127 4 3 -0.8 .256 .328 .465 -.001 .256 .325 .468 .266 10.0 126-LF -3 3.3
60o 532 53 28 2 22 74 46 129 4 3 -0.8 .250 .320 .452 -.037 .250 .318 .455 .260 5.5 125-LF -2 3.0
50o 530 52 28 2 21 72 44 130 4 3 -0.7 .247 .316 .444 -.058 .246 .313 .447 .256 3.0 125-LF -2 2.7
40o 527 49 27 1 20 70 43 132 4 3 -0.7 .242 .309 .433 -.085 .242 .307 .437 .250 -0.5 124-LF -2 2.5
25o 522 46 26 1 19 67 41 134 4 3 -0.7 .236 .301 .419 -.123 .236 .299 .422 .243 -5.1 123-LF -2 2.1
10o 513 40 25 1 17 60 37 139 4 3 -0.6 .222 .283 .389 -.204 .222 .281 .392 .227 -14.7 121-LF -2 1.2
Weighted Mean 555 51 28 1 20 71 44 142 4 3 -0.7 .236 .302 .421 -.119 .236 .300 .424 .243 -1.9 130-LF -2 2.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

23%

45%

29%

3%

0.89

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 555 51 28 1 20 71 44 142 4 3 -0.7 .236 .302 .421 -.119 .236 .300 .424 .243 -1.9 130-LF -2 2.1
2009 (age 24) 527 51 28 1 21 73 43 127 4 2 -0.7 .249 .316 .446 -.052 .245 .309 .441 .255 3.3 124-LF -3 2.4
2010 (age 25) 491 48 26 1 21 72 39 115 4 2 -0.6 .253 .319 .461 -.024 .249 .312 .455 .261 5.9 116-LF -2 2.5
2011 (age 26) 413 38 21 1 18 58 37 98 3 2 -0.5 .245 .318 .457 -.037 .241 .311 .452 .259 3.7 98-LF -2 2.0
2012 (age 27) 425 44 23 1 21 81 38 96 3 2 -0.5 .265 .336 .500 .066 .261 .328 .494 .276 10.8 101-LF -3 2.3
2013 (age 28) 458 44 25 1 20 81 39 107 3 2 -0.5 .257 .320 .468 -.008 .253 .313 .463 .263 5.3 108-LF -2 1.9
2014 (age 29) 490 48 23 1 22 86 42 115 3 2 -0.4 .256 .320 .464 -.015 .252 .313 .459 .262 4.6 116-LF -3 1.8

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .252 .319 .444
vs RHP .232 .295 .406
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.8 1.3 2.1 $2,400,000 -5.0 2.3
2009 1.3 1.1 2.4 $3,150,000 0.1 3.2
2010 1.5 1.0 2.5 $3,850,000 2.5 4.3
2011 1.1 0.8 2.0 $3,000,000 1.5 4.2
2012 1.6 0.7 2.3 $5,225,000 8.2 6.2
2013 1.1 0.7 1.9 $3,625,000 3.3 5.7
2014 1.0 0.7 1.8 $3,450,000 2.3 4.1
Peak 13.1 $15,225,000 19.5 27.8


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .266 .256 .243 .243
2009 .280 .254 .235 .255
2010 .283 .265 .246 .261
2011 .286 .263 .238 .259
2012 .292 .277 .260 .276
2013 .282 .255 .235 .263
2014 .280 .267 .235 .262


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 3% 0% 23%
2009 5% 1% 34%
2010 6% 4% 37%
2011 12% 12% 39%
2012 26% 23% 48%
2013 31% 30% 38%
2014 35% 32% 37%

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