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Drew Macias
San Diego Padres [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Center Field
Bats L
Age 25
6' 3"
175 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 LEL 1C 551 79 23 6 6 66 46 78 15 15 -1.2 .289 .355 .396 -.050 .224 .280 .295 .201 -28.9 122-CF 6 0.7
2006 MOB 2A 486 43 20 3 7 46 44 94 4 12 1.3 .256 .334 .365 .022 .240 .311 .364 .232 -4.8 76-CF -6 2.0
2007 SAN 2A 391 43 15 5 8 50 51 53 5 8 -0.4 .251 .355 .399 .086 .227 .320 .363 .238 -3.0 70-CF -8 1.8
2007 POR 3A 131 14 6 1 2 11 21 25 3 1 -1.5 .282 .397 .409 .094 .252 .366 .369 .266 3.0 15-CF -1 1.0


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 1:30 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 609 79 30 4 12 59 63 106 11 5 1.3 .260 .341 .396 -.066 .267 .349 .423 .267 15.9 142-CF -3 4.5
75o 558 63 25 3 9 51 54 100 10 5 1.1 .244 .323 .365 -.150 .251 .330 .391 .250 3.0 131-CF -3 3.2
60o 526 54 23 3 8 46 49 96 9 5 1.0 .235 .312 .347 -.200 .242 .319 .371 .240 -3.7 124-CF -3 2.5
50o 509 50 21 3 7 44 47 94 9 5 0.9 .230 .306 .338 -.226 .237 .313 .361 .234 -6.8 120-CF -3 2.2
40o 497 47 20 3 7 42 45 92 9 5 0.9 .226 .302 .331 -.244 .233 .309 .354 .230 -8.9 117-CF -3 2.0
25o 461 39 18 2 6 37 41 88 8 5 0.8 .217 .290 .312 -.295 .223 .297 .334 .219 -14.2 109-CF -3 1.3
10o 413 30 15 2 4 31 34 81 7 4 0.7 .205 .275 .289 -.362 .211 .281 .308 .203 -19.5 98-CF -3 0.6
Weighted Mean 551 57 23 3 8 48 51 101 9 5 1.0 .232 .309 .342 -.214 .239 .316 .366 .236 -2.2 129-CF -3 2.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

26%

59%

18%

13%

0.77

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 25) 551 57 23 3 8 48 51 101 9 5 1.0 .232 .309 .342 -.214 .239 .316 .366 .236 -2.2 129-CF -3 2.4
2009 (age 26) 487 46 20 3 7 41 44 90 8 5 0.7 .232 .306 .336 -.228 .235 .308 .353 .233 -5.1 115-CF -4 1.5
2010 (age 27) 502 52 21 3 8 46 48 90 9 5 0.5 .239 .316 .353 -.183 .243 .318 .370 .243 -0.7 118-CF -4 1.4
2011 (age 28) 545 59 23 3 10 47 48 97 10 5 0.4 .242 .312 .362 -.175 .245 .314 .380 .243 0.0 128-CF -4 1.1
2012 (age 29) 446 46 17 3 9 44 45 81 7 4 0.3 .244 .324 .371 -.141 .247 .327 .389 .250 1.1 106-CF -5 0.9
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .208 .280 .292
vs RHP .240 .322 .372
Split -.032 -.041 -.079
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.4 2.0 2.4 $2,825,000 -4.4 0.8
2009 0.2 1.3 1.5 $1,650,000 -7.8 0.8
2010 0.4 1.0 1.4 $1,675,000 -2.3 1.3
2011 0.4 0.8 1.1 $1,425,000 -1.2 1.9
2012 0.4 0.5 0.9 $1,175,000 -0.5 0.4
2013 0.3 0.5 0.8 $1,100,000 -1.4 1.0
2014 0.1 0.5 0.5 $850,000 -3.3 0.0
Peak 8.0 $6,475,000 0.0 6.2


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .250 .234 .219 .236
2009 .257 .235 .215 .233
2010 .261 .242 .224 .243
2011 .268 .252 .217 .243
2012 .270 .255 .222 .250
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 13% 0% 26%
2009 30% 17% 24%
2010 51% 42% 30%
2011 61% 54% 28%
2012 72% 61% 25%
2013 76% 70% 20%
2014 83% 75% 14%

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