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He's probably very handsome. Joseph Martinez
San Francisco Giants [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 25
6' 3"
185 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2005 SLO 1A 4 3 0 15 13 69.0 69 15 59 9 52% .311 -41 1.22 4.30 11.24 9.48 13.2 5.0 3.4 3.4 -24.1 -2.0
2006 AUG 1B 15 5 0 27 27 167.1 156 26 135 9 58% .296 -7 1.09 3.02 5.98 6.17 10.8 3.1 3.7 1.3 -9.4 1.0
2007 SJO 1C 10 10 0 28 28 162.7 172 36 151 11 50% .348 -1 1.28 4.26 6.42 6.56 11.8 3.4 5.1 1.1 -15.4 0.3


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 11:55 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 7 10 0 24 24 140.3 154 51 83 15 50% .303 6 1.46 4.56 5.02 4.97 9.6 3.0 4.9 0.9 11.7 2.3 2.7
75o 6 10 0 32 21 132.3 154 51 77 16 50% .313 -2 1.55 5.21 5.60 5.68 10.2 3.2 4.8 1.0 0.3 0.9 1.5
60o 5 11 0 32 20 125.3 154 50 73 17 50% .322 -6 1.62 5.79 6.11 6.29 10.7 3.4 4.8 1.2 -8.7 0.0 0.6
50o 4 11 0 32 19 121.0 153 50 70 17 50% .328 -8 1.68 6.18 6.47 6.72 11.1 3.5 4.8 1.2 -14.3 -0.6 0.0
40o 4 10 0 32 19 115.7 152 50 66 18 50% .335 -11 1.74 6.64 6.87 7.20 11.5 3.6 4.7 1.3 -20.1 -1.2 -0.7
25o 3 10 0 32 17 103.7 148 48 58 19 50% .351 -18 1.89 7.76 7.88 8.38 12.5 3.9 4.7 1.6 -32.2 -2.5 -2.0
10o 2 8 0 30 13 79.7 135 44 43 20 49% .385 -32 2.23 10.25 10.20 10.97 14.8 4.6 4.5 2.1 -48.6 -4.2 -3.8
Weighted Mean 4 10 0 33 18 118.3 151 49 68 17 50% .329 -9 1.68 6.25 6.51 6.79 11.1 3.5 4.8 1.3 -14.6 -0.7 -0.4

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

19%

53%

24%

16%

1.41

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 25) 4 10 0 33 18 118.3 151 49 68 17 50% .329 -9 1.68 6.25 6.51 6.79 11.1 3.5 4.8 1.3 -14.6 -0.7 -0.4
2009 (age 26) 4 8 0 33 15 101.3 130 41 57 15 50% .329 -13 1.68 6.13 6.53 6.63 11.2 3.4 4.7 1.3 -9.0 -0.5 -0.1
2010 (age 27) 3 7 0 33 10 79.7 109 31 44 15 48% .336 -18 1.75 6.75 7.25 7.24 11.9 3.3 4.6 1.6 -9.5 -1.0 -0.4
2011 (age 28) 3 6 0 33 9 77.7 103 30 45 10 50% .344 -13 1.71 6.20 6.64 6.72 11.6 3.3 4.8 1.1 -4.4 -0.5 -0.1
2012 (age 29) 3 6 1 32 9 77.0 98 26 44 10 50% .331 -11 1.61 5.62 6.12 6.09 11.2 2.8 4.8 1.2 -1.3 0.0 0.1
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .289 .383 .449
vs RHB .281 .352 .430
Split +.008 +.031 +.018
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 -0.4 $400,000 -17.0 2.2
2009 0.0 $400,000 -10.8 1.5
2010 -0.4 $400,000 -10.8 1.2
2011 0.0 $400,000 -5.1 1.1
2012 0.1 $425,000 -1.8 1.1
2013 0.3 $625,000 0.4 0.5
2014 0.1 $425,000 -1.2 0.3
Peak 0.5 $200,000 0.4 7.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 5.68 6.72 8.38 6.79
2009 5.76 6.76 7.99 6.63
2010 5.58 7.30 9.69 7.24
2011 5.54 7.08 9.31 6.72
2012 4.78 6.10 9.20 6.09
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 16% 0% 19%
2009 44% 18% 19%
2010 60% 39% 14%
2011 73% 55% 12%
2012 79% 62% 18%
2013 80% 72% 19%
2014 83% 75% 14%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

70

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Brad Cornett 1994 72 11 Pete Janicki 1996 57
2 Jason Rakers 1998 65 12 Nick Roberts 2002 57
3 Chris Nelson 1998 65 13 Jason Secoda 2000 56
4 Steve Phoenix 1993 65 14 Ron Frazier 1994 56
5 Michael Laplante 1995 63 15 Jason Stevenson 1999 55
6 Al Levine 1993 63 16 Gary Wilson 1995 55
7 Josh Hall 2006 59 17 Korey Keling 1994 54
8 Kevin Olsen 2001 58 18 Brian Keyser 1992 54
9 Eric Estes 1998 58 19 Brandon Roberson 2003 53
10 RICK SHACKLE 1992 58 20 Keith Morrison 1995 53

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