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He's probably very handsome. Matt McBride
Cleveland Indians [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 23
6' 2"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2006 MHV 1A 211 24 12 0 4 31 16 22 5 2 -0.8 .272 .355 .402 .146 .233 .290 .347 .223 -8.5 26-C -6 0.0
2007 LKC 1B 474 66 35 2 8 66 38 54 1 0 0.4 .283 .348 .432 .080 .233 .285 .350 .223 -10.5 84-C -11 0.8
2007 AKR 2A 8 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 .571 .625 .857 1.401 .714 .750 .999 .642 4.4 0.3


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 1:52 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 528 63 35 1 12 66 39 81 4 2 -0.1 .269 .332 .427 -.009 .267 .330 .443 .270 18.2 124-C -12 3.6
75o 507 54 31 1 10 59 35 81 4 2 -0.1 .257 .316 .399 -.081 .255 .315 .414 .256 8.7 120-C -12 2.7
60o 486 46 28 1 9 53 31 80 4 2 -0.1 .245 .300 .372 -.152 .243 .299 .385 .241 0.0 115-C -11 1.9
50o 477 43 27 1 8 50 29 79 3 2 -0.1 .241 .294 .361 -.182 .238 .293 .374 .235 -3.4 113-C -11 1.5
40o 460 38 25 1 6 46 26 79 3 2 -0.1 .232 .281 .340 -.236 .229 .281 .352 .222 -9.3 109-C -11 1.0
25o 440 32 22 1 5 40 23 77 3 2 -0.1 .222 .268 .317 -.296 .220 .267 .329 .208 -15.2 104-C -11 0.3
10o 420 27 20 1 4 35 20 76 3 2 -0.1 .213 .256 .297 -.348 .211 .255 .308 .194 -19.8 100-C -10 -0.2
Weighted Mean 496 46 28 1 8 51 30 82 4 2 -0.1 .241 .294 .362 -.179 .239 .293 .375 .235 -3.7 117-C -12 2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

42%

59%

19%

10%

1.15

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 496 46 28 1 8 51 30 82 4 2 -0.1 .241 .294 .362 -.179 .239 .293 .375 .235 -3.7 117-C -12 2.0
2009 (age 24) 518 54 29 1 11 58 34 80 4 2 -0.1 .255 .310 .391 -.103 .257 .314 .413 .251 5.0 122-C -14 2.2
2010 (age 25) 516 52 29 1 11 58 31 80 4 2 -0.1 .249 .302 .383 -.133 .251 .306 .404 .244 1.8 122-C -14 1.7
2011 (age 26) 438 44 25 1 10 52 30 65 3 2 -0.1 .255 .313 .401 -.086 .257 .317 .423 .254 5.0 104-C -12 1.8
2012 (age 27) 379 36 21 1 8 43 25 54 3 1 -0.1 .261 .317 .398 -.078 .263 .321 .421 .256 4.3 91-C -12 1.4
2013 (age 28) 422 37 25 1 8 50 25 60 2 2 -0.1 .247 .294 .375 -.157 .249 .298 .397 .238 -0.2 100-C -12 1.1
2014 (age 29) 443 41 25 1 9 53 27 63 3 1 -0.1 .250 .298 .385 -.136 .251 .302 .407 .244 1.1 105-C -16 1.1

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .257 .312 .387
vs RHP .236 .287 .349
Split +.021 +.025 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.3 1.6 2.0 $2,250,000 -7.6 3.8
2009 0.9 1.3 2.2 $2,950,000 1.2 7.9
2010 0.6 1.1 1.7 $2,125,000 -2.3 3.9
2011 0.8 1.0 1.8 $2,850,000 2.2 4.2
2012 0.7 0.7 1.4 $2,300,000 1.9 3.7
2013 0.3 0.8 1.1 $1,525,000 -2.0 2.6
2014 0.4 0.6 1.1 $1,600,000 -2.5 1.8
Peak 10.2 $9,725,000 1.9 26.1


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .256 .235 .208 .235
2009 .272 .241 .222 .251
2010 .251 .238 .218 .244
2011 .265 .250 .228 .254
2012 .269 .242 .220 .256
2013 .265 .235 .215 .238
2014 .264 .255 .224 .244


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 10% 0% 42%
2009 25% 13% 49%
2010 35% 21% 49%
2011 43% 32% 51%
2012 63% 39% 51%
2013 58% 44% 45%
2014 59% 45% 43%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

54

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Rob Johnson 1992 40 11 Raul Ibanez 2003 33
2 Ryan Doumit 1979 36 12 Ryan Garko 1971 33
3 Jake Fox 1981 36 13 Scott Chapman 1982 33
4 Jason Hill 1970 36 14 Michael Barrett 1960 33
5 Michael Collins 1973 35 15 Joe Depastino 2007 32
6 Troy Fortin 1992 35 16 Ronnie Hall 1975 32
7 Brook Fordyce 1975 34 17 J.R. House 1969 32
8 John Buck 1975 34 18 Jordan Brown 2000 31
9 Pat Cline 1957 34 19 Tim Laker 1979 30
10 Stephen Head 1998 33 20 Erik Johnson 2005 30

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