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He's probably very handsome. Mike McCormick
Tampa Bay Rays [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 21
6' 2"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 PRI 0R 127 15 10 1 3 16 11 31 3 3 -1.0 .252 .339 .441 .044 .171 .228 .256 .158 -26.0 28-3B -1 -0.2
2006 PRI 0R 260 34 18 0 10 39 26 64 7 7 0.8 .275 .364 .491 .200 .203 .264 .322 .203 -27.8 61-3B -8 -0.4
2007 HUD 1A 270 35 20 1 8 44 27 66 3 5 1.4 .276 .352 .469 .215 .231 .292 .397 .234 -0.8 57-C -5 1.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 1:55 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 543 57 32 1 16 61 49 150 7 5 0.4 .242 .315 .411 -.078 .245 .320 .432 .262 11.8 128-C -11 3.4
75o 506 44 27 1 13 53 40 146 6 4 0.3 .223 .289 .372 -.186 .225 .294 .391 .240 -2.4 119-C -9 2.1
60o 489 39 26 1 12 49 37 144 6 4 0.3 .214 .278 .356 -.231 .217 .282 .374 .230 -7.9 115-C -8 1.7
50o 478 36 25 1 11 47 34 142 5 4 0.3 .209 .270 .346 -.261 .212 .275 .363 .223 -11.1 113-C -8 1.4
40o 458 32 23 1 10 43 31 139 5 4 0.3 .201 .258 .329 -.308 .203 .263 .346 .212 -16.1 109-C -7 0.9
25o 429 26 20 1 8 38 26 134 4 4 0.2 .189 .241 .305 -.376 .191 .245 .321 .194 -22.3 102-C -6 0.3
10o 399 20 18 1 7 32 22 128 4 3 0.2 .178 .225 .283 -.439 .180 .229 .298 .176 -26.9 95-C -4 -0.2
Weighted Mean 495 38 26 1 11 48 35 148 5 4 0.3 .208 .269 .344 -.267 .211 .273 .361 .222 -12.4 117-C -8 1.7

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

38%

58%

27%

10%

1.19

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 21) 495 38 26 1 11 48 35 148 5 4 0.3 .208 .269 .344 -.267 .211 .273 .361 .222 -12.4 117-C -8 1.7
2009 (age 22) 490 41 26 1 12 52 37 136 6 4 0.2 .219 .283 .366 -.206 .226 .293 .392 .236 -3.8 116-C -11 1.7
2010 (age 23) 490 44 26 1 13 54 40 132 6 4 0.2 .225 .293 .380 -.167 .232 .303 .407 .245 0.1 116-C -11 1.8
2011 (age 24) 458 41 25 1 13 54 35 119 6 4 0.2 .231 .294 .388 -.151 .237 .304 .416 .247 1.4 108-C -10 1.7
2012 (age 25) 391 33 21 1 11 45 30 100 5 3 0.1 .230 .295 .389 -.148 .237 .305 .417 .247 1.1 94-C -10 1.2
2013 (age 26) 332 26 17 1 10 40 27 83 3 3 0.1 .231 .296 .391 -.145 .238 .305 .419 .248 1.0 80-C -8 1.1
2014 (age 27) 373 33 21 1 12 48 32 91 3 3 0.1 .239 .308 .416 -.086 .246 .318 .445 .260 3.3 89-C -10 1.3

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .224 .287 .369
vs RHP .204 .262 .331
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.3 2.0 1.7 $1,875,000 -14.6 1.0
2009 0.3 1.4 1.7 $2,050,000 -7.4 4.2
2010 0.6 1.2 1.8 $2,225,000 -4.0 5.5
2011 0.6 1.1 1.7 $2,275,000 -1.9 5.7
2012 0.5 0.7 1.2 $1,600,000 -2.2 3.2
2013 0.4 0.7 1.1 $1,525,000 -0.7 2.6
2014 0.6 0.7 1.3 $2,325,000 1.5 3.0
Peak 9.2 $7,650,000 1.5 24.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .240 .223 .194 .222
2009 .254 .226 .207 .236
2010 .261 .238 .225 .245
2011 .264 .239 .223 .247
2012 .266 .253 .230 .247
2013 .264 .249 .220 .248
2014 .275 .247 .229 .260


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 10% 0% 38%
2009 24% 14% 46%
2010 28% 22% 57%
2011 41% 29% 56%
2012 52% 38% 60%
2013 65% 48% 58%
2014 71% 54% 56%

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