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Daniel McCutchen
New York Yankees [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Pitcher
Throws R
Age 25
6' 2"
195 lbs.
Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Most Comparable Pitchers

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2006 STA 1A 1 0 0 2 2 8.1 4 1 11 1 69% .200 -24 0.62 1.11 12.25 7.50 10.5 3.0 7.5 6.0 -1.3 -0.1
2006 CSC 1B 1 0 1 7 0 21.1 13 5 18 2 43% .220 -15 0.85 2.13 5.76 4.67 8.3 4.2 4.7 2.1 1.8 0.4
2007 TAM 1C 11 2 0 17 16 101.0 86 21 67 7 46% .272 -4 1.06 2.50 5.45 4.43 9.8 3.2 3.9 1.4 11.3 2.9
2007 TRN 2A 3 2 0 7 7 41.0 30 12 36 2 43% .259 13 1.02 2.41 3.99 3.55 8.1 3.3 5.7 0.7 8.7 1.6


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/17/08 12:09 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
90o 9 6 0 24 24 136.7 142 53 77 20 43% .277 3 1.43 4.31 4.67 4.25 9.0 3.2 4.6 1.3 20.1 3.1 3.3
75o 8 7 0 23 23 128.3 142 53 71 21 43% .287 -1 1.52 5.00 5.22 4.91 9.6 3.3 4.5 1.5 8.3 1.8 2.1
60o 7 8 0 29 20 121.7 141 52 66 22 43% .295 -8 1.59 5.55 5.65 5.45 10.0 3.5 4.4 1.6 -0.1 0.8 1.3
50o 6 8 0 29 20 118.0 140 52 63 22 43% .299 -10 1.63 5.84 5.89 5.73 10.3 3.6 4.4 1.7 -4.3 0.4 0.9
40o 5 8 0 29 18 110.3 138 51 58 22 43% .309 -15 1.71 6.52 6.43 6.39 10.9 3.7 4.2 1.8 -12.9 -0.5 0.0
25o 4 8 0 29 17 99.0 134 49 50 23 43% .322 -21 1.84 7.55 7.26 7.37 11.7 4.0 4.1 2.1 -23.7 -1.7 -1.2
10o 3 7 0 27 14 80.7 124 44 38 22 43% .344 -32 2.08 9.39 8.72 9.13 13.3 4.5 3.8 2.5 -36.8 -3.0 -2.6
Weighted Mean 6 8 0 30 19 114.7 138 51 61 22 43% .301 -12 1.64 6.00 5.99 5.88 10.4 3.6 4.3 1.7 -6.2 0.1 0.8

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

3%

11%

62%

20%

1.31

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year W L SV G GS IP H BB SO HR GB% BABIP Stuff WHIP ERA PERA ERA H9 BB9 K9 HR9 VORP WXRL WARP
2008 (age 25) 6 8 0 30 19 114.7 138 51 61 22 43% .301 -12 1.64 6.00 5.99 5.88 10.4 3.6 4.3 1.7 -6.2 0.1 0.8
2009 (age 26) 5 7 0 32 16 104.3 128 44 56 20 43% .305 -15 1.65 6.22 6.08 6.11 10.6 3.5 4.4 1.7 -7.4 -0.2 0.4
2010 (age 27) 4 5 0 29 10 77.7 94 31 40 16 41% .297 -17 1.60 6.09 5.96 5.96 10.4 3.2 4.2 1.8 -3.8 -0.1 0.4
2011 (age 28) 4 5 0 29 10 76.3 96 33 39 12 43% .315 -17 1.68 6.10 6.08 6.00 10.9 3.5 4.1 1.4 -3.4 -0.1 0.3
2012 (age 29) 4 5 0 31 10 81.0 95 33 43 14 43% .298 -15 1.58 5.76 5.68 5.67 10.2 3.3 4.3 1.6 -1.0 0.1 0.3
2013 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHB .274 .379 .463
vs RHB .270 .345 .424
Split +.005 +.034 +.039
LgAvg +.009 +.034 +.039

Valuation

Year WARP MORP Mean VORP Upside
2008 0.8 $875,000 -4.4 4.8
2009 0.4 $575,000 -6.0 2.7
2010 0.4 $575,000 -2.9 3.6
2011 0.3 $525,000 -2.7 3.1
2012 0.3 $550,000 -0.5 1.1
2013 0.4 $1,025,000 1.6 1.9
2014 0.2 $475,000 -1.2 0.9
Peak 2.6 $1,450,000 1.6 17.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 4.91 5.73 7.37 5.88
2009 5.03 6.26 6.87 6.11
2010 4.77 5.91 7.78 5.96
2011 4.91 6.43 8.39 6.00
2012 4.59 5.79 6.85 5.67
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 20% 0% 3%
2009 35% 17% 2%
2010 62% 34% 6%
2011 65% 44% 4%
2012 76% 62% 4%
2013 81% 67% 3%
2014 86% 68% 2%

Most Comparable Pitchers

Similarity Index

72

Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend Rank Pitcher Year Score Trend
1 Donne Wall 1993 74 11 Dan Rambo 1992 59
2 T.J. Mathews 1995 64 12 Jason Secoda 2000 58
3 Kent Wallace 1996 64 13 Ismael Ramirez 2006 57
4 Tim Wakefield 1992 62 14 RICK SHACKLE 1992 57
5 George Glinatsis 1995 62 15 Paul Wagner 1993 57
6 Ron Frazier 1995 61 16 Scott Taylor 1992 57
7 Ryan Franklin 1998 60 17 Eric Estes 1998 57
8 Dave Swartzbaugh 1993 60 18 Tim Worrell 1993 56
9 Jason Fronio 1995 60 19 Mark DiFelice 2002 56
10 Kevin Olsen 2002 60 20 Jason Rakers 1999 55

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