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He's probably very handsome. Orlando Mercado
Arizona Diamondbacks [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 23
5' 10"
215 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 SBN 1B 272 31 10 0 6 35 34 34 1 2 -2.7 .249 .346 .373 .014 .213 .292 .315 .217 -9.3 58-C -2 1.0
2006 SBN 1B 341 38 20 0 11 58 40 36 1 1 -5.0 .247 .344 .428 .118 .230 .307 .375 .238 -0.8 75-C -7 1.6
2007 VIS 1C 275 27 12 0 6 37 51 42 2 2 -6.0 .256 .418 .398 .098 .210 .348 .308 .241 -2.0 49-C 2 1.8


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 2:01 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 310 41 16 0 9 34 40 48 2 1 -1.6 .263 .367 .430 .027 .253 .356 .410 .267 10.4 75-C -3 2.6
75o 284 32 13 0 7 29 34 47 2 1 -1.3 .245 .345 .390 -.078 .235 .335 .371 .248 3.0 70-C -2 1.9
60o 265 26 11 0 6 26 31 45 2 1 -1.2 .232 .329 .362 -.152 .223 .319 .344 .233 -1.5 65-C -2 1.5
50o 259 24 11 0 6 25 29 45 2 1 -1.2 .228 .324 .353 -.173 .219 .314 .336 .229 -2.7 64-C -2 1.4
40o 249 22 10 0 5 23 28 44 2 1 -1.1 .221 .316 .339 -.210 .213 .306 .323 .221 -4.6 62-C -1 1.2
25o 233 18 9 0 4 21 25 42 2 1 -1.0 .211 .303 .317 -.268 .203 .294 .302 .208 -7.2 58-C -1 0.9
10o 206 13 7 0 3 17 21 39 2 1 -0.8 .197 .284 .285 -.352 .189 .275 .272 .188 -10.2 52-C 0 0.5
Weighted Mean 262 25 11 0 6 25 30 45 2 1 -1.2 .231 .328 .360 -.156 .222 .318 .343 .231 0.1 64-C -2 1.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

22%

37%

33%

15%

1.04

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 23) 262 25 11 0 6 25 30 45 2 1 -1.2 .231 .328 .360 -.156 .222 .318 .343 .231 0.1 64-C -2 1.5
2009 (age 24) 232 22 10 0 5 23 27 37 2 1 -1.0 .234 .333 .363 -.141 .221 .318 .339 .235 -0.6 58-C -3 1.1
2010 (age 25) 215 20 10 0 5 23 24 35 2 1 -0.7 .238 .334 .379 -.116 .225 .318 .355 .240 0.4 54-C -2 1.0
2011 (age 26) 214 19 9 0 5 22 25 34 2 1 -0.6 .232 .328 .363 -.151 .219 .313 .339 .233 -0.6 54-C -3 0.7
2012 (age 27) 232 24 10 0 6 26 29 36 1 1 -0.5 .249 .351 .398 -.055 .235 .335 .372 .251 1.6 58-C -6 0.6
2013 (age 28) 209 21 10 0 6 23 25 33 1 1 -0.3 .250 .343 .415 -.045 .236 .328 .388 .251 1.5 53-C -4 0.6
2014 (age 29) 164 15 5 0 5 20 21 25 1 0 -0.3 .248 .348 .403 -.052 .235 .333 .377 .252 1.2 42-C -3 0.6

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .247 .346 .385
vs RHP .226 .319 .346
Split +.021 +.027 +.039
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 0.1 1.4 1.5 $1,625,000 -2.5 1.7
2009 0.1 1.0 1.1 $1,275,000 -4.0 1.3
2010 0.2 0.8 1.0 $1,150,000 -1.8 1.2
2011 0.1 0.7 0.7 $925,000 -2.0 0.3
2012 0.2 0.4 0.6 $850,000 -0.9 0.7
2013 0.2 0.4 0.6 $975,000 0.3 2.0
2014 0.2 0.4 0.6 $950,000 0.2 1.8
Peak 5.6 $3,800,000 0.3 7.3


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .248 .229 .208 .231
2009 .251 .241 .221 .235
2010 .260 .238 .228 .240
2011 .258 .235 .197 .233
2012 .255 .243 .236 .251
2013 .266 .241 .224 .251
2014 .275 .237 .213 .252


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 15% 0% 22%
2009 29% 10% 19%
2010 43% 23% 22%
2011 57% 40% 23%
2012 69% 55% 19%
2013 78% 63% 21%
2014 86% 61% 15%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

38

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Chris Iannetta 1992 40 11 Garret Beard 2003 33
2 Eric Albright 1979 36 12 J.R. House 1971 33
3 Bob Henley 1981 36 13 Scott Hatteberg 1982 33
4 Pete Gonzalez 1970 36 14 Eric Christopherson 1960 33
5 Jeremy Brown 1973 35 15 Alberto Castillo 2007 32
6 Tim Edge 1992 35 16 Charles Alley 1975 32
7 Adam Donachie 1975 34 17 J.D. Closser 1969 32
8 David Castillo 1975 34 18 Jon Fuller 2000 31
9 Bryan Graves 1957 34 19 Creighton Gubanich 1979 30
10 Mike Daniel 1998 33 20 Jason Dewey 2005 30

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