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He's probably very handsome. Devin Mesoraco
Cincinnati Reds [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 20
6' 1"
200 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 RDS 0R 155 16 4 0 1 8 15 26 2 0 -2.4 .219 .310 .270 -.139 .167 .231 .208 .135 -46.9 27-C -2 -0.5


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/19/08 1:15 AM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 493 39 22 1 8 40 39 115 7 3 -0.8 .226 .293 .333 -.259 .223 .289 .327 .213 -11.5 116-C -2 1.9
75o 472 31 20 1 6 36 33 116 6 2 -0.7 .208 .269 .300 -.357 .205 .266 .295 .190 -21.6 112-C -2 0.9
60o 461 28 18 1 5 34 31 116 6 2 -0.7 .199 .257 .285 -.403 .196 .255 .280 .178 -26.0 109-C -2 0.4
50o 441 22 16 1 4 31 27 115 5 2 -0.6 .185 .239 .260 -.478 .182 .236 .255 .156 -32.5 105-C -3 -0.4
40o 423 18 15 1 3 28 24 115 5 2 -0.6 .174 .224 .241 -.536 .172 .222 .237 .136 -36.7 101-C -3 -0.9
25o 397 14 13 1 2 24 20 113 4 2 -0.5 .162 .207 .219 -.601 .160 .205 .216 .107 -40.4 95-C -4 -1.5
10o 312 8 9 1 1 13 14 103 2 1 -0.4 .150 .190 .199 -.665 .148 .188 .196 .014 -36.4 76-C -5 -1.8
Weighted Mean 474 26 18 1 5 34 30 123 6 2 -0.6 .189 .245 .267 -.455 .187 .242 .263 .162 -27.8 112-C -3 0.2

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

70%

74%

23%

8%

1.28

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 20) 474 26 18 1 5 34 30 123 6 2 -0.6 .189 .245 .267 -.455 .187 .242 .263 .162 -27.8 112-C -3 0.2
2009 (age 21) 487 32 20 1 7 41 33 117 5 2 -0.7 .206 .265 .301 -.364 .200 .258 .291 .187 -20.7 115-C -5 0.5
2010 (age 22) 464 33 18 1 8 41 35 109 6 2 -0.6 .211 .274 .316 -.323 .205 .267 .305 .198 -13.7 110-C -6 0.7
2011 (age 23) 373 24 16 1 6 33 28 84 4 2 -0.5 .214 .278 .324 -.305 .208 .270 .313 .202 -9.3 89-C -6 0.6
2012 (age 24) 413 30 17 1 9 32 32 91 4 2 -0.5 .220 .287 .338 -.267 .213 .279 .326 .211 -7.1 98-C -4 0.9
2013 (age 25) 401 32 16 1 10 36 30 81 5 2 -0.4 .234 .294 .366 -.209 .228 .286 .353 .223 -2.8 96-C -3 1.1
2014 (age 26) 407 33 17 1 10 38 37 89 4 2 -0.4 .234 .305 .367 -.187 .227 .297 .354 .229 -1.5 97-C -8 0.9

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .206 .263 .296
vs RHP .185 .239 .258
Split +.020 +.024 +.038
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -2.1 2.4 0.2 $450,000 -29.9 0.0
2009 -1.5 2.0 0.5 $650,000 -24.8 0.1
2010 -0.9 1.6 0.7 $850,000 -17.4 0.3
2011 -0.6 1.2 0.6 $800,000 -12.6 0.0
2012 -0.4 1.4 0.9 $1,225,000 -9.1 0.3
2013 0.0 1.2 1.1 $1,600,000 -4.1 1.5
2014 0.1 0.9 0.9 $1,375,000 -5.5 1.2
Peak 5.0 $3,075,000 -4.2 4.9


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .190 .156 .107 .162
2009 .216 .195 .170 .187
2010 .223 .208 .176 .198
2011 .222 .204 .160 .202
2012 .233 .217 .188 .211
2013 .256 .227 .176 .223
2014 .252 .229 .204 .229


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 8% 0% 70%
2009 7% 4% 80%
2010 25% 13% 85%
2011 35% 23% 77%
2012 35% 30% 83%
2013 45% 38% 82%
2014 53% 42% 78%

Most Comparable Players

Similarity Index

20

Do the years for these comparables look wrong? They are wrong!
Click here for the scoop. We'll have this fixed as soon as we can.
Rank Hitter Year Score Trend Rank Hitter Year Score Trend
1 Brandon Snyder 1992 40 11 Rene Rivera 2003 33
2 Edgar Cruz 1979 36 12 Craig Wilson 1971 33
3 Mike Nixon 1981 36 13 Matt Treanor 1982 33
4 Tommy Arko 1970 36 14 Jay Perez 1960 33
5 Neil Wilson 1973 35 15 Ralph Henriquez 2007 32
6 Ryan Luzinski 1992 35 16 Josh Burrus 1975 32
7 Lou Marson 1975 34 17 Jerrey Thurston 1969 32
8 Yadier Molina 1975 34 18 Shaun Boyd 2000 31
9 Tripper Johnson 1957 34 19 John Oliver 1979 30
10 Josh Glassey 1998 33 20 Ryan Jones 2005 30

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