Adam Moore

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2009 Forecast

(projection generated 3/7/09 11:15 PM)

																-- Equivalents --
Percentile	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
90^o	502	55	26	2	15	64	37	111	0	0	-2.3	.260	.323	.424	-.018	.263	.326	.448	.266	17.3	118-C -5	3.2
75^o	468	42	23	1	11	54	30	107	0	0	-2.0	.238	.296	.376	-.149	.241	.299	.397	.241	1.9	111-C -5	1.6
60^o	452	37	21	1	10	50	28	105	0	0	-1.9	.229	.285	.355	-.205	.232	.287	.375	.229	-4.1	107-C -6	0.9
50^o	434	32	19	1	8	46	25	103	0	0	-1.8	.219	.272	.333	-.267	.222	.274	.352	.216	-10.2	103-C -6	0.2
40^o	427	30	19	1	8	44	24	102	0	0	-1.7	.215	.267	.325	-.288	.218	.270	.344	.211	-12.1	102-C -6	0.0
25^o	411	26	17	1	6	40	21	100	0	0	-1.6	.207	.256	.307	-.338	.210	.259	.324	.199	-16.5	98-C -6	-0.6
10^o	380	20	15	1	4	33	18	96	0	0	-1.4	.193	.238	.276	-.424	.195	.240	.292	.176	-22.8	91-C -6	-1.4
Weighted Mean	443	34	20	1	9	48	26	104	0	0	-1.8	.224	.278	.345	-.238	.227	.281	.364	.222	-7.3	105-C -6	0.5

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate	Improve Rate	Collapse Rate	Attrition Rate	Beta
20%	40%	38%	8%	1.08

Seven-Year Forecast

																-- Equivalents --
Year	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2009 (age 25)	443	34	20	1	9	48	26	104	0	0	-1.8	.224	.278	.345	-.238	.227	.281	.364	.222	-7.3	105-C -6	0.5
2010 (age 26)	410	30	18	1	9	43	25	100	0	0	-1.4	.219	.275	.342	-.235	.224	.281	.365	.220	-6.8	98-C -6	0.3
2011 (age 27)	385	30	17	1	9	41	26	91	0	0	-1.1	.221	.284	.351	-.202	.227	.290	.376	.228	-3.2	92-C -6	0.6
2012 (age 28)	325	23	14	1	8	35	21	79	0	0	-0.8	.219	.280	.349	-.215	.224	.286	.373	.225	-3.4	79-C -5	0.5
2013 (age 29)	350	24	15	1	7	35	21	81	0	0	-0.8	.217	.275	.336	-.243	.222	.282	.359	.218	-4.8	84-C -6	0.4
2014 (age 30)	352	25	15	0	8	39	22	84	0	0	-0.6	.218	.276	.342	-.232	.224	.282	.366	.221	-3.3	85-C -5	0.3
2015 (age 31)	340	25	14	1	9	39	22	78	0	0	-0.5	.221	.278	.353	-.211	.227	.284	.378	.225	-1.9	82-C -4	0.4

Platoon

Platoon	AVG	OBP	SLG
vs LHP	.239	.296	.373
vs RHP	.220	.272	.330
Split	+.019	+.024	+.043
LgAvg	+.020	+.024	+.038

Valuation

Year	BRAA	FRAA	Tot WARP	MORP	SuperVORP	Upside
2009	-7.3	-6.0	0.5	$400,000	-10.3	2.6
2010	-7.7	-6.0	0.3	$400,000	-9.5	1.1
2011	-4.3	-6.0	0.6	$700,000	-4.5	3.5
2012	-4.6	-5.0	0.5	$650,000	-3.9	2.9
2013	-7.1	-6.0	0.4	$450,000	-5.1	3.9
2014	-6.2	-5.0	0.3	$650,000	-3.8	2.4
2015	-4.6	-4.0	0.4	$1,000,000	-1.7	2.3
Peak			2.6	$2,150,000	0.0	16.4

Stars & Scrubs Chart

Career Path Analysis

Seven-Year Performance

Year	75%	50%	25%	Weighted Mean
2009	.241	.216	.199	.222
2010	.240	.221	.185	.220
2011	.251	.226	.196	.228
2012	.248	.218	.193	.225
2013	.247	.222	.190	.218
2014	.255	.223	.156	.221
2015	.262	.213	.183	.225

Seven-Year Attrition

Year	Attrition Rate	Drop Rate	Breakout
2009	8%	0%	20%
2010	24%	11%	18%
2011	44%	16%	28%
2012	51%	32%	22%
2013	55%	37%	20%
2014	65%	43%	20%
2015	67%	54%	17%

67

Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend	Rank	Hitter	Year	Score	Trend
1	Pat Cline	1999	67		11	Dan Walters	1991	53
2	Jim Campanis	1992	63		12	Tom Prince	1989	52
3	Jake Fox	2007	54		13	Bill Foley	1981	51
4	Brad Cresse	2003	54		14	Justin Knoedler	2005	51
5	Jason LaRue	1999	54		15	Pat Borders	1988	51
6	Joe Depastino	1998	54		16	Walt McKeel	1997	49
7	Willie Morales	1997	53		17	Jeff Hearron	1987	49
8	Jason Moler	1994	53		18	Scott Walter	2004	49
9	Dave Vangorder	1982	53		19	Dave Hostetler	1981	48
10	David Gibralter	2000	53		20	Gilberto Reyes	1989	48

Player Comments

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2008

You temper your enthusiasm when a 23-year-old puts up big power numbers in the California League, especially when that guy is a catcher who might not have the skills to stay behind the plate like Adam Moore. We'll know more once he's in Double-A

																		-- Equivalents --
Year	Tm	Lg	PA	R	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	SB	CS	EqBRR	AVG	OBP	SLG	MLVr	AVG	OBP	SLG	EqA	VORP	Defense	WARP
2006	EVE	A-	66	8	9	0	0	9	2	10	0	0	-1.0	.317	.348	.460	-.441	.203	.215	.312	.163	-11.7	10-C -1	-0.8
2006	WIS	A	187	21	6	0	7	24	14	38	0	0	-1.8	.267	.342	.430	-.344	.202	.255	.329	.202	-12.5	32-C -3	-0.9
2007	HDS	A+	491	74	30	3	22	102	41	84	1	0	0.0	.307	.371	.543	-.297	.202	.257	.362	.214	-24.2	98-C -10 5-1B 0	-1.6
2008	WTN	AA	490	60	34	2	14	71	40	77	0	1	-7.3	.319	.396	.506	-.111	.250	.309	.408	.247	1.1	105-C -8	0.6

Historical Stats