<< PECOTA Home Player Search     

He's probably very handsome. Matt Morgan
Arizona Diamondbacks [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Catcher
Bats R
Age 26
6' 2"
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2005 TEN 2A 295 19 13 1 3 35 17 39 0 4 -1.7 .274 .321 .363 -.079 .231 .270 .318 .198 -13.2 54-C -1 0.8
2006 TEN 2A 25 4 2 0 0 3 2 5 0 0 0.0 .364 .417 .455 .309 .261 .320 .348 .235 -0.3 0.0
2007 TUC 3A 242 16 6 0 0 16 21 38 1 0 1.6 .213 .286 .241 -.443 .183 .254 .201 .152 -24.0 27-C 4 -0.9


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 2:21 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 233 24 11 1 3 21 19 35 2 1 -0.2 .259 .324 .356 -.150 .249 .314 .339 .227 -1.8 58-C -4 0.9
75o 222 18 9 1 2 18 16 35 1 1 -0.2 .235 .296 .313 -.273 .226 .287 .298 .200 -7.7 55-C -4 0.4
60o 214 15 7 0 2 17 15 35 1 1 -0.2 .220 .279 .286 -.350 .211 .270 .273 .182 -11.0 54-C -4 0.0
50o 209 14 7 0 1 16 14 35 1 1 -0.2 .212 .270 .273 -.389 .204 .262 .260 .171 -12.6 53-C -4 0.0
40o 204 13 6 0 1 15 13 34 1 1 -0.2 .204 .260 .258 -.430 .196 .252 .246 .159 -14.2 52-C -4 -0.3
25o 192 10 5 0 1 13 12 34 1 1 -0.1 .188 .241 .230 -.511 .181 .234 .219 .132 -16.8 49-C -4 -0.6
10o 175 7 3 0 0 10 10 33 1 1 -0.1 .171 .220 .200 -.598 .164 .213 .190 .091 -18.6 45-C -4 -0.9
Weighted Mean 207 14 7 0 1 15 14 34 1 1 -0.2 .210 .268 .270 -.398 .202 .260 .257 .168 -11.5 52-C -4 0.1

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

32%

45%

42%

29%

0.92

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 26) 207 14 7 0 1 15 14 34 1 1 -0.2 .210 .268 .270 -.398 .202 .260 .257 .168 -11.5 52-C -4 0.1
2009 (age 27) 206 15 7 0 1 16 14 33 1 1 -0.1 .223 .282 .289 -.339 .211 .269 .270 .183 -5.7 52-C -3 0.2
2010 (age 28) 211 14 7 0 1 16 15 35 1 1 -0.1 .211 .271 .274 -.385 .200 .259 .256 .172 -5.9 53-C -2 0.1
2011 (age 29)
-- out of baseball --
2012 (age 30)
-- out of baseball --
2013 (age 31)
-- out of baseball --
2014 (age 32)
-- out of baseball --

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .227 .288 .300
vs RHP .206 .260 .259
Split +.021 +.027 +.041
LgAvg +.020 +.024 +.038

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.9 1.0 0.1 $425,000 -15.0 0.1
2009 -0.4 0.5 0.2 $450,000 -7.0 0.1
2010 -0.4 0.5 0.1 $425,000 -6.3 0.1
2011 0.0 0.3 0.2 $450,000 -2.9 0.0
2012 -0.2 0.3 0.1 $450,000 -3.2 0.1
2013 -0.2 0.2 0.0 $425,000 -2.7 0.1
2014 0.0 0.2 0.1 $500,000 -0.8 0.0
Peak 0.7 $175,000 0.0 0.5


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .200 .171 .132 .168
2009 .218 .191 .146 .183
2010 .195 .172 .131 .172
2011
-- out of baseball --
2012
-- out of baseball --
2013
-- out of baseball --
2014
-- out of baseball --


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 29% 0% 32%
2009 60% 41% 32%
2010 67% 58% 23%
2011 78% 67% 24%
2012 77% 71% 25%
2013 83% 76% 18%
2014 85% 81% 19%

Baseball Prospectus Home  |  Terms of Service  |  Privacy Policy  |  Contact Us
Copyright © 1996-2008 Prospectus Entertainment Ventures, LLC.