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He's probably very handsome. Mike Moustakas
Kansas City Royals [ Team Audit ] [ Depth Chart ]
Shortstop
Bats L
Age 19
6'
195 lbs.

Player Profile

Sections
Historical Stats | 2008 Forecast | Diagnostics | Seven-Year Forecast | Valuation | Most Comparable Players

Historical Stats

-- Equivalents --
Year Tm Lg PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2007 IDA 0R 47 6 4 1 0 10 4 8 0 0 -0.3 .293 .383 .439 .144 .209 .277 .302 .193 -5.1 0.1


EQA Distribution
Seven-Year WARP

2008 Forecast

 (projection generated 3/18/08 2:28 PM)
-- Equivalents --
Percentile PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
90o 605 60 36 3 10 62 45 139 13 5 0.2 .255 .314 .386 -.103 .250 .311 .396 .251 10.4 142-SS -4 3.8
75o 580 49 32 3 8 55 39 142 11 4 0.2 .238 .293 .352 -.195 .233 .290 .362 .232 -2.9 136-SS -4 2.5
60o 568 44 30 3 7 52 37 143 10 4 0.2 .230 .284 .338 -.234 .226 .281 .347 .223 -8.1 133-SS -4 2.0
50o 552 39 28 2 6 48 34 144 9 4 0.2 .220 .272 .318 -.288 .216 .269 .327 .211 -15.0 129-SS -5 1.3
40o 539 35 26 2 5 45 32 144 9 4 0.2 .213 .263 .305 -.324 .209 .261 .313 .201 -19.4 127-SS -5 0.8
25o 515 29 23 2 4 40 29 145 8 4 0.1 .200 .248 .280 -.392 .196 .245 .288 .183 -26.9 121-SS -5 0.0
10o 475 21 19 1 2 31 24 145 6 3 0.1 .182 .225 .246 -.485 .178 .223 .253 .153 -35.5 112-SS -5 -1.0
Weighted Mean 575 42 29 2 6 51 36 149 10 4 0.2 .221 .273 .321 -.282 .217 .271 .329 .212 -14.9 135-SS -4 2.0

Diagnostics

Breakout Rate Improve Rate Collapse Rate Attrition Rate Beta

0%

0%

0%

0%

1.23

Seven-Year Forecast

-- Equivalents --
Year PA R 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS EqBRR AVG OBP SLG MLVr AVG OBP SLG EqA VORP Defense WARP
2008 (age 19) 575 42 29 2 6 51 36 149 10 4 0.2 .221 .273 .321 -.282 .217 .271 .329 .212 -14.9 135-SS -4 2.0
2009 (age 20) 598 56 34 3 10 61 41 141 11 4 0.2 .247 .304 .377 -.138 .246 .306 .394 .244 5.1 140-SS -4 3.5
2010 (age 21) 611 61 35 3 10 64 44 135 12 5 0.1 .254 .312 .385 -.108 .253 .314 .403 .250 8.4 143-SS -5 3.5
2011 (age 22) 566 57 30 3 12 64 40 123 10 4 0.1 .260 .318 .401 -.074 .258 .319 .420 .256 11.9 133-SS -6 3.6
2012 (age 23) 580 61 32 3 12 59 44 123 10 4 0.1 .266 .326 .408 -.046 .264 .328 .427 .262 14.9 136-SS -6 3.7
2013 (age 24) 559 59 32 3 13 62 46 113 10 3 0.0 .270 .332 .421 -.016 .269 .334 .440 .268 17.6 131-SS -5 3.9
2014 (age 25) 527 54 29 2 13 55 42 106 10 4 0.0 .268 .328 .418 -.029 .267 .329 .437 .265 14.8 124-SS -4 3.5

Platoon

Platoon AVG OBP SLG
vs LHP .194 .245 .269
vs RHP .229 .285 .348
Split -.035 -.040 -.079
LgAvg -.035 -.040 -.079

Valuation

Year OWARP DWARP Tot WARP MORP SuperVORP Upside
2008 -0.7 2.7 2.0 $2,225,000 -16.8 2.7
2009 0.9 2.6 3.5 $5,625,000 3.7 9.7
2010 1.1 2.4 3.5 $6,550,000 6.8 10.4
2011 1.4 2.2 3.6 $7,925,000 9.8 16.9
2012 1.6 2.1 3.7 $9,550,000 13.0 18.3
2013 1.9 2.0 3.9 $11,500,000 16.0 25.6
2014 1.6 2.0 3.5 $10,575,000 13.2 18.5
Peak 22.7 $41,225,000 81.1 117.6


Stars & Scrubs Chart
Career Path Analysis


Seven-Year Performance
Year 75% 50% 25% Weighted Mean
2008 .232 .211 .183 .212
2009 .258 .239 .214 .244
2010 .266 .237 .226 .250
2011 .279 .244 .221 .256
2012 .276 .248 .230 .262
2013 .287 .243 .220 .268
2014 .278 .244 .217 .265


Seven-Year Attrition
Year Attrition Rate Drop Rate Breakout
2008 N/A 0% N/A
2009 N/A 2% N/A
2010 N/A 7% N/A
2011 N/A 6% N/A
2012 N/A 11% N/A
2013 N/A 12% N/A
2014 N/A 9% N/A

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